全面禁采以来锡西澄南地区地面沉降动态特征分析

锡西澄南地区在苏锡常地区地面沉降研究中具有一定代表性,是地面沉降的典型地区之一。本文在已有的长期地下水水位、地面沉降监测资料的基础上,结合区域地质条件就全面禁采以来锡西澄南地区的地面沉降特征的诸多方面作进一步的探索分析。分析结果显示:目前锡西澄南地区出现南北沉降差异;差异特征与相应区域的地下水补给条件密切相关;北部Ⅱ承压层沉降为预防重点。     

湖北潜江凹陷古近系深层富钾卤水成因及演化

地下深层富钾卤水是非常重要的钾盐资源,目前很少从区域尺度系统研究沉积盆地中富钾卤水水化学特征及成因.对潜江凹陷深层富钾卤水进行了主、微量元素分析.研究区卤水矿化度为125.70～347.00 g/L,K含量为0.32～6.83 g/L;富集Li、B、I、Na、Cl,亏损Mg、Br,Ca、SO4有富集也有亏损.储层岩石矿...     

The use of digital technologies for landslide disaster risk research and disaster risk management: progress and prospects

Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood, which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety. The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective , difficult to quantify, and no pertinence. As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment, machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models. Taking Western Henan for example, the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography, geological environment, hydrological conditions, and human activities, and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination (RFE) method. Five machine learning methods [Support Vector Machines (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA)] were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility. The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index. After analysis and comparison, the XGBoost model (AUC 0.8759) performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems. The model had a high adaptability to landslide data. According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models, the overall distribution can be observed. The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest, the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west, and the Yellow River Basin in the north. These areas have large terrain fluctuations, complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities. The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km² and 3087.45 km², accounting for 47.61% and 12.20% of the total area of the study area, respectively. Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province, which provides a scientific basis for regional disaster warning, prediction, and resource protection. The study has important practical significance for subsequent landslide disaster management.     

华北地区航磁图像处理结果和地震构造解释

本文介绍了我国华北地区航磁图像处理结果,它包括航磁数据的假彩色图、立体阴影图、卷积滤波、指数滤波及局部自适应增强(LAHE)等图像。本文在研究了这些图像所蕴含的丰富信息基础上,对其所反映的地质实体及其演化和各种构造形迹这两个相互联系的方面进行了综合分析,进而建立了华北亚板块的地震构造立体格架,并运用走滑断裂带间块体转动模型,对本区构造变形和地震活动机制作了探讨     

结合MST划分和RHMRF-FCM算法的高分辨率遥感图像分割

针对基于像素的HMRF-FCM算法抗噪性差以及对地物复杂边界分割精度低的问题,提出一种结合形状信息的静态MST区域划分和RHMRF-FCM算法的高分辨率遥感图像分割方法。该方法定义一种静态MST同质区域划分准则,借助MST能较好表达边界和形状信息、能较好抑制几何噪声的特点,解决地物复杂边界的表达和降低分割结果中几何噪声问题。首先,利用MST静态划分将图像域划分成若干个均质区域,假设每个均质区域内光谱测度服从独立同一的多元高斯分布。然后,在此基础上构建了区域隐马尔可夫随机场模型,以及建立基于信息熵和KL信息正则化项的模糊聚类目标函数。最后,采用偏微分方法对分割模型参数进行求解,从而得到全局最优分割结果。为验证本文方法,对WorldView-3高分遥感图像进行分割试验。定性、定量分析了尺度参数、光谱相似性参数和区域紧致度参数对最优分割结果的影响,并对比分析本文算法和eCognition软件中的多分辨率分割算法、分水岭算法。     

GPS折射率资料在梅雨锋暴雨数值模拟中的应用

运用WRF三维变分同化系统同化GPS掩星折射率资料,并应用到2007年7月4—6日梅雨锋暴雨个例中进行数值模拟试验,以此考察GPS掩星折射率资料在梅雨锋暴雨数值模拟中的应用。同化结果表明：GPS掩星折射率资料对初始资料的调整主要是中低层湿度场,对于温度场和高度场的调整都是从底层到高层逐渐增大;加入GPS掩星折射率资料对降水预报有所改进,这与中低层湿度场的初始调整有关系;从对模拟结果进行诊断和结构分析中可以发现负散度增量和正涡度增量与降水中心和区域有很好的对应,同化资料之后对于各降水中心地区增强了产生降水的动力条件。     

萨拉乌苏河流域150 ka BP以来的粒度旋回

萨拉乌苏河流域米浪沟湾地层剖面150kaBP以来古流动砂丘砂与河湖相和古土壤在粒度上具有多次显著的粗细韵律交替变化，粒度参数-Mz、σ、Sk、Kg和SC/D亦随之响应为多波动峰谷交替的态势，同时，粒度特征值-φ5、φ16φ、φ25、φ50、φ84、φ9相应地表现为非常有节奏地跳动，据此，将米浪沟湾剖面划分为27个粒度粗细沉积旋回，并认为其是150kaBP以来在东亚冬夏古代季风交替影响下沙漠演变的一个颇为完整的气候-地质过程记录。     

厦门西港引发有害硅藻水华磷的阈值研究

1995年10月,在厦门市国家海洋局第三海洋研究所的陆基水池中,应用海洋围隔生态系实验技术,研究了在无海流、盐度等因子干扰的情况下,磷的形态、分布及其与浮游植物生物量的相关性。结果表明,海水中的可溶性无机磷（DIP）随时间里指数函数减少。浮游植物生物量主要与可溶性无机磷密切相关：[Chl－a]=A×e-B[PO4],这种相关的浮游植物生物量表现2d左右的滞后现象。还探讨了限制浮游植物增殖的DIP的最低浓度为0．3－04μmol／L,从DIP表现浓度估算浮游植物可能达到的最大生物量为[Chl－a]=10mg／m3,并由此估算出引发中肋骨条藻赤潮的DIP的阈值为1．2μmol／L,作为赤潮预测预报的参考。     

近海污损生物的调查方法

近海海区污损生物调查有浮标挂板法和海上设施（浮标及其锚碇系统，Ｍａｒｅｘ水文浮标，移动式钻井平台和固定式生产平台）采样法。由于近海海区污损生物调查工作的特殊性和艰难性，笔者提出了利用已有的海上设施，尤其是固定式平台来积累近海污损生物资料，以便进行生态学研究。     

Case study of a giant debris flow in the Wenjia Gully, Sichuan Province, China

The debris flow, which was triggered in the Wenjia Gully on August 13, 2010, is an extreme example of mass movement events, which occurred after the Wenchuan earthquake of May 12, 2008. This Earthquake triggered in the Wenjia Gully the second largest co-seismic landslide, which can be classified as a rockslide-debris avalanche. A lot of loose sediments was deposited in the basin. In the main so called Deposition Area II of this landslide, with a volume of 30?×?10⁶?m³, flash floods can easily trigger debris flows because of the steep bottom slope and the relative small grain sizes of the sediments. The largest debris flow of August 13, 2010 destroyed the most downstream dam in the catchment during a heavy rain storm. The debris flow with a peak discharge of 1,530?m³/s and a total volume of 3.1?×?10⁶?m³ caused the death of 7 persons, 5 persons were missing, 39 persons were injured and 479 houses buried. After three rainy seasons, only 16?% of the landslide-debris deposition was taken away by 5 large-scale debris flow events. Since the threshold for rainfall triggered debris flows in the Wenjia Gully and other catchments drastically decreased after the Wenchuan Earthquake, new catastrophic events are expected in the future during the rainy season.