Relation between temperature changes of the mid-upper troposphere over Eurasian mid-high latitudes and solar irradiance in the twentieth century

The δ¹⁸O data obtained from an 18.7 m ice core drilled in Chongce Ice Cap at an elevation of 6,530 m a.s.l. in the West Kunlun Mountains on the northern Tibetan Plateau show a strong correlation with the summer temperature of the middle to upper troposphere over the mid-high latitudes of Eurasia. Based on this, the δ¹⁸O record can be used as a proxy of the June–September mean temperature of the mid-upper troposphere (MUT) from 1903 to 1992. The time span of the ice core record is much longer than the meteorological data available only after 1948. Using the empirical mode decomposition method (EMD), the δ¹⁸O record is decomposed into various frequency components and compared with the solar irradiance variations of the same period. The results show that (1) The June–September mean temperature of the MUT over Eurasian mid-high latitudes is completely decomposed into four IMF (intrinsic mode function) components and an increasing trend. (2) Solar irradiance is decomposed into the Schwabe cycle, the Hale cycle, the Gleissberg cycle, and an increasing trend. (3) The correlation coefficients between the June and September mean temperatures of the MUT over Eurasian mid-high latitudes and solar irradiance on the longer timescales (at least more than 11-year) show the significant correlations; their phase changes are basically identical in general, and (4) the 11-year Schwabe cycle exists in the June–September mean temperature of the MUT over Eurasian mid-high latitudes during most of the time from 1903 to 1992, and only in the two high-temperature phases (1929–1944 and from 1975 to the present) may global warming disturb this relation. A full understanding of this phenomenon would shed insight into the potential consequence of global warming on the MUT.     

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A 16 ka climate record deduced from δ^13C and C/N ratio in Qinghai Lake sediments, northeastern Tibetan Plateau

1 INTRODUCTION δ13C in organic matters from lacustrine sedi- ments varies with several factors including aquatic plants, vegetation type in the catchment, atmos- pheric CO2 concentration, climate (temperature and precipitation), and properties of water, …     

FAST射电望远镜天文轨迹规划

针对我国500 m球面射电望远镜天线(FAST),提出了一体化天文轨迹规划;给出了详细的数学模型及推导分析。相对于当前采用的FAST轨迹规划,该方法使得馈源位置和反射面位置的控制误差可以相互补偿。指出当馈源系统和反射面系统具有相同的测控延迟误差时,并不影响FAST天线的性能。     

最优化因子处理及加权多重回归模型

因子的优劣是回归分析的关键。故在建立回归方程时,一般除对预报因子进行直线相关普查外,还要进行非线性相关普查。如将原因子x用x~(-1)、x~(1/2)、x~2 、e~x、In x等函数形式进行变换。但由于这些函数形式有限,故不一定能找到最优的表达形式;为此冯耀煌等仅给出了x~a和e~(ax)两种通式,其中a为待     

基于GIS的北京城市形态研究

经典的城市形态理论包括同心圆理论、扇形理论和多核心理论.利用2002年北京市土地利用图,采用GIS缓冲区分析的方法,分析了北京市各功能用地的方向特征和圈层特征.结果表明:北京市的土地利用体现了明显的圈层特征,同时各类功能用地在各方向的分布又明显受到了河流、交通干道和工业区等地理要素的影响.北京没有形成城市总体规划的多中心布局,第一道绿化隔离地区中绿地面积没有明显高出其他地区,基本上已经失去了中心城区和边缘集团隔离开的功能.总体上,北京城市空间形态主要是同心圆和扇形的结合,更接近同心圆理论和扇形理论的混合形式.     

粗粒碎屑岩砾石定向性定量表征方法及应用

砾石定向性可用于辅助判断粗粒沉积物沉积环境的介质动力性质与强度。在岩芯图像分析与测量的基础上,运用砾石长轴视倾角玫瑰花图中任意相邻三个小扇形的半径之和的最大值（参数a）和小扇形半径大小偏离程度（参数σ）对玛湖地区百口泉组砂砾岩中砾石定向性进行等级划分和定量表征。通过该方法的应用,建立了该区不同级别砾石定向性的定量划分方案:有明显定向性（a大于35%且σ大于4）、有一定定向性（a大于35%且σ小于4）、有模糊定向性（a小于35%且σ大于4）、定向性杂乱（a小于35%且σ小于4）。并对研究区典型季节性辫状河道和暂时性辫状河道的定向性进行了实测,结果表明季节性辫状河道中σ为4.8~8.13,a为40%~62%,而暂时性辫状河道中σ小于4,a小于35%。该方法能够有效表征砾石定向性,并为沉积环境判断提供依据。     

Large scale northward expansion of warm water species Skeletonema tropicum (Bacillariophyceae) in China seas

Skeletonema tropicum is regarded as a species with an affinity to warm waters and it has never been reported in seas where temperatures drop below 11°C in winter. Previous studies in China reported that S. tropicum was restricted to subtropical and warm temperate seas (East and South China Seas), but the species was recently found during August cruises of 2009 and 2010 in Jiaozhou Bay, Yellow Sea, located several hundred kilometers to the north. Here, winter water temperatures often drop below 5°C. Identification of S. tropicum was confirmed under light and scanning electronic microscopes and maximum cell abundance in Jiaozhou Bay was estimated as 1.73×10 4 cell/L. This record of S. tropicum in Jiaozhou Bay represents a significant northward expansion in the geographic range of the species. Ship ballast water was identified as a possible carrier of S. tropicum from southern places along Chinese coastline, and in addition, thermal pollution from local power stations and seawater desalination plants may provide suitable conditions for species over-wintering.     

Assessing the ‘wicked problems’ associated with the quality of groundwater used in irrigation: a case study from the North China Plain

Studies on the quality of groundwater have moved beyond the physical realm of contamination and purification, towards the economic concerns of choice and the management of the problem. With these approaches the complex biophysical processes are assessed from the users’ perspective and the policy outcomes that could be used to resolve the problems of groundwater contamination are evaluated. However, in a set of unrelated studies, it has been found that attempts by governments to resolve the problems of groundwater contamination in agriculture have a poor record of success. This could be because the problem is too extensive and diverse to handle or it could be a case of poor policy selection. Taking an example from the North China Plain to illustrate some of the major issues raised in this study, it is concluded that the problem itself is unresolvable on a large scale. In other words, groundwater contamination can be defined as a ‘wicked problem’, i.e. unresolvable by applying pure science, closely linked with social issues, and for which there are no optimal solutions. In this situation, the best solution is possibly to encourage farmers to live with and handle the problem as they best see fit.