江西省冬季气温异常与区域海温的关联

利用1960-2010年江西省81个台站月平均气温观测资料和NOAA全球月平均海表温度资料(ERSST-V3),分析了江西省冬季气温异常与海温异常的相互联系,并运用超前-滞后相关分析和奇异值分解(SVD)方法初步探讨了关键区海温异常之间的相互作用.结果表明:①影响江西省冬季气温异常的海温关键区和关键时段分别为同期印度洋(10°S～20°N,54°～90°E)、同期西北太平洋(20°～40°N,120°～180°E)和前期8-9月北大西洋中部(24°～44°N,20°～60°W)海域;②西北太平洋关键区暖水年预示暖冬年好于印度洋区,而印度洋区冷水年预示冷冬年稍好于西北太平洋区,冬季西北太平洋与印度洋海温异常可以修正前期8-9月北大西洋中部海温异常对江西省冬季气温的影响.     

岩浆流体对冲绳海槽海底成矿热水系统的可能贡献

海底火山活动区成矿热液流体来源长期存在争议,尽管海水来源说更为流行,但本文提供的下列证据表明,来自长曲质岩浆的流体对冲绳海槽现代活动热水成矿系统有较大贡献：（１）冲绳海槽ＪＡＤＥ热水区出现异常高热流,其下方１￣２ｋｍ处存在浅位长英质岩浆房;（２）ＣＯ２、烃类、Ｈ２等气体在热水成矿体系中极度富集甚至形成独立气流,与热水流体共存。气体的碳、氦同位素资料表明其来自长英质岩浆本系;（３）ＪＡＤＥ成矿热水系     

西北侏罗纪盆地沉积层序演化与储层特征

笔者研究了西北侏罗纪盆地沉积层序及储层特征,根据露头观察,井下实钻资料及实验室内分析结果,提出中,下侏罗统主要为湖沼相含煤碎屑岩沉积,主要发育河流中冲积相及三角洲相的砂岩集集体,上统为红色或杂色碎屑岩,侏罗纪计导氏孔低渗为主的富含火山岩屑的碎屑岩,局部可发育较好砂岩储层,侏罗系本身可构成妨好的生储盖组合。     

聚类分析在暴雨预报和环流形势分型中的应用

数值预报投入业务运行以来，高空形势预报具有较高的准确率，要素预报的准确率也在不断提高，对数值预报产品的释用是近年来人们极为关注的问题，作者早用数值预报５００ｈＰａ高度场及降水实况资料，采用聚类分析法，研究暴雨落区预报和我国暴雨环流形势特征，所得结果在暴雨预报业务中有一定参考价值，同时也给出我国暴雨环流型。     

气温日较差研究进展:变化趋势及其影响因素

从日较差的变化趋势、影响因素以及人类活动对气候变化影响的指示3个方面对日较差的研究进行了总结和概括。观测数据以及气候模式模拟的结果表明,全球气温日较差在近半个多世纪以来呈下降趋势,而这种下降趋势不仅仅是自然变化的结果,还受到人类活动的影响。辐射、云量、气溶胶、下垫面的变化、水汽、降水以及航迹云等因素都能对日较差的变化造成影响。日较差的"周末效应"以及城市化过程中日较差的变化相对于平均气温的变化,能够更有效地指示人类活动对气候变化的影响。     

论青藏高原隆起作用于大气的临界高度

在以前工作的基础上，从大气动力学、热力学及气候学的角度，进一步论证了在青茂高原隆起过程中存在一个临界高度ｈｃ（－１．５－２ｋｍ）。当高原隆起突破这一临界高度时才开始对大气产生强烈的作用，从而造成大气环流、大气热力结构、亚洲区域以及全球气候等一系列巨大转变。     

Evaluating climate change adaptation efforts on the US 50 states’ hazard mitigation plans

Climate change brings uncertain risks of climate-related natural hazards. The US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA in Climate change: long-term trends and their implications for emergency management, 2011. https://www.fema.gov/pdf/about/programs/oppa/climate_change_paper.pdf) has issued a policy directive to integrate climate change adaptation actions into hazard mitigation programs, policies, and plans. However, to date there has been no comprehensive empirical study to examine the extent to which climate change issues are integrated into state hazard mitigation plans (SHMPs). This study develops 18 indicators to examine the extent of climate change considerations in the 50 SHMPs. The results demonstrate that these SHMPs treat climate change issues in an uneven fashion, with large variations present among the 50 states. The overall plan quality for climate change considerations was sustained at an intermediate level with regard to climate change-related awareness, analysis, and actions. The findings confirm that climate change concepts and historic extreme events have been well recognized by the majority of SHMPs. Even though they are not specific to climate change, mitigation and adaptation strategies that can help reduce climate change risks have been adopted in these plans. However, the plans still lack a detailed assessment of climate change and more incentives for collaboration strategies beyond working with emergency management agencies.