基于三维四面体模型的西藏资源环境承载力综合评价

资源环境承载力定量评价与综合计量是资源环境承载力研究由分类走向综合的关键技术环节.本文从系统角度出发,提出了"人居环境适宜性分区——资源承载力限制性分类——社会经济发展适应性分等——资源环境承载力警示性分级"的资源环境承载力综合评价的研究思路与技术路线,构建了具有平衡态意义的资源环境承载力综合评价的三维四面体模型,对区...     

大敦煌地区水资源承载力及其承载状态评价（英文）

水资源承载力是衡量区域内人水关系协调发展的重要评判指标。定量评价水资源承载力,可为有效调控水资源、维持经济社会可持续发展提供重要依据。基于大敦煌地区各市县统计数据,以分县为基本单元,定量分析了2010–2017年不同来水条件和不同政策约束下大敦煌地区水资源承载力和承载状态。结果表明：（1）2010–2017年大敦煌地区水资源承载力逐年增加,平水年、枯水年和特枯年条件下的承载力分别从34.37万人、31.59万人和29.11万人增加到45.87万人、41.54万人和37.56万人。（2）不同政策约束下,2010–2017年大敦煌地区水资源承载力逐年增加,从2010年的30.94万人增加到2017年的41.24万人;预估2020年和2030年分别可承载人口32.66万人和34.12万人。（3）2010–2017年大敦煌地区水资源承载指数持续减小,平水年、枯水年和特枯年条件下承载指数分别从1.05、1.14和1.24降到0.80、0.88和0.97,人水关系均从临界超载转变为平衡有余。大敦煌地区水资源承载力显著提升,承载状态显著改善,但整体承载上限并不高,应着力提高水资源利用效率,以维持大敦...     

云量对祁连山老虎沟12号冰川表面能量平衡的影响

为探讨云量对冰川表面能量平衡(SEB)的影响,利用架设在老虎沟12号冰川(简称12号冰川)消融区(4 550m a. s. l.)的自动气象站资料,结合能量平衡模型计算各能量分量并分析其季节变化,通过云量参数化方案获取云量因子并量化其对冰川表面能量收支的影响。结果表明:净短波辐射为冰川表面主要的能量来源(92%),净长波辐射为主要能量支出(61%),二者均受云量影响,但云的短波辐射效应更强(-37W·m^-2)。云量通过影响辐射收支和湍流通量进而影响冰川表面能量收支,随云量的增加,冰川表面获得的能量减少,冰川消融速率降低。与其他区域的冰川表面能量收支对比,除地理位置、反照率、气温等因素外,海拔和云量的影响也非常显著。     

The Progress of Resources and Environment Carrying Capacity: from Single-factor Carrying Capacity Research to Comprehensive Research

As a concept to describe development restrictions, resources and environment carrying capacity (RECC) research has developed over more than 100 years since it was first proposed at the beginning of the 20^th century. It is now regarded as a significant factor in evaluating the level of cooperation between regional population, resources, and environment; and it is currently used as an effective and operational tool to guide regional sustainable development. This article first reviews the origin of RECC and its early headway. It then reviews the historical development of RECC from single factors, such as land resources carrying capacity, water resources carrying capacity and environmental carrying capacity (environmental capacity), to more comprehensive research, such as comprehensive evaluation, emergy analysis, and ecological footprint analysis. In general, it appears that comprehensive research will become increasingly important in RECC research. However, there are several deficiencies in the current state of comprehensive research. Firstly, comprehensive RECC research lacks a common measurement standard, though some scholars have attempted to create one. Secondly, the RECC evaluation of open systems and dynamic studies should be strengthened. Thirdly, more attention should be paid to standardization, digitalization, and systematization to promote the applicability of RECC research to national practical demands.     

Changes of multiple cropping in Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region,China

Multiple cropping index (MCI) is the ratio of total sown area and cropland area in a region, which represents the regional time intensity of planting crops. Multiple cropping systems have effectively improved the utilization efficiency and production of cropland by increasing cropping frequency in one year. Meanwhile, it has also significantly altered biogeochemical cycles. Therefore, exploring the spatio-temporal dynamics of multiple cropping intensity is of great significance for ensuring food and ecological security. In this study, MCI of Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region with intensive cropping practices was extracted based on a cropping intensity mapping algorithm using MODIS Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) time series at 500-m spatial resolution and 8-day time intervals. Then the physical characteristics and landscape pattern of MCI trends were analyzed from 2000–2012. Results showed that MCI in Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region has increased from 152% to 156% in the 12 years. Topography is a primary factor in determining the spatial pattern dynamics of MCI, which is more stable in hilly area than in plain area. An increase from 158% to 164% of MCI occurred in plain area while there was almost no change in hilly area with single cropping. The most active region of MCI change was the intersection zone between the hilly area and plain area. In spatial patterns, landscape of multiple cropping systems tended to be homogenized reflected by a reduction in the degree of fragmentation and an increase in the degree of concentration of cropland with the same cropping system.     

A Fractal Simulation Method for Simulating the Resource Abundance of Oil and Gas and Its Application

Mathematical Geosciences - In this study, a fractal simulation method for simulating resource abundance is proposed based on the evaluation results of the exploration risk and prediction technology...     

汶川、芦山和康定地震造成的鲜水河断裂带库仑应力变化及对地震危险性的影响

通过估算汶川、芦山和康定地震造成的鲜水河断裂带库仑应力变化,并与其长期构造应力加载速率进行比较,分析3次地震对鲜水河断裂带未来地震危险性的影响。结果显示,汶川和芦山地震对康定地震的发生分别起到促进和推迟作用;3次地震造成的总应力扰动主要来自汶川和康定地震。在线性应力加载条件下,当断层面等效摩擦系数μ′=0时,3次地震的相继发生会使鲜水河断裂带八美至磨西(除康定地震破裂带外)的地震提前0~5a,其余地区推迟0~4a;当μ′=0.4时,3次地震会使道孚至猪腰子海子(康定地震破裂带除外)的地震提前0~6a,其余地区推迟0~2a。考察了不同流变学结构对计算结果的影响,发现下地壳上地幔粘滞性系数越低,介质粘滞性响应造成的库仑应力变化越大,沿走向的变化越剧烈,其贡献基本与同震相当,对地震提前/延迟时间估计结果的影响最大可达3a。     

造山带超高压变质流体中气体组成及成藏条件初探

传统的油气地质研究和勘探开发几乎都是集中在盆地,而造山带作为板(陆)块的碰撞、会聚带,为无机成因气形成和释放的有利场所,是天然气地质理论研究的一个新领域。本文利用激光拉曼探针技术对大别造山带超高压变质岩中流体包裹体进行了成分分析,结果表明超高压变质流体中不仅含有CO₂(>50%)、H₂、N₂、H₂S等,还有高含量的幔源烃类气(CH₄等,含量最高达23.6mol%)。同时,超高压变质带中还发育有浅层碳酸盐岩及其它含碳岩石经动力变质作用可形成大量的CO₂气。大别超高压变质带中具有无机成因气成藏的可能条件,带内广泛发育的推覆构造、韧性断层及糜棱岩可以作为无机成因气成藏的圈、盖和保存条件。本文成果可为油气地质研究和勘探开发提供新的思路、方向和领域。     

旁路多级人工湿地对巢湖流域南淝河水的净化效果

为了削减南淝河输入巢湖的污染物,建成南淝河旁路多级人工湿地水质净化示范工程,包括预处理系统、垂直潜流湿地系统和水平潜流湿地系统3个工艺单元.2014年3月至2015年2月对人工湿地各净化单元出水进行周年监测,分析各净化单元对污染物的去除效果,并探讨季节变化对去除效果的影响.结果显示,旁路多级人工湿地体现较高的去除效果.对高锰酸盐指数(COD_(Mn))、总氮(TN)、铵态氮(NH_4~+-N)和总磷(TP)的总去除率分别为70.9%、43.7%、43.5%和76.6%.COD_(Mn)和TP的平均出水浓度均优于《地表水环境质量标准》(GB 3838-2002)中的Ⅳ类水标准,而NH_4~+-N的平均出水浓度优于《城镇污水处理厂污染物排放标准》(GB 18918-2002)一级A类标准.各净化单元对污染物的去除差异显著,COD_(Mn)的去除主要发生在预处理单元,其对COD_(Mn)削减的净化率为65.1%;TN、NH_4~+-N和TP的去除主要发生在垂直潜流湿地单元,其对TN、NH_4~+-N和TP削减的净化率分别为23.2%、27.1%和51.1%.不同季节,旁路多级人工湿地对污染物去除具有一定差异,对COD_(Mn)和TP的去除率均表现为夏季秋季春季冬季,对TN的去除率表现为秋季春季夏季冬季,对NH_4~+-N的去除率表现为秋季夏季春季冬季.最后,建议通过增加碳源和增大水力停留时间来进一步优化该工艺,以有效提高脱氮效果.     

温度对铜绿微囊藻(Microcystis aeruginosa)和鱼腥藻(Anabaena sp.)生长及胞外有机物产生的影响

以巢湖优势种铜绿微囊藻(Microcystis aeruginosa)和鱼腥藻(Anabaena sp.)为研究对象,研究不同温度(35、25和10℃)对这两种藻生长特性和胞外有机物产生的影响.结果表明,温度对铜绿微囊藻和鱼腥藻的藻细胞密度、碱性磷酸酶活性和胞外有机物浓度影响显著.25℃是铜绿微囊藻和鱼腥藻最适宜的生长温度,最高细胞密度分别达到3.12×107cells/ml和2.03×107 cells/ml.不同温度下两种藻的碱性磷酸酶活性特征,证实了高温对鱼腥藻生长的抑制和低温对铜绿微囊藻生长的抑制.胞外有机物释放总量受蓝藻生物量和单位细胞有机物释放速率的影响.铜绿微囊藻的溶解性有机碳和胞外总多糖释放量在25℃最高,最大值分别为49.28和38.46 mg/L;而鱼腥藻在35℃时释放量最高,最大值分别为45.82和40.60 mg/L;10℃条件抑制了两种藻的生长及胞外有机物的释放.鱼腥藻胞外多糖含量在35℃培养条件下最高,而铜绿微囊藻在10℃条件下最高,说明不利的生长条件会促进蓝藻胞外多糖的分泌.三维荧光图谱分析结果表明,铜绿微囊藻和鱼腥藻胞外有机物以类蛋白质和类腐殖酸为主,温度主要影响藻细胞胞外有机物浓度,而对有机物种类组成没有影响.