准噶尔盆地热历史

准噶尔盆地从石炭一二叠纪的“热盆”（古地温梯度0．05-0．07℃／m）演变成新生代典型的“冷盆”（地温梯度0.02－0.023℃／m），使盆地两套主要烃源岩：二叠系和侏罗系烃源岩热演化程度（成熟度）具有明显的差异。二叠系径源岩成熟度普遍很高，大部分达到过成熟阶段；而侏罗系烃源岩成熟度则很低，即使埋深超过5000m，实测镜质组反射率R°％仅为0．5－0．6，相当于生油初期（低成熟）阶段。通过应用Waples模型和Sweeney－Burnham模型两种方法对盆地13口深井进行古地温梯度拟合计算表明：对于热演化过程主要发生在白垩纪之前，高地温梯度背景下的8口深井，烃源岩热演化受压力的影响小，成熟度相对较高；而对于热演化过程主要发生在白垩纪之后、低地温梯度背景下的5口井，烃源岩热演化受压力的影响较大，成熟度异常偏低，实测镜质组反射率低于用Waples模型和Sweeney－Burnham模型计算的镜质组反射率。     

应用BP神经网络预测煤质参数及含气量

煤层气储层物理结构以及煤层气的存储，运移等方面不同于常规天然气，评价煤质参数的测井等效体积模型难以较好地描述煤层这种复杂的物理结构，提出利用ＢＰ神经网络预测煤质参数及煤层气含量的模型和算法，预测的煤质参数以及煤层含气量与煤样分析结果比较表明，预测与煤样分析参数之间的平均绝对误差和相对误差都较小，精度满足定量计算的要求。     

周期—频度谱方法在大庆台网数字化地震记录分析中的应用

论述了周期－频率谱方法在分析数字化地震记录中的应用。结果表明该方法对识别各类振动的性质较为有效，所形成的一整套分析流程适用于各种地震数字记录分析。     

Conditional simulation as a tool for measuring uncertainties in petroleum exploration

A fundamental task for petroleum exploration decision-making is to evaluate the uncertainty of well outcomes. The recent development of geostatistical simulation techniques provides an effective means to the generation of a full uncertainty model for any random variable. Sequential indicator simulation has been used as a tool to generate alternate, equal-probable stochastic models, from which various representations of uncertainties can be created. These results can be used as input for the quantification of various risks associated with a wildcat drilling program or the estimation of petroleum resources. A simple case study is given to demonstrate the use of sequential indicator simulation. The data involves a set of wildcat wells in a gas play. The multiple simulated stochastic models are then post-processed to characterize various uncertainties associated with drilling outcomes.     

河东煤田地史—热史模拟与煤变质演化

河东煤田是华北石炭二叠纪重要煤田之一．本文采用盆地数值模拟方法,建立了煤田地史一热史模型,恢复了煤变质演化历程,总结出煤级分布规律。     

A numerical study on forecasting the Henan extraordinarily heavy rainfall event in August 1975

This study is essentially an experiment on the control experiment in the August 1975 catastrophe which was the heaviest rainfall in mainland China with a maximum 24-h rainfall of 1060.3 mm, and it significantly demonstrates that the limited area model can still skillfully give reasonable results even only the conventional data are available. For such a heavy rainfall event, a grid length of 90 km is too large while 45 km seems acceptable. Under these two grid sizes, the cumulus parameterization scheme is evidently superior to the explicit scheme since it restricts instabili-ties such as CISK to limited extent, The high resolution scheme for the boundary treatment does not improve fore-casts significantly.The experiments also revealed some interesting phenomena such as the forecast rainfall being too small while af-fecting synoptic system so deep as compared with observations. Another example is the severe deformation of synoptic systems both in initial conditions and forecast fields in the presence of complicated topography. Besides, the fixed boundary condition utilized in the experiments along with current domain coverage set some limitations to the model performances.     

石家庄地区干热风年型指标分析及统计预测模型

本文提出的干热风综合指数(DHW)能反映某时期内干热风日数累积影响和干热风强度的瞬时影响,还可用来划分重、轻、无干热风年型指标。并采用岭回归方法组建DHW预测模式,其试报结果较好,克服了文献[1]的某些不足。