基于贝叶斯模型的器测、古气候重建与气候模拟数据的融合试验

气象部门馆藏的西部最早的器测气象资料始于20世纪30年代,不能满足建立20世纪以来中国气候变化序列的需求,而古气候重建或气候模拟资料则可以延伸到器测时代以前。为了探讨长序列多源气候资料序列融合方法,采用贝叶斯方法对中国北疆地区8条树轮气温重建资料、器测资料与国际耦合模式比较计划第5阶段（CMIP5）模式模拟资料进行了融合试验。首先利用器测资料对气温代用资料进行校验与网格重建,并以此作为贝叶斯模型的先验分布,然后,用泰勒图选出了该区域气候模拟效果最佳的几个模式;最后将网格重建和气候模拟序列用贝叶斯模型进行了融合试验。结果表明,贝叶斯融合模型能有效提取各种数据来源的有用信息进行融合,融合结果的长期变化（线性）趋势更接近器测气候序列,并在一定程度上提高了序列的精度,减小了结果的不确定性;并且,融合结果能够纠正先验分布及气候模拟数据的明显偏差,为长年代气候序列重建提供了一个可行的思路。      

大气中痕量有机胺测量方法的研究进展

作为大气中最重要的含氮有机化合物,有机胺易与硫酸、硝酸气体生成胺盐,促进新颗粒的形成,同时也可与臭氧、OH自由基、NO₃自由基发生氧化反应,是二次气溶胶的前体物.综述了国内外关于大气有机胺检测技术的研究进展,对常规的离线检测技术和在线质谱技术进行了介绍和对比,重点介绍了质谱法工作原理以及测定大气有机胺的优越性,并对其未来发展进行了展望.     

低高度角大气静力学延迟修正的改进

进行低高度角观测是GPS(Global Positioning System)气象学的发展趋势,其中发展高精度的低高度角的大气静力学延迟修正是主要的关键技术.比较了3种计算无线电波从空间到地面接收机的大气静力学延迟修正方法:(1)在大气球对称假设下用探空气球资料路径积分得到大气静力学延迟;(2)在大气球对称假设下用NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)再分析资料得到大气静力学延迟;(3)用Niell的大气静力学映射函数得到大气静力学延迟.与2001年中国地区89个探空气球站资料计算得到的大气静力学映射函数比较结果显示:NCEP再分析资料路径积分的方法在低高度角(5°以下)的精度好于Niell映射函数模型约5倍.     

The evolution of the z distribution of normal neutron stars in the Galaxy

Under the two initial 1‐D one parameter velocity distribution forms (one is normal, the other is exponential), the z direction scale height evolution of normal neutron stars in the Galaxy is studied by numerical simulation. We do statistics for the cases at different time segments, also do statistics for the cumulative cases made of each time segment. The results show in the cumulative cases the evolution curves of the scale heights are smoother than in the each time segment, i.e., the cumulation improve the signal‐to‐noise ratio. Certainly the evolution cases are different at different Galactic disk locations, which also have very large difference from the average cases in the whole disk. In the initial stages of z evolution of normal neutron stars, after the beginning transient states, the cumulative scale heights increase linearly with time, and the cumulative scale height increasing rates have linear relationship with the initial velocity distribution parameters, which have larger fluctuation in the vicinity of the Sun than in the whole disk. We utilize the linear relationship of the cumulative scale height increasing rates vs. the initial velocity distribution parameters in the vicinity of the Sun to make comparison with the observation near the Sun. The results show if there is no magnetic decay, then the deserved initial velocity parameters are obvious lower than the present well known results from some authors; whereas if introducing magnetic decay, for the 1‐D normal case we can make consistence among concerning results using magnetic decay time values which are supported by some authors, while for the 1‐D exponential case the results show the lackness of young pulsar samples in the larger z in the vicinity of the Sun (© 2010 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Linear stability for some symmetric periodic simultaneous binary collision orbits in the four-body problem

We apply the analytic-numerical method of Roberts to determine the linear stability of time-reversible periodic simultaneous binary collision orbits in the symmetric collinear four-body problem with masses 1, m, m, 1, and also in a symmetric planar four-body problem with equal masses. In both problems, the assumed symmetries reduce the determination of linear stability to the numerical computation of a single real number. For the collinear problem, this verifies the earlier numerical results of Sweatman for linear stability with respect to collinear and symmetric perturbations.     

Primordial non-Gaussianity from LAMOST surveys

The primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) in the matter density perturbation is a very powerful probe of the physics of the very early Universe. The local PNG can induce a distinct scale-dependent bias on the large scale structure distribution of galaxies and quasars, which could be used for constraining it. We study the detection limits of PNG from the surveys of the LAMOST telescope. The cases of the main galaxy survey, the luminous red galaxy (LRG) survey, and the quasar survey of dif- ferent magnitude limits...     

南黄海秋季浮游病毒丰度分布及其与宿主和环境因子的相关性研究

利用流式细胞仪对南黄海秋季浮游病毒丰度在水平分布和垂直分布上的特征进行了研究,并分析了浮游病毒丰度与异养细菌、微微型浮游植物等宿主丰度以及环境因子的相关性.结果表明,该海区秋季浮游病毒丰度在(2.22×106)-(1.60× 107)ind/ml之间,平均值8.32×106ind/ml.病毒丰度在调查海域的东北和中南部海域出现高值区,在西南部出现低值区,且浮游病毒丰度与异养细菌丰度的平面分布趋势较一致.在表层、中层和底层水体,浮游病毒丰度平均值分别为8.63×106、7.83×106、8.49×106ind/ml,表层和底层丰度无显著差异,但均高于中层(P＜0.05).相关性分析表明,浮游病毒丰度与异养细菌丰度、VBR呈显著正相关(P＜0.01),与微微型真核浮游植物丰度呈显著负相关(P＜0.05),与聚球藻、水深、水温、盐度、溶氧、叶绿素a浓度无明显相关性(P＞0.05).     

渤海浮游病毒的时空分布

利用流式细胞仪对渤海浮游病毒的丰度分布进行了研究。结果表明, 浮游病毒丰度在6.40 ×105—3.59 × 107个/mL之间。辽东湾断面, 浮游病毒丰度春季在西部海域较高, 夏季在中部海域较高, 秋、冬季在东、西部海域均较高; 渤海湾断面, 4 季丰度均在中部海域出现高值区; 莱州湾断面, 夏、秋、冬季均在东部海域出现丰度高值区; 渤海海峡断面, 春、秋、冬季于海峡中部海域丰度较高。垂直分布上, 表层和底层水体浮游病毒丰度在夏季差异性显著, 在其它季节无显著差异。夏季浮游病 毒丰度显著高于其它季节。夏季, 连续站浮游病毒丰度昼夜波动幅度较大, 冬季较平缓。相关性分析表明, 浮游病毒丰度在春、夏、秋季均与温度显著正相关; 夏季与异养细菌丰度、微微型真核浮游植物丰度显著正相关; 秋季与微微型浮游植物丰度显著正相关; 冬季仅与异养细菌丰度显著正相关。     

可口革囊星虫(Phascolosoma esculenta)铁结合

以克隆获得的可口革囊星虫(Phasolosma esculenta)、枝吻纽虫(Dendrorhynchus zhejiangensis)、泥蚶(Tegillarca granosa)、缢蛏(Sinonovacula constricta)、仿刺参(Apostichopus japonicus)和白肛海地瓜(Acaudina leucoprocta)6种无脊椎动物的铁结合蛋白基因为基础, 通过NCBI检索下载相应的氨基酸序列, 采用SingalP程序查找信号肽, 用TMHMM程序搜寻预测跨膜区, 采用Clustal W程序多序列比对, 构建进化树。对其编码蛋白的信号肽、跨膜区以及磷酸化位点等进行分析。结果表明, 6种动物的铁结合蛋白都没有信号肽, 也无跨膜区, 不可能是膜上的受体或定位于膜上, 均为胞外蛋白。泥蚶的ferritin有4个磷酸化位点, 仿刺参ferritin有10个, 枝吻纽虫有8个, 白肛海地瓜有9个, 可口革囊星虫和缢蛏的ferritin未搜寻到磷酸化位点。6种铁结合蛋白的疏水性有一定的差异, 最大值在1.0—1.6之间, 最小值在?3.3—?2.8之间。可口革囊星虫和仿刺参的铁结合区域特征序列完全相同, 与文昌鱼、缢蛏、泥蚶、牡蛎、盘鲍有2个氨基酸差异, 与人、小家鼠和叉尾有1个氨基酸差异。