民乐、山丹6.1级地震异常及台站实现短临预报的思考

在综合分析了民乐-山丹6.1级地震前张掖中心台范围内震兆异常特征的基础上,总结了本次地震前该台的短临预报过程及存在的问题,对今后台站如何搞好地震短临预报工作进行了探讨.     

Green''''s functions for uniformly distributed loads acting on an inclined line in a poroelastic layered site

Based on one type of practical Biot's equation and the dynamic-stiffness matrices of a poroelastic soil layer and half-space, Green's functions were derived for uniformly distributed loads acting on an inclined line in a poroelastic layered site. This analysis overcomes significant problems in wave scattering due to local soil conditions and dynamic soil-structure interaction. The Green's functions can be reduced to the case of an elastic layered site developed by Wolf in 1985. Parametric studies are then carried out through two example problems.     

Multi-dimensional Seismic Response Analysis of Base-Isolated Frame Structure with 3D Isolator

INTRODUCTIONAs a new and effective method for withstandingthe horizontal component of earthquake motion on abuilding structure, the base isolation technique hascome to the engineering application phase ( Hu,1988). However, for some important buildings andfoundation facilities in an earthquake region, it is im portant to consider the effects of 3D aseismatic analy sis, including the vertical component, due to themulti dimensional characteristics of earthquakes (Suand …     

一种利用机载激光点云的河流横纵断面自动提取方法

传统的河流断面测量方法具有周期长、成本高、外业多等不足,为此提出一种基于机载激光点云的河流横纵断面自动提取方法.首先,使用渐进三角网滤波器从机载点云中分离出地面点,用以构建三角网模型,并将其转化成数字高程模型数据.接着,利用洼地填充、流向分析、流量分析、河流栅格提取、矢量化等水文分析模块,从数字高程模型数据中自动提取出...     

一次自上向下发展的高原涡的多尺度动力学分析

高原涡作为经常给我国带来暴雨等灾害的天气系统,其形成一般认为是通过感热和潜热自下而上激发的,然而,2013年5月下旬发生的一次引发其下游灾害性强降水的高原涡却是由对流层高层天气尺度低涡诱发的.为此,基于新发展的多尺度子空间变换和多尺度能量涡度方法以及ERA5再分析资料对其动力学过程进行了详尽的探讨,先将原始场重构到三个...     

GIS空间数据库的"一库两用"策略研究

GIS有两种普遍的应用需求:空间分析和数字制图,但两种需求对空间数据的要求不完全一致,导致空间数据在同一GIS中无法充分共享。该文探讨能够同时满足两种需求的GIS构建方法。分析地理空间数据存在的冲突,引入"一库两用"思想,建立空间分析型数据模型;利用专家系统机制实现空间分析数据向数字制图数据的转换,转换过程中补充的信息源于专家知识库。该研究有助于解决GIS中数据不一致问题,使GIS更实用、功能更完善。     

Detection of a high-confidence quasi-periodic oscillation in radio light curve of the high redshift FSRQ PKS J0805–0111

In this work,we have searched for quasi-periodic oscillations(QPOs)in the 15 GHz light curve of the FSRQ PKS J0805-0111 monitored by the Owens Valley Radio Observatory(OVRO)40 m telescope during the period from 2008 January 9 to 2019 May 9,using the weighted wavelet Z-transform(WWZ)and the Lomb-Scargle Periodogram(LSP)techniques.This is the first time to search for a periodic radio signal in the FSRQ PKS J0805-0111 by these two methods.Both methods consistently reveal a repeating signal with a periodicity of 3.38±0.8 yr(>99.7%confidence level).In order to determine the significance of the periods,the false alarm probability method was applied,and a large number of Monte Carlo simulations were performed.As possible explanations,we discuss a number of scenarios including the thermal instability of thin disks scenario,the spiral jet scenario and the binary supermassive black hole scenario.We expect that the binary black hole scenario,where the QPO is caused by the precession of binary black holes,is the most likely explanation.FSRQ PKS J0805-0111 thus could be a good binary black hole candidate.In the binary black hole scenario,the distance between the primary black hole and the secondary black hole is about 1.71×10¹⁶ cm.     

基于粗糙集理论与遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测研究

利用粗糙集理论处理大数据量.消除冗余信息等方面的优势,计算出下沉系数各影响因素的属性重要性,约简了遗传规划训练样本集,建立了基于粗糙集和遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测模型。并与BP神经网络法预测结果进行了对比,结果表明,本模型具有精度高,收敛速度快等特点,将其应用到地表下沉系数预测中是可行的。     

石笋氧同位素和微量元素记录的陕南地区4200～2000a B.P.高分辨率季风降雨变化

基于陕南祥龙洞石笋XL2的19个230Th年龄、218个氧同位素分析以及896个Sr/Ca分析数据,高分辨率重建了4200～1972a B.P.期间陕南地区季风降雨变化.重建结果显示陕南地区这一时期季风降雨有显著的127～105a和57a周期,可能分别受控于太阳活动、PDO和/或AMO的变化.重建时段有3次百年尺度的干旱事件,分别发生于2200～2100a B.P.,2900～2700a B.P.和3600～3400a B.P.,其中2900～2700a B.P.干旱事件对应于北大西洋地区2.8ka冷事件.对比研究显示,尽管祥龙洞石笋和董哥洞石笋δ18O记录整体一致,但除了2900～ 2700aB.P.干旱事件之外,其他两次干旱事件在董哥洞石笋记录中并不明显.而尽管总体上祥龙洞和和尚洞石笋δ18O记录的差异要大,但XL2的3次干旱事件在和尚洞记录都有明显体现.有精确年代控制的祥龙洞、董哥洞及和尚洞石笋氧同位素记录的差异,揭示晚全新世我国季风降雨在十一百年尺度存在区域差异.