全文获取类型
收费全文 | 39757篇 |
免费 | 3278篇 |
国内免费 | 4999篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 2666篇 |
大气科学 | 4971篇 |
地球物理 | 8306篇 |
地质学 | 19952篇 |
海洋学 | 3139篇 |
天文学 | 2233篇 |
综合类 | 3588篇 |
自然地理 | 3179篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 138篇 |
2023年 | 418篇 |
2022年 | 933篇 |
2021年 | 1092篇 |
2020年 | 925篇 |
2019年 | 983篇 |
2018年 | 5616篇 |
2017年 | 4781篇 |
2016年 | 3455篇 |
2015年 | 1096篇 |
2014年 | 1164篇 |
2013年 | 1064篇 |
2012年 | 1967篇 |
2011年 | 3667篇 |
2010年 | 2963篇 |
2009年 | 3159篇 |
2008年 | 2651篇 |
2007年 | 3002篇 |
2006年 | 663篇 |
2005年 | 748篇 |
2004年 | 820篇 |
2003年 | 787篇 |
2002年 | 621篇 |
2001年 | 452篇 |
2000年 | 494篇 |
1999年 | 632篇 |
1998年 | 538篇 |
1997年 | 472篇 |
1996年 | 470篇 |
1995年 | 366篇 |
1994年 | 358篇 |
1993年 | 309篇 |
1992年 | 277篇 |
1991年 | 183篇 |
1990年 | 151篇 |
1989年 | 130篇 |
1988年 | 98篇 |
1987年 | 72篇 |
1986年 | 58篇 |
1985年 | 47篇 |
1984年 | 32篇 |
1983年 | 29篇 |
1982年 | 26篇 |
1981年 | 32篇 |
1980年 | 30篇 |
1979年 | 15篇 |
1978年 | 9篇 |
1977年 | 5篇 |
1976年 | 9篇 |
1958年 | 9篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
991.
Aaron M. McCright 《Climatic change》2011,104(2):243-253
I offer some theoretical insights to help us better understand the moderator effect of political orientation that Larry Hamilton
and others have found in recent years. Reflexive modernization theory highlights an emerging tension between those who direct
attention to the negative consequences of industrial capitalism such as climate change (e.g., the scientific community and
environmental organizations) and those who defend the economic system against such critiques (e.g., the conservative movement).
Political divisions in the American public increasingly map onto these societal divisions between critics and defenders of
the industrial capitalist order—especially for the issue of climate change. This alignment is facilitated by increased polarization
among political elites and balkanization of the news media. Strong evidence of the moderator effect is consistent with the
expectations of information processing theory and elite cues hypothesis from political science. Recent empirical findings
in political psychology and neuroscience also seem pertinent for explaining this moderator effect. I end by outlining a few
implications for climate change research and communication. 相似文献
992.
Clint C. Muhlfeld J. Joseph Giersch F. Richard Hauer Gregory T. Pederson Gordon Luikart Douglas P. Peterson Christopher C. Downs Daniel B. Fagre 《Climatic change》2011,106(2):337-345
Climate warming in the mid- to high-latitudes and high-elevation mountainous regions is occurring more rapidly than anywhere
else on Earth, causing extensive loss of glaciers and snowpack. However, little is known about the effects of climate change
on alpine stream biota, especially invertebrates. Here, we show a strong linkage between regional climate change and the fundamental
niche of a rare aquatic invertebrate—the meltwater stonefly Lednia tumana—endemic to Waterton-Glacier International Peace Park, Canada and USA. L. tumana has been petitioned for listing under the U.S. Endangered Species Act due to climate-change-induced glacier loss, yet little
is known on specifically how climate impacts may threaten this rare species and many other enigmatic alpine aquatic species
worldwide. During 14 years of research, we documented that L. tumana inhabits a narrow distribution, restricted to short sections (~500 m) of cold, alpine streams directly below glaciers, permanent
snowfields, and springs. Our simulation models suggest that climate change threatens the potential future distribution of
these sensitive habitats and the persistence of L. tumana through the loss of glaciers and snowfields. Mountaintop aquatic invertebrates are ideal early warning indicators of climate
warming in mountain ecosystems. Research on alpine invertebrates is urgently needed to avoid extinctions and ecosystem change. 相似文献
993.
Aeolian erosion of flat, arid landscapes is induced (and sustained) by the aerodynamic surface stress imposed by flow in the atmospheric surface layer. Conceptual models typically indicate that sediment mass flux, Q (via saltation or drift), scales with imposed aerodynamic stress raised to some exponent, n, where \(n > 1\). This scaling demonstrates the importance of turbulent fluctuations in driving aeolian processes. In order to illustrate the importance of surface-stress intermittency in aeolian processes, and to elucidate the role of turbulence, conditional averaging predicated on aerodynamic surface stress has been used within large-eddy simulation of atmospheric boundary-layer flow over an arid, flat landscape. The conditional-sampling thresholds are defined based on probability distribution functions of surface stress. The simulations have been performed for a computational domain with \(\approx 25 H\) streamwise extent, where H is the prescribed depth of the neutrally-stratified boundary layer. Thus, the full hierarchy of spatial scales are captured, from surface-layer turbulence to large- and very-large-scale outer-layer coherent motions. Spectrograms are used to support this argument, and also to illustrate how turbulent energy is distributed across wavelengths with elevation. Conditional averaging provides an ensemble-mean visualization of flow structures responsible for erosion ‘events’. Results indicate that surface-stress peaks are associated with the passage of inclined, high-momentum regions flanked by adjacent low-momentum regions. Fluid in the interfacial shear layers between these adjacent quasi-uniform momentum regions exhibits high streamwise and vertical vorticity. 相似文献
994.
Leonhard Gantner Vera Maurer Norbert Kalthoff Olga Kiseleva 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2017,162(3):475-502
A method to simulate characteristics of wind speed in the boundary layer of tropical cyclones in an idealized manner is developed and evaluated. The method can be used in a single-column modelling set-up with a planetary boundary-layer parametrization, or within large-eddy simulations (LES). The key step is to include terms in the horizontal velocity equations representing advection and centrifugal acceleration in tropical cyclones that occurs on scales larger than the domain size. Compared to other recently developed methods, which require two input parameters (a reference wind speed, and radius from the centre of a tropical cyclone) this new method also requires a third input parameter: the radial gradient of reference wind speed. With the new method, simulated wind profiles are similar to composite profiles from dropsonde observations; in contrast, a classic Ekman-type method tends to overpredict inflow-layer depth and magnitude, and two recently developed methods for tropical cyclone environments tend to overpredict near-surface wind speed. When used in LES, the new technique produces vertical profiles of total turbulent stress and estimated eddy viscosity that are similar to values determined from low-level aircraft flights in tropical cyclones. Temporal spectra from LES produce an inertial subrange for frequencies \(\gtrsim \)0.1 Hz, but only when the horizontal grid spacing \(\lesssim \)20 m. 相似文献
995.
Gilles Tedeschi Alexander M. J. van Eijk Jacques Piazzola Jolanta T. Kusmierczyk-Michulec 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2017,163(2):327-350
Sea-salt aerosol concentrations in the coastal zone are assessed with the numerical aerosol-transport model MACMod that applies separate aerosol source functions for open ocean and the surf zone near the sea–land transition. Numerical simulations of the aerosol concentration as a function of offshore distance from the surf zone compare favourably with experimental data obtained during a surf-zone aerosol experiment in Duck, North Carolina in autumn 2007. Based on numerical simulations, the effect of variations in aerosol production (source strength) and transport conditions (wind speed, air–sea temperature difference), we show that the surf-zone aerosols are replaced by aerosols generated over the open ocean as the airmass advects out to sea. The contribution from the surf-generated aerosol is significant during high wind speeds and high wave events, and is significant up to 30 km away from the production zone. At low wind speeds, the oceanic component dominates, except within 1–5 km of the surf zone. Similar results are obtained for onshore flow, where no further sea-salt aerosol production occurs as the airmass advects out over land. The oceanic aerosols that are well-mixed throughout the boundary layer are then more efficiently transported inland than are the surf-generated aerosols, which are confined to the first few tens of metres above the surface, and are therefore also more susceptible to the type of surface (trees or grass) that determines the deposition velocity. 相似文献
996.
Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Peter Läderach Julian Ramirez–Villegas Carlos Navarro-Racines Carlos Zelaya Armando Martinez–Valle Andy Jarvis 《Climatic change》2017,140(1):47-61
Savannas constitute the most fire-prone vegetation type on earth and are a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions. Most savanna fires are lit by people for a variety of livelihood applications. ‘Savanna burning’ is an accountable activity under the Kyoto Protocol, but only Australia, as a developed economy, accounts for emissions from this source in its national accounts. Over the past decade considerable effort has been given to developing savanna burning projects in northern Australia, combining customary indigenous (Aboriginal) approaches to landscape-scale fire management with development of scientifically robust emissions accounting methodologies. Formal acceptance by the Australian Government of that methodology, and its inclusion in Australia’s developing emissions trading scheme, paves the way for Aboriginal people to commercially benefit from savanna burning projects. The paper first describes this Australian experience, and then explores options for implementing community-based savanna burning emissions reduction projects in other continental savanna settings, specifically in Namibia and Venezuela. These latter examples illustrate that savanna fire management approaches potentially have broader application for contributing to livelihood opportunities in other fire-prone savanna regions. 相似文献
997.
On 21–22 July 2012, torrential rains hit North China, with the daily precipitation record at Beijing station reaching 160.6 mm; this event is named the Beijing 7–21 case. This paper assesses the likelihood of the occurrence of local torrential rains, such as the Beijing 7–21 case, from the perspective of climate variability. In particular, the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is assessed. There were five extreme events, with daily precipitation records equal to or larger than 160.6 mm, at Beijing station during the period 1951–2012; all of these events happened during negative phases of the PDO. The present analysis indicates that precipitation events more extreme than the Beijing 7–21 case should happen more than once per decade during negative phases of the PDO, but only about once every four decades during positive PDO phases. The negative phase of the PDO is found to be associated with a much greater probability of daily records of southerly winds in North China during summer. Strong southerly summer monsoons are deemed favorable for increasing the occurrence of local extreme rainfall over North China. 相似文献
998.
999.
Joshua S. Halofsky Jessica E. Halofsky Miles A. Hemstrom Anita T. Morzillo Xiaoping Zhou Daniel C. Donato 《Climatic change》2017,142(1-2):83-95
While ecosystem services and climate change are often examined independently, quantitative assessments integrating these fields are needed to inform future land management decisions. Using climate-informed state-and-transition simulations, we examined projected trends and tradeoffs for a suite of ecosystem services under four climate change scenarios and two management scenarios (active management emphasizing fuel treatments and no management other than fire suppression) in a fire-prone landscape of dry and moist mixed-conifer forests in central Oregon, USA. Focal ecosystem services included fire potential (regulating service), timber volume (provisioning service), and potential wildlife habitat (supporting service). Projections without climate change suggested active management in dry mixed-conifer forests would create more open forest structures, reduce crown fire potential, and maintain timber stocks, while in moist mixed-conifer forests, active management would reduce crown fire potential but at the expense of timber stocks. When climate change was considered, however, trends in most ecosystem services changed substantially, with large increases in wildfire area predominating broad-scale trends in outputs, regardless of management approach (e.g., strong declines in timber stocks and habitat for closed-forest wildlife species). Active management still had an influence under a changing climate, but as a moderator of the strong climate-driven trends rather than being a principal driver of ecosystem service outputs. These results suggest projections of future ecosystem services that do not consider climate change may result in unrealistic expectations of benefits. 相似文献
1000.
Climate change poses serious threats to the protection and preservation of cultural heritage and resources. Despite a high level of scholarly interest in climate change impacts on natural and socio-economic systems, a comprehensive understanding of the impacts of climate change on cultural heritage and resources across various continents and disciplines is noticeably absent from the literature. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic literature review methodology to identify and characterize the state of knowledge and how the cultural heritage and resources at risk from climate change are being explored globally. Results from 124 reviewed publications show that scholarly interest in the topic is increasing, employs a wide range of research methods, and represents diverse natural and social science disciplines. Despite such increasing and diverse interest in climate change and cultural heritage and resources, the geographic scope of research is limited (predominantly European focused). Additionally, we identified the need for future studies that not only focuses on efficient, sustainable adaptation planning options but also documents if, and how, the implementation of cultural heritage and resources adaptation or preservation is taking place. This systematic literature review can help direct scholarly research in climate change and cultural heritage and resource area. Ultimately, we hope these new directions can influence policy-making for preservation and adaptation of cultural heritage and cultural resources globally. 相似文献