Landslide susceptibility modeling based on ANFIS with teaching-learning-based optimization and Satin bowerbird optimizer

As threats of landslide hazards have become gradually more severe in recent decades,studies on landslide prevention and mitigation have attracted widespread attention in relevant domains.A hot research topic has been the ability to predict landslide susceptibility,which can be used to design schemes of land exploitation and urban development in mountainous areas.In this study,the teaching-learning-based optimization(TLBO)and satin bowerbird optimizer(SBO)algorithms were applied to optimize the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS)model for landslide susceptibility mapping.In the study area,152 landslides were identified and randomly divided into two groups as training(70%)and validation(30%)dataset.Additionally,a total of fifteen landslide influencing factors were selected.The relative importance and weights of various influencing factors were determined using the step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis(SWARA)method.Finally,the comprehensive performance of the two models was validated and compared using various indexes,such as the root mean square error(RMSE),processing time,convergence,and area under receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROC).The results demonstrated that the AUROC values of the ANFIS,ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS-SBO models with the training data were 0.808,0.785 and 0.755,respectively.In terms of the validation dataset,the ANFISSBO model exhibited a higher AUROC value of 0.781,while the AUROC value of the ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS models were 0.749 and 0.681,respectively.Moreover,the ANFIS-SBO model showed lower RMSE values for the validation dataset,indicating that the SBO algorithm had a better optimization capability.Meanwhile,the processing time and convergence of the ANFIS-SBO model were far superior to those of the ANFIS-TLBO model.Therefore,both the ensemble models proposed in this paper can generate adequate results,and the ANFIS-SBO model is recommended as the more suitable model for landslide susceptibility assessment in the study area considered due to its excellent accuracy and efficiency.     

障碍物对风速风向影响的观测试验

随着城市化进程的加大,测站周围障碍物的存在使风观测资料失去代表性、准确性和比较性。为定量化研究障碍物对风观测的影响,开展了河北沽源构筑物观测试验,通过对比构筑物修建前后各测点的风速风向资料,分析了障碍物对风速风向的影响。分析结果显示:1障碍物对风速的衰减作用与背景风速大小有关,风速越大,衰减作用越强;2背景风速在2~6m/s时,障碍物背风面测点风速衰减随距离增大而减小,在10倍障碍物高度距离处平均约衰减15%;背景风速大于6m/s时,背风面各测点风速衰减先增大后减小,在大约5倍障碍物高度的距离处衰减最大,10倍障碍物高度的距离处平均约衰减20%~30%;3障碍物的存在使主风向的风向频率减小,对风向的影响距离为6倍障碍物高度。     

相似台风“泰利”和“桑美”的数值模拟和对比分析

结合客观分析、常规探空和地面观测资料、中尺度自动站资料以及数值模拟资料,探讨两个相似台风"泰利"和"桑美"的风雨差异的成因."泰利"北上时与西风槽结合,形成稳定的"北槽南涡"的天气形势;"桑美"北上时其北侧存在高压坝,并且强度增强,不利于环流云系的发散."泰利"过程有弱冷空气从边界层向南渗透;"桑美"过程中低层没有冷空气活动.地面风场上,"泰利"在杭州湾以北太湖以南存在东风和东北风的辐合线;"桑美"则存在东风和东南风的辐散."泰利"过程中,浙北处在能量锋区南侧的高能区内,存在中尺度锋生,处于弱不稳定状态,有利于能量的积累和强对流的促发;"桑美"过程中.浙北处在能量锋区北侧的低能带内,并且层结非常稳定.相似台风造成的风雨影响可能差别很大,需根据具体的天气形势、边界层内冷空气活动情况、地面风场辐合线,以及能量锋区和稳定度等方面做进一步判断.     

气象装备保障效能评估技术

随着气象部门装备保障业务重要性的不断提高,开展装备保障评估方法的研究,对保障质量进行科学评价成为一个新的课题。就监控、维护和维修3个装备保障子业务分别建立了各自的评估体系,还利用监控、维护和维修业务的独立性,提出了根据业务单位职责的组成,使用监控率、故障率和维修率三者的加权平均值评估装备保障综合效能的方法,对建立装备保障业务的考核体系有一定的参考借鉴意义。     

粤北地区产铀岩体的铀矿化特征及其成矿机制探讨

粤北地区是中国花岗岩型铀矿最为重要的大型矿聚集区,其主要的产铀花岗岩体是诸广山岩体和贵东岩体,均为多期多阶段的复式岩体,主要以印支期和燕山期的花岗岩为主。粤北地区的铀矿床主要由诸广山的长江铀矿田、澜河铀矿田、鹿井铀矿田和贵东岩体的下庄铀矿田组成,根据铀的成矿特征可分为硅化带型、交点型和碱交代型。粤北地区的铀成矿流体主要来自于地幔,而不是以往认为的花岗岩浆期后热液,铀源主要是粤北产铀岩体的印支期花岗岩。因此在华南开展新一轮铀矿找矿时,跳出以往“沿带找矿”的老思路,聚焦于印支期岩浆作用与铀矿床的关系,并重点关注华南地区可能的地幔柱或热点区域。     

Quality influencing factors of dispersion curves from short period dense arrays based on a convolutional neural network across the north section of the Xiaojiang fault area

The number of dispersion curves increases significantly when the scale of a short-period dense array increases. Owing to a substantial increase in data volume, it is important to quickly evaluate dispersion curve quality as well as select the available dispersion curve. Accordingly, this study quantitatively evaluated dispersion curve quality by training a convolutional neural network model for ambient noise tomography using a short-period dense array. The model can select high-quality dispersio...     

An accessible strong-motion dataset (PGA,PGV, and site vS30) of 2022 MS6.8 Luding,China Earthquake

A M_S6.8 earthquake occurred on 5th September 2022 in Luding county, Sichuan, China, at 12: 52 Beijing Time(4:52 UTC). We complied a dataset of PGA, PGV, and site v_S30 of 73 accelerometers and 791 Micro-Electro-Mechanical System(MEMS)sensors within 300 km of the epicenter. The inferred v_S30 of 820 recording sites were validated. The study results show that:(1)The maximum horizontal PGA and PGV reaches 634.1 Gal and 71.1 cm/s respectively.(2) Over 80% of records ar...     

Major contribution to carbon neutrality by China’s geosciences and geological technologies

In the context of global climate change, geosciences provide an important geological solution to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality, China’s geosciences and geological technologies can play an important role in solving the problem of carbon neutrality. This paper discusses the main problems, opportunities, and challenges that can be solved by the participation of geosciences in carbon neutrality, as well as China’s response to them. The main scientific problems involved and the geological work carried out mainly fall into three categories: (1) Carbon emission reduction technology (natural gas hydrate, geothermal, hot dry rock, nuclear energy, hydropower, wind energy, solar energy, hydrogen energy); (2) carbon sequestration technology (carbon capture and storage, underground space utilization); (3) key minerals needed to support carbon neutralization (raw materials for energy transformation, carbon reduction technology). Therefore, geosciences and geological technologies are needed: First, actively participate in the development of green energy such as natural gas, geothermal energy, hydropower, hot dry rock, and key energy minerals, and develop exploration and exploitation technologies such as geothermal energy and natural gas; the second is to do a good job in geological support for new energy site selection, carry out an in-depth study on geotechnical feasibility and mitigation measures, and form the basis of relevant economic decisions to reduce costs and prevent geological disasters; the third is to develop and coordinate relevant departments of geosciences, organize and carry out strategic research on natural resources, carry out theoretical system research on global climate change and other issues under the guidance of earth system science theory, and coordinate frontier scientific information and advanced technological tools of various disciplines. The goal of carbon neutrality provides new opportunities and challenges for geosciences research. In the future, it is necessary to provide theoretical and technical support from various aspects, enhance the ability of climate adaptation, and support the realization of the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.     

广州市南沙区万顷沙网河区排涝调蓄演算研究

快速城市化进程改变了城市地区原有下垫面,不透水层面积增加,暴雨期间汇流时间缩短,洪峰流量加大,进而导致城市内涝加剧,严重影响城市的防洪安全.本研究以广州市南沙区万顷沙网河区为研究对象,基于水量平衡的调蓄演算方法,对研究区域蓄排设施的规模进行分析;构建MIKE11一维网河模型,对涝区水情进行模拟,校核排涝工程规模,并对工...     

苏门答腊中部Panti早始新世S型花岗岩地球化学特征及其新特提斯构造意义

苏门答腊地处特提斯构造域与印度洋岛弧系统之内,区内广泛发育中-新生代火成岩.这些火成岩对特提斯构造带的延伸及界定具有重要意义,但目前对于苏门答腊岛的研究程度较低.本文选取苏门答腊岛中部Panti地区的花岗岩进行了岩相学、锆石年代学、锆石原位Hf同位素和全岩地球化学研究.年代学研究表明,Panti花岗岩锆石U-Pb年龄为...