逐日环流指数的最大熵谱分析

用最大熵方法对1956—1977年逐日500毫巴亚洲环流指数分别按年和季进行了谱分析。结果指出:指数循环是一种可变周期,周期长度从2周至9周不等,但优势周期处在4周至6周。多年平均值的主周期为32天,次周期为17天。指数变化速率的优势周期处在11—15天,主周期平均长度为13天。周期的季节性差异并不明显,其长年变化呈现出5—6年的阶段性。     

不同型式暗支撑短肢剪力墙抗震性能试验研究

本文选取短肢剪力墙结构体系中较为薄弱的抗震构件“一”形短肢剪力墙，采用不同的暗支撑型式进行了两个1／2缩尺的带暗支撑短肢剪力墙构件的低周反复荷载试验，比较分析了它们的承载力、刚度、延性、滞回特性、耗能能力及破坏机制，建立了其承载力计算模型与方法。计算结果与实测值符合较好。     

地统计学分析技术及其在气象中的适用性

首先论述了地统计学的一些特点，然后从变异函数和Kriging插值两个方面介绍了地统计学的分析技术，最后讨论了地统计学在气象研究中的适用性。     

Forecasting Monsoon Precipitation Using Artificial Neural Networks

This paper explores the application of Artificial Intelligent (AI) techniques for climate forecast. It pres ents a study on modelling the monsoon precipitation forecast by means of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Using the historical data of the total amount of summer rainfall over the Delta Area of Yangtze River in China, three ANNs models have been developed to forecast the monsoon precipitation in the corre sponding area one year, five-year, and ten-year forward respectively. Performances of the models have been validated using a ＇new＇ data set that has not been exposed to the models during the processes of model development and test. The experiment results are promising, indicating that the proposed ANNs models have good quality in terms of the accuracy, stability and generalisation ability.     

江西区域强暴雨的热力和动力条件诊断分析

通过对江西１９次强暴雨过程的物理量合成分析，得出江西产生强暴雨物理背景场的热力 动力条件，归纳出江西区域强暴雨的预报着眼点。     

卡尔曼滤波技术在伪距法动态定位中的应用探讨

本文对动态定位数据处理中应用卡尔曼滤波方法进行研究，通过模拟数据和实测数据采用自编软件进行数据处理，并对成果进行统计分析，最后，讨论了采用卡尔曼滤波方法的缺点，得出了一些有益的结论。     

Asymmetric changes in maximum and minimum temperature in Beijing

Summary Based on observational data at Beijing since 1940, trends in daily maximum, mimimum and mean temperatures are studied. It is shown that the linear rate of increase in minimum temperature is 4.08 °C/100 yr; whereas the maximum temperature decreases with a linear rate of — 0.245 °C/100 yr. Consequently, the diurnal temperature range (DTR) becomes smaller.Warming in Beijing occurred mainly in the daytime in the 1940s; but in the night in the 1980s. Although the latter has been found in other studies, the former is a new discovery. The difference of temperature and the diurnal temperature range between urban and surburban areas in Beijing are also analysed. The results show that the urban heat island effect (UHIE) has been becoming larger, and during 1960–1989 the change in UHIE in summer is larger than that in winter. Since the warning trend does not match the change of UHIE in last two decades, it is thought that UHIE is not the main factor contributing to climatic warming.With 2 Figures     

800KaB．P．来西藏“一江两河”中游地区的气候与西南季风变化

西藏“一江两河”中游地区风成地层沉积时代、沉积相和磁化率等研究结果表明，早在８００ＫａＢ．Ｐ．前西南季风就已存在，受全球气候波动和青藏高原隆起的影响，其盛行衰变与东南季风具有较好的一致性，主要表现为本区地层所记录的气候变化信息不如东南季风区详细；而且西南季风因高原屏障作用给本区带来的降水愈来愈少，气候明显地向干冷化发展。     

浙闽淤泥质港湾表层沉积物的地球化学特征

采用原子吸收光谱法,对乐清湾及三都澳表层沉积物的15只样品,进行了分析,其结果显示,沉积环境,沉积物类型和泥沙来源,控制着乐清湾和三都澳金属元素及有机质迁移富集规律,并显示具有极为相似的分布特征。本区重金属元素的含量与其它区域相比,以及Fe/Mn比值,充分显示了它们的继承性和亲陆性,同时进一步说明本区表层沉积物,主要由潮流作用从口外海域搬运而来,受到长江口泥沙扩散的影响,其次是周围岛屿和山溪性河流的补给。     

土压力问题的变分解答

用变分学方法导出了与朗肯土压力公式和库伦土压力公式完全一致的土压力计算公式，并且一般情况下的极值曲线线不同一条直线，而是比较复杂的曲线，在 倾斜边坡情况下的伦公式仅仅是一个特解。