冬季降水相态的探空廓线分型研究

首先阐述了不同降水相态的形成机理及其与典型温度分布之间的联系,提出应用面积元方法计算出的探空廓线与0℃等温线相交形成的正、负区面积和两者的交点数,以及地面温度作为降水相态(雨,雨夹雪,雪,冻雨,冰粒)的预测因子。再利用我国120个测站2007—2013年冬季地面和高空观测资料,统计分析了探空廓线与降水相态的关系,指出可以根据交点数区分冻雨、冰粒与雨雪,地面温度区分冰针和米雪,而雨、雪和雨夹雪可以根据探空廓线与0℃线有1个交点和低层正面积区的大小进行相态区分。     

基于MODIS-EVI数据的神农架林区植被指数变化特征研究

对植被覆盖动态变化监测可以提供生态系统状况有价值的信息,可以检测到人类或气候作用引起的变化.以2003-2012年MODIS的遥感数据为信息源,利用增强型植被指数(EVI),采用最大值合成法,对神农架林区植被覆盖动态变化进行监测,并与同期的气候因子进行相关性分析,结果表明:10 a来神农架林区植被覆盖整体呈增加趋势,且东部地区的EVI增幅大于西部增幅,特别是近5 a(2008-2012年),除2010年外,植被指数均为正距平.说明神农架林区近5 a来植被生长状况较好,生态环境得到了进一步改善.与气候因子进行相关性分析说明,气温是制约神农架植被生长的主要气候因子,而降水和日照是影响该地区植被生长的重要气候因子.     

江西省森林和植被碳汇价值研究

江西生态优势明显,森林覆盖率居全国前列,研究植被生态系统碳汇价值是应对气候变化和生态文明建设的具体体现。基于森林资源清查资料,研究了2001—2016年江西省森林碳汇价值;基于卫星遥感数据反演获取植被生态系统净初级生产力(NPP),评估了2000—2016年江西各设区市(县)植被碳汇分布特征。结果表明:1)2016年江西省森林碳储量价值为980.30亿元,植被和森林碳汇价值均呈上升趋势。2)江西省植被碳汇价值增加率为4.55亿元/a,2016年约为823.53亿元,每公顷所创造的碳汇经济价值为4930.67元,比2000年增加了11%。3)2016年各设区市植被碳汇价值排名前三位的分别是赣州、吉安和上饶,排名后三位的是新余、鹰潭和萍乡,单位面积固碳价值排名前三位的为赣州、吉安和抚州,排名后三位的是南昌、九江和鹰潭,其排名与森林面积和森林覆盖率有较大关系。     

1208号台风“韦森特”异常路径及其对珠三角南部暴雨影响成因分析

利用1°×1°NCEP再分析资料、全省遥测站资料、卫星云图、香港雷达图等资料,分析台风“韦森特”的环流背景场、物理量场特征,找出“韦森特”在南海中北部原地摆动和对珠三角南部强降水过程的物理成因：“韦森特”的原地摆动,与副热带高压、南海中部海温、还有台风内在的云系和风场结构的不对称有关;珠三角地区两侧附近存在弱的水汽通量辐合,在降水中心附近存在明显的上升运动,低层辐合、高层辐散,另外垂直螺旋场与降水中心的第一段降水期具有很好的对应关系.     

Impacts of a nuclear war in South Asia on rice production in Mainland China

A regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan with a 5 Tg black carbon injection into the upper troposphere would produce significant climate changes for a decade, including cooling, reduction of solar radiation, and reduction of precipitation, which are all important factors controlling agricultural productivity. We used the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer agricultural simulation model to simulate regional nuclear war impacts on rice yield in 24 provinces in China. We first evaluated the model by forcing it with daily weather data and management practices for the period 1980–2008 for 24 provinces in China, and compared the results to observations of rice yields in China. Then we perturbed observed weather data using climate anomalies for a 10-year period from a nuclear war simulation. We perturbed each year of the 30-year climate record with anomalies from each year of the 10-year nuclear war simulations for different regions in China. We found that rice production would decline by an average of 21 % for the first 4 years after soot injection, and would slowly recover in the following years. For the next 6 years, the reduction in rice production was about 10 %. Different regions responded differently to climate changes from nuclear war. Rice production in northern China was damaged severely, while regions along the south and east coasts showed a positive response to regional nuclear war. Although we might try to adapt to a perturbed climate by enhancing rice planting activity in southern and eastern China or increasing fertilizer usage, both methods have severe limitations. The best solution to avoid nuclear war impacts on agriculture is to avoid nuclear war, and this can only be guaranteed with a nuclear-weapon-free world.     

THE EROSIONAL PROCESS OF THE SOFT SHORE OF CHINA IN THE RECENT DECADES

ＴＨＥ ＥＲＯＳＩＯＮＡＬ ＰＲＯＣＥＳＳ ＯＦ ＴＨＥ ＳＯＦＴ ＳＨＯＲＥ ＯＦ ＣＨＩＮＡ ＩＮ ＴＨＥ ＲＥＣＥＮＴ ＤＥＣＡＤＥＳ ＷａｎｇＷｅｎｈａｉ（王文海）；ＷｕＳａｎｇｙｕｎ（吴桑云）；ＸｉａＤｏｎｇｘｉｎｇ（夏东兴）（ＦｉｒｓｔＩ...     

A Catalog of Luminous Infrared Galaxies in the IRAS Survey and Second Data Release of SDSS

We selected a sample of luminous infrared galaxies by cross-identification of the Faint Source Catalogue (FSC) and Point Source Catalogue (PSC) of the IRAS Survey with the Second Data Release of the SDSS. The size of our sample is 1267 for FSC and 427 for PSC by using the 2σ significance level cross-section. The "likelihood ratio" method is used to estimate the individual's reliability and for defining two more reliable subsamples (908 for FSC and 356 for PSC). A catalog of infrared, optical and radio data is compiled and will be used in further work. Some statistical results show that luminous infrared galaxies are quite different from ultra-luminous infrared galaxies. The AGN fractions of galaxies at different infrared luminosities and the radio-infrared correlations are consistent with the previous studies.     

火星的岁差和章动

火星是类地行星，火星动力学的研究不仅具有科学意义，而且还具有实际应用价值。火星的空间探测获得了许多有关火星极运动的重要资料，它与理论值的比较是检验火星内部结构的重要手段，也是为改进火星岁差章动理论提供依据的有效途径。介绍了当前国际上有关火星的岁差和章动研究的进展，分别对刚体火星的章动序列、火星内部结构参数化模型的建立和火星自转的简正模作了描述，并进行了简单的讨论。