广东省风能资源的计算及分析

本文利用广东省气象台站的风速自记资料,计算风能资源,并分析风能资源的分布特点及规律,得到的结果是沿海岛屿风能丰富,内地风能贫乏,冬半年风能条件比夏半年好。按全省风能蕴藏量可划为三大区:沿海岛屿为风能丰富区,沿岸为风能可利用区,大陆内地和海南岛五指山区为风能贫乏区。      

Relationships between Interannual and Intraseasonal Variations of the Asian-Western Pacific Summer Monsoon Hindcasted by BCC_CSM1.1（m）

Using hindcasts of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model, the relationships between interannual variability （IAV） and intraseasonal variability （ISV） of the Asian-western Pacific summer monsoon are diagnosed. Predictions show reasonable skill with respect to some basic characteristics of the ISV and IAV of the western North Pacific summer monsoon （WNPSM） and the Indian summer monsoon （ISM）. However, the links between the seasonally averaged ISV （SAISV） and seasonal mean of ISM are overestimated by the model. This deficiency may be partially attributable to the overestimated frequency of long breaks and underestimated frequency of long active spells of ISV in normal ISM years, although the model is capable of capturing the impact of ISV on the seasonal mean by its shift in the probability of phases. Furthermore, the interannual relationships of seasonal mean, SAISV, and seasonally averaged long-wave variability （SALWV; i.e., the part with periods longer than the intraseasonal scale） of the WNPSM and ISM with SST and low-level circulation are examined. The observed seasonal mean, SAISV, and SALWV show similar correlation patterns with SST and atmospheric circulation, but with different details. However, the model presents these correlation distributions with unrealistically small differences among different scales, and it somewhat overestimates the teleconnection between monsoon and tropical central-eastern Pacific SST for the ISM, but underestimates it for the WNPSM, the latter of which is partially related to the too-rapid decrease in the impact of E1 Nifio-Southern Oscillation with forecast time in the model.     

Assessment of GEWEX/SRB version 3.0 monthly global radiation dataset over China

NASA/GEWEX (National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment) Surface Radiation Budget (SRB) has released its latest radiation dataset, version 3.0. We examine the accuracy of the monthly mean global radiation in China using surface-observed radiation (SOR) data at 42 stations during the period 1984?C2004. Overall comparison shows a general overestimation of satellite retrieval radiation data with a bias of 14.6?W?m^?2 and a root mean square error of 25.9?W?m^?2. Differences at individual stations suggested satellite data are consistently higher than surface measurements over eastern China (110°E), but occasional underestimation occurs in Western China, especially Southwest China. Intra-annual variation analysis indicates that SRB satellite radiation can capture the annual cycle well. For trend of global radiations, there are evident discrepancies between satellite retrievals and surface measurements for both the entire period and segmental terms. For the entire period from 1984 to 2004, most stations show a positive trend based on surface measurements, while the majority of collocated pixels show a negative trend. Segmental trends demonstrated that the principal difference occurred during the first period of 1981?C1994. After 1994, the two datasets change similarly. Therefore, trend analysis in terms of detecting global dimming/brightening remains very difficult as surface measurements and satellite products do not agree yet. In addition, some proposals are made towards better understanding of the bias of satellite products and to improve further the satellite retrieval algorithm with better representation of both cloud and aerosol properties.     

夏季东太湖光合有效辐射衰减特征及其对沉水植物恢复的指示

水下光照分布是影响水生态系统的重要因素,研究光合有效辐射衰减特征对于沉水植物恢复具有一定的指导意义.根据沉水植物生物量资料,将东太湖划分为沉水植物茂盛区、沉水植物稀疏区和无植物区3种区域.基于2019年夏季原位水下光场资料,探讨了东太湖光衰减特性和光照衰减因子的空间差异以及不同区域内的主导衰减因子,分析了东太湖的稳态阶段和富营养化水平,并阐述了真光层深度与透明度的关系,以期为东太湖沉水植物恢复和保护提供相关资料.结果表明:东太湖不同区域光衰减特性差异显著,光合有效辐射衰减系数(k d(PAR))在0.73~11.80 m^-1之间变化,真光层深度范围为0.39~6.31 m.不同区域的无机悬浮物和有机悬浮物浓度存在显著性差异,稀疏区叶绿素a浓度显著高于茂盛区,而与无植物区没有显著差异,有色可溶性有机物(CDOM)吸收系数在3种区域无显著性差异.k d(PAR)与无机、有机悬浮物的线性拟合效果较好,而与叶绿素a、CDOM拟合较差.水体吸收和散射作用是茂盛区光衰减的主要原因,无植物区域主导衰减因子仅有无机悬浮物,稀疏区由叶绿素a和无机悬浮物共同主导,是生态修复需要重点关注的区域,有机悬浮物和CDOM对东太湖光照衰减没有太大影响.东太湖目前正处于从草型稳态向藻型稳态过渡的阶段,整个湖泊属于富营养水平,真光层深度大约为透明度的2.7倍.     

鄱阳湖流域蚌类环境DNA宏条形码引物的筛选验证

环境DNA技术是一种非侵入、高灵敏、高效率且对环境无破坏性,对生物体无损伤的调查工具.为了筛选适合于蚌类环境DNA生物多样性研究的宏条形码引物,本研究通过对鄱阳湖流域24种常见蚌的基因组DNA进行普通扩增和高通量测序筛选了11对引物(设计了9对通用引物及从相关文献中引用了2对引物),结果显示引物cytb和16S rRN...     

夏季西北干旱气候形成的数值模拟——高原地形和环流场等的影响

为了进一步检验和修改本文部分作者先前初步提出的影响夏季西北干旱气候形成的因子及如何相互作用形成西北干旱气候的物理图像,本文继续用一全球大气环流谱模式,设计了5组试验,利用ECMWF 的格点分析值资料,进行了数值模拟。结果表明,青藏高原隆升和环流差异是形成西北干旱气候的重要因子,已提出的西北干旱气候形成的物理图像大体是正确的。     

湘西北地区一次局地特大暴雨分析

利用多普勒雷达资料和闪电定位资料,对2006年8月24日晚常德西北地区的局部特大暴雨成因进行分析,结果表明MCV的不断生成与合并维持MCC的生命史,3个MCC组成一个有组织的MCS,中尺度辐合线是造成特大暴雨的主要原因,回波的生成和发展趋向暖湿气流流入的方向,中低层东南暖湿气流为特大暴雨提供充足水汽,闪电活动的开始指示强降水的开始,南北向地形的抬升作用有利于回波维持和加强,提高回波降水效率和延长降水时间。     

探测仪器特性曲线异常分析

探测仪器感应曲线发生变化,造成升速异常、等压面的温度、湿度错误、雷达〖CD*2〗气压高差偏大、时间〖CD*2〗高度线曲变化异常造成的规定高度上的风误差偏大,使部分资料或整份资料失真,影响探测准确性。本文主要从仪器的感应曲线变化后对各气象要素产生的影响进行分析,得出结论：不同的元件变性对气象要素产生的影响不同,气压变化的影响侧重于高差和升速,温度变化则侧重于规定等压面的温度绝对误差和规定等压面高度的偏差。采用绝对误差计算、加密气象要素计算等方法,结合图形、数据对比,可以确定感应曲线变化时间,从而及时、有效的对探测数据做出合适的处理,进一步提高探测数据的精准度。     

黑龙江省呼玛地区TM图像解译新发现及其找金意义

通过呼玛地区ＴＭ图像解译新发现的分析，阐述了其对原生金矿找矿的意义。     

弱受迫作用下大气对流运动进入混沌的条件及分岔途径

Guckenheimer和Holmes针对弱受迫系统或如下的小参数受迫方程组