基于雷达海冰图像互相关的冰漂流场测量

我国的渤海和黄海北部在每年冬季都出现不同程度的冰情,它直接影响结冰海区的石油平台、船舶以及港口等设施的正常作业,对海冰的观测与预报随着上述海区的开发利用越发显得重要,利用航海雷达连续准确地跟踪海冰漂移运动轨迹,是当今观测、调查、研究冰漂流移动规律的有效方法之一,我国的科研人员利用雷达成像技术对渤海的冰情进行了长期的雷达海冰观测、研究,在由雷达海冰图像对海冰的物理特征的识别、分类以及冰漂流场测量方面取得了一些进展[1-4]。     

非结构化网格下大范围波生流模拟和应用

波浪破碎引起的沿岸流是近岸海域的关键水动力因素。利用基于缓坡方程得到的光程函数方程和波作用守恒方程建立了考虑绕射效应的大范围波浪传播模型,模型可以考虑流场的影响;将波浪模型计算得到的辐射应力、波浪紊动系数等参数添加到三维水动力模型中,得到大范围近岸波生流的计算模型。模型中流场和波浪可以共用计算网格,且可同步耦合计算;模型基于非结构化网格,可以拟合复杂岸线的变化。模型对波生沿岸流、环流和逆流进行了验证,同时对实际海域的波生流进行了计算,结果表明:该模型对近岸波浪破碎引起的波生流具有很好的精度和适用性,可用于实际工程的计算。     

扬子板块北缘中段多期褶皱构造的变形特征及叠加关系

扬子板块北缘在中生代期间经历多期构造变形,早期形成的构造样式多被后期的构造变形改造破坏,仅在大巴山弧形断裂和大洪山弧形带之间的南漳一带较好地保存了早期的构造变形样式。笔者通过对当阳复向斜北段发育的褶皱构造的构造要素测量统计和褶皱叠加关系的解析,在扬子板块北缘中段南漳一带识别出三期走向不同的褶皱叠加构造,按发育早晚顺序分别为NW-SE走向褶皱、NE-SW走向褶皱和近EW走向褶皱,分别对应扬子板块向北俯冲以及后期转入陆内变形、江南–雪峰褶皱逆冲带向NW逆冲推覆和晚侏罗世到早白垩世期间大巴山向SW推进等构造变形过程。     

煤巷弱胶结顶板稳定性分析与变形控制技术

煤层顶板为弱胶结岩体时稳定性差,常在煤炭回采过程中或巷道掘进时发生大变形或失稳等现象,维护难度较大。针对煤巷弱胶结粉砂岩顶板力学特征与变形控制等问题,以广西林场煤矿煤巷弱胶结粉砂岩顶板支护工程为工程背景,采用现场调研、实验室试验、理论分析等方法进行研究。通过现场调研,发现研究巷道有顶板岩层自承能力差、受水环境影响、支护结构失效率高、底板受水影响底鼓量大、受采动影响等特征;顶板岩石点荷载试验表明,其单轴抗压强度仅为1.9～ 2.3 MPa,采用电镜扫描发现,弱胶结粉砂岩以粗粒矿物为骨架;在普氏理论的基础上,推导了巷道顶板和两帮承压极限表达式,提出了提高巷道围岩整体强度和承载能力、确定合理的锚杆支护参数、顶板设计锚索加强支护等弱胶结巷道围岩控制要点。依据试验分析与理论研究成果,提出了以注浆加固为基础,锚杆和锚索联合支护的控制方案,并在林场煤矿进行了工业性试验。现场监测数据表明,设计的支护方案可以有效地控制煤巷弱胶结粉砂岩顶板变形。     

IDW矿石品位估值结果的不确定性评价

作为一种常用的矿石品位估值方法, 距离幂次反比(inverse distance weighting, 简称IDW)计算结果的可信度难以评估.对此, 提出了一种基于统计学理论的解决途径. 将参与IDW估值的样品品位视为指示化阈值, 推导得出估值过程中其分配到的权重, 即为待估点取这样品值的概率. 基于这一结论构建出IDW估计值对应的条件累计分布函数(conditional cumulative distribution function, 简称CCDF), 从而完成待估位置矿石品位不确定性的建模. 以一典型矿区的实际矿体勘探数据为基础进行了对比测试. 针对每个估值点的CCDF进行了中位数、期望、方差等信息的提取, 验证表明这一方法的计算结果与样品数据的实际情况之间存在较好的吻合度. 在一定程度上说明了它在IDW品位估值结果不确定性评价方面的有效性.      

动三轴试验机轴向摩擦解决的研究

介绍了20 kN动三轴试验机机械工作原理,分析了该仪器轴向摩擦力的产生原因,提出了解决办法并加以具体实施.     

Triton: stratospheric molecules and organic sediments

Hydrocarbons and nitriles are produced in Triton's stratosphere by energetic electrons from Neptune's magnetosphere and other charged particle sources. Laboratory plasma experiments reported here show a substantial yield of molecules from low pressure flows of 10(-3) CH4 in N2 appropriate to Triton if both CH4 and N2 are saturated at the surface. An active magnetosphere similar to that of Uranus would result in a flux approximately 0.3 erg cm-2 s-1 of 0.1-1 MeV electrons in Triton's stratosphere; molecular production rates are then 10(6)-10(8) cm-2 s-1 for NH3, C2H2, HCN, and NCCN; tens of hundreds of gm cm-2 of these compounds per 10(9) yr (and lesser quantities of at least eight other molecules experimentally detected) would freeze to fine-grained white condensates in the lower stratosphere and sediment to the surface. Along with dark/colored organic haze produced in the stratosphere and other heteropolymers produced at the surface, these condensates are subjects to redistribution by aeolian processes and may appear as lag deposits and/or sediment layers. A simple eddy diffusion model indicates abundances approximately 10(19) molec cm-2 for HCN and C2H2, and > 10(17) molec cm-2 for NCCN, CH3CCH, CH2CCH2, and CH3CN in the stratosphere; these and other organic molecules will be detectable by IRIS if the stratosphere is (as expected) heated through ultraviolet and visible light absorption by the haze.     

陕西测震台网地震速报结果评估

陕西省"十五"数字测震台网的建成并投入运行,极大地提高了陕西测震台网地震监测能力和地震速报能力,并成功地经受了四川汶川8.0级地震的考验。在2008年5月12日14时28分汶川8.0级地震后至5月31日,陕西测震台网速报地震669个,其中在地震速报规定范围内速报5级以上地震11个。在应对2009年11月5日陕西高陵4.4级地震(Ⅰ类速报地震)和2013年7月22日甘肃岷县6.6级地震(Ⅲ类速报地震)及余震序列时,两个主震各种速报参数偏差全部符合地震速报规定对相应类别地震速报的要求。     

Estimating recharge rates with analytic element models and parameter estimation

Quantifying the spatial and temporal distribution of recharge is usually a prerequisite for effective ground water flow modeling. In this study, an analytic element (AE) code (GFLOW) was used with a nonlinear parameter estimation code (UCODE) to quantify the spatial and temporal distribution of recharge using measured base flows as calibration targets. The ease and flexibility of AE model construction and evaluation make this approach well suited for recharge estimation. An AE flow model of an undeveloped watershed in northern Wisconsin was optimized to match median annual base flows at four stream gages for 1996 to 2000 to demonstrate the approach. Initial optimizations that assumed a constant distributed recharge rate provided good matches (within 5%) to most of the annual base flow estimates, but discrepancies of >12% at certain gages suggested that a single value of recharge for the entire watershed is inappropriate. Subsequent optimizations that allowed for spatially distributed recharge zones based on the distribution of vegetation types improved the fit and confirmed that vegetation can influence spatial recharge variability in this watershed. Temporally, the annual recharge values varied >2.5-fold between 1996 and 2000 during which there was an observed 1.7-fold difference in annual precipitation, underscoring the influence of nonclimatic factors on interannual recharge variability for regional flow modeling. The final recharge values compared favorably with more labor-intensive field measurements of recharge and results from studies, supporting the utility of using linked AE-parameter estimation codes for recharge estimation.     

东、南洞庭湖的径流、泥沙特征及冲淤规律

通过实地调查并对1957年以来水文、泥沙观测资料做系统分析和计算,探讨东、南洞庭湖出、入湖水量、沙量的年际和年内变化特征,以及长江下荆江段裁弯对湖区径流和泥沙的影响。提出了湖区泥沙汛淤枯冲的变化规律及水位升降与湖区泥沙冲淤的关系;论证了丰、平、枯年湖区淤积严重,面积日益缩小对径流的调节作用正在减弱。