Height prediction of water flowing fractured zones based on BP artificial neural network

Factures caused by deformation and destruction of bedrocks over coal seams can easily lead to water flooding(inrush)in mines,a threat to safety production.Fractures with high hydraulic conductivity are good watercourses as well as passages for inrush in mines and tunnels.An accurate height prediction of water flowing fractured zones is a key issue in today's mine water prevention and control.The theory of leveraging BP artificial neural network in height prediction of water flowing fractured zones is analysed and applied in Qianjiaying Mine as an example in this paper.Per the comparison with traditional calculation results,the BP artificial neural network better reflects the geological conditions of the research mine areas and produces more objective,accurate and reasonable results,which can be applied to predict the height of water flowing fractured zones.     

一起非地震前兆的水质测项突跳异常

针对郑州市地震局测井水质测项的大幅度突跳异常变化的分析,主要通过观测井连续抽水对水质观测的影响试验,研究抽水时间的长短对水质观测影响的定量关系。分析认为,抽水时间的长短对水质观测的各测项的影响很大,且符合y=ae^b／x函数关系,尤其在抽水持续2～3小时内,水质观测各测项测值变化梯度最大,之后在影响后的高(低)值附近小幅度起伏。因此,该测井水质测项大幅度突跳变化是由于连续抽水影响所致,不属于地震前兆事件。     

BDS卫星差分码偏差稳定性分析及其短期预报

利用MGEX(multi-GNSS experiment)发布的BDS卫星差分码偏差(differential code bias, DCB)产品，比较分析不同太阳活动水平下BDS卫星DCB产品的稳定性变化特性，并采用差分自回归移动平均(auto-regressive integrated moving average, ARIMA)时间序列预测模型，实现不同太阳活动水平下BDS卫星DCB的短期预报。结果表明，在太阳活动高年，BDS卫星DCB日解值稳定度、月稳定性均明显低于太阳活动低年，且不同卫星星座类型的BDS卫星DCB稳定性也存在差异；ARIMA时间序列预报结果与MGEX发布值符合程度较好，优于多项式拟合法预测结果。     

伊朗盐湖分布和研究现状

伊朗盐湖广泛分布,具有丰富的盐湖矿产资源和盐湖生物资源。综合文献资料,重点分析了伊朗盐湖的分布、研究热点、研究机构和研究人员等现状。伊朗盐湖主要为乌尔米耶湖、Meyghan湖、Fesendooz湖、马哈尔卢盐沼和Tashk湖;干盐滩为Houze Sultan干盐滩、巴赫泰甘干盐滩、Gaav Khooni干盐滩、纳马克干盐滩、Khur干盐滩和Haj Aligholj干盐滩;伊朗南部沿海盐类资源集中分布;盐沙漠为达什特坎维和达什特鲁。分析得出伊朗盐湖研究领域论文呈整体增长态势,伊朗盐湖主要的研究内容为盐湖生态环境、盐湖地质、水资源以及盐湖生物,涉及科研机构和科研人员最多的研究领域为盐湖微生物。     

The Characteristics and Controlling Factors of Water and Heat Exchanges over the Alpine Wetland in the East of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Alpine wetland is one of the typical underlying surfaces on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. It plays a crucial role in runoff regulation. Investigations on the mechanisms of water and heat exchanges are necessary to understand the land surface processes over the alpine wetland. This study explores the characteristics of hydro-meteorological factors with in situ observations and uses the Community Land Model 5 to identify the main factors controlling water and heat exchanges.Latent heat flux and therm...     

Impacts of Increasing Model Resolutions and Shortening Forecast Lead Times on QPFs in South China During the Rainy Season

This study investigated the impacts of increasing model resolutions and shortening forecast lead times on the quantitative precipitation forecast(QPF) for heavy-rainfall events over south China during the rainy seasons in 2013–2020.The control experiment, where the analysis-forecast cycles run with model resolutions of about 3 km, was compared to a lower-resolution experiment with model resolutions of about 9 km, and a longer-term experiment activated 12 hours earlier. Rainfall forecasting in th...     

测绘类专业“地球科学概论”理论教学的若干思考

以"地球科学概论"课程角色及测绘类专业特征为基础,分析并给出了测绘类专业发展能够拓展"地球科学概论"教学内容的3个实例,进而对测绘类专业"地球科学概论"课程的理论教学进行了一些思考,能够为相关专业开展该课程教学提供参考。     

一种相关观测的Partial EIV模型求解方法

Partial errors-in-variables(Partial-EIV)模型作为EIV模型的扩展形式,其构造方式更有规律,解算方法更为简便,能有效应用于实际情况。针对已有Partial EIV模型方法未考虑观测向量和系数矩阵存在相关性这一情况,通过提取观测向量和系数矩阵组成的增广矩阵中非重复出现的随机元素,构建更具一般适用性的Partial EIV模型,在该模型的基础上,将特殊假定条件扩展到不限定观测数据相关性的一般情况,详细推导了观测向量和系数矩阵元素相关且不等精度情况下的加权总体最小二乘方法,通过算例试验,并与目前已有的解决EIV模型相关观测情况下的方法进行了比较分析,研究表明本文方法可以提高计算效率,更具一般性,特别是对于观测向量和系数矩阵中存在常数元素和重复元素的情况。     

Eco-compensati on in Guanting Reservoir Watershed Based on Spatiotemporal Variations of Water Yield and Purification Services

Guanting Reservoir (GR) is one of the most important water sources for Beijing and neighboring regions. Due to water pollution, it was withdrawn from the system to supply Beijing drinking water; however, after a thorough treatment process, GR was made a reserve water source since 2007. To develop a comprehensive and quantitative analysis of water yield and purification services in the GR watershed, this study selected two time periods: the period when GR was withdrawn from the system supplying local drinking water and the period that it has been designated a reserve water source. The InVEST model was used to evaluate the quantities of water yields, and total nitrogen and total phosphorus outputs from 1995 to 2010 Additionally, the spatiotemporal variations of water yield services and water quality purification services in the GR watershed were analyzed. The results showed that water yield services in the GR watershed first weakened and then became stronger, but weakened overall during the years 1995 to 2010. Water yield capacity in the basin decreased from 1.89×109 m³ in 1995 to 1.43×109 m³ in 2010 (a drop of 24.0% in total). Water quality purification services also showed the same tendency. Total nitrogen output decreased from 4028.7 t in 1995 to 3611.4 t in 2010, while total phosphorus decreased from 379.7 t in 1995 to 354.0 t in 2010. Nitrogen and phosphorus purification services were enhanced by 10.4% and 6.8%, respectively. Changes in the climate and land use were the main factors which lead to the changes in the water yield service in the GR watershed. Policies intended to protect water resource have matched the varying trends of water quality purification services during different periods. On one hand, the research results provide a foundation to identify key fields for eco-compensation in the Guanting Reservoir basin. On another hand, the ecosystem service value will increase on the basis of eco-compensation criteria through setting the scenarios of returning farmland to forest and ecological protection. This method directly reflects increases in ecosystem service values that have occurred since measures to protect the ecological environment have been implemented. This method is more persuasive and feasible than using eco-compensation criteria based on regional ecosystem service values determined by land use/ coverage type. It can provide a new way to assess eco-compensation in the Guanting Reservoir basin and other regions.     

Analysis of Spatial Mismatch of Tourism Development in Guangdong Province

The spatial mismatch situation of tourism development in Guangdong Province is analyzed by gravity model and two-dimensional matrix based on the spatial mismatch hypothesis, and the results are visualized using ArcGIS software. This study finds that varying degrees of spatial mismatch exist between the level of tourism development, abundance of tourism resources and accessibility of tourism locations in the 21 cities in Guangdong Province. The gravity centers for tourism economy, tourism resources and tourism location are (113.55° E, 23.00° N), (113.69° E, 23.21° N) and (113.74° E, 22.86° N), respectively. According to the two-dimensional combinatorial matrices, synchronous development is shown in 10 prefecture-level cities for the tourism revenue-resource abundance combination, whereas it is shown in seven prefecture-level cities for the tourism revenue-tourism location combination. Guangzhou and Shenzhen are synchronous-double high zones for both combinations, while Foshan, Qingyuan, Yangjiang, Zhongshan and Jieyang are deviating-negative mismatch zones for both combinations. Furthermore, the vast majority of prefecture-level cities within the province currently present mismatching trends in tourism development. Based on the analysis results, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward taking into account the actual situation and opportunities for further tourism development in various prefecture-level cities.