Effect of Penetration Rates on the Piezocone Penetration Test in the Yellow River Delta Silt

Partial drainage often occurs during piezocone penetration testing on Yellow River Delta silt because of its intermediate physical and mechanical properties between those of sand and clay.Yet,there is no accurate understanding for the range of penetra-tion rates to trigger the partial drainage of silt soils.In order to fully investigate cone penetration rate effects under partial drainage condi-tions,indoor 1 g penetration model tests and numerical simulations of cavity expansion at variable penetration rates were carried out on the Yellow River Delta silt.The boundary effect of the model tests and the variation of key parameters at the different cavity ex-pansion rates were analyzed.The 1 g penetration model test results and numerical simulations results consistently indicated that the penetration rate to trigger the partially drainage of typical silt varied at least three orders of magnitude.The numerical simulations also provide the reference values for the penetration resistance corresponding to zero dilation and zero viscosity at any given normalized penetration rate for silt in Yellow River Delta.These geotechnical properties can be used for the design of offshore platforms in Yel-low River Delta,and the understanding of cone penetration rate effects under the partially drained conditions would provide some technical support for geohazard evaluation of offshore platforms.     

基于最小二乘配置法的优化GM（1,1）预测模型及其应用

针对灰色GM(1,1)预测模型预测结果精度低、模型缺乏稳定性的问题,基于最小二乘配置理论的GM（1,1)预测优化模型,首先通过使得生成序列新预测值的误差在最小二乘意义下最小,选取GM(1,1)模型的最优初值,利用指数函数法构造新的背景值;然后将优化的GM(1,1)模型和最小二乘配置理论有机结合,进一步对优化的GM(1,1)模型进行改进,构建优化的灰色最小二乘配置预测模型;最后通过对建筑物的沉降数据进行定量分析与预报,与其他模型进行对比分析。     

最优非负变权组合模型在卫星钟差预报中的应用

针对单一卫星钟差预报模型自身存在的缺陷,提出基于二次多项式、灰色GM（1,1）和ARIMA等三种单一模型的最优非负变权组合预报模型。通过与各单一模型和经典权组合模型进行对比分析表明,该模型预报残差RMS值最小,精度更高,能够根据各模型预报效果赋予不同的权值,在一定程度上综合了多种单一模型的优点,可降低预报风险,提高模型预报的可靠性。     

基于GIS分析的泰安市地质灾害风险评价

泰安市地处鲁中山区,山地丘陵广泛分布,崩塌、滑坡、泥石流和岩溶塌陷等地质灾害较为发育。本次研究依托新一轮1∶5万地质灾害风险普查,基于ArcGIS平台空间分析功能对高精度DEM、构造、工程地质和水文地质、降雨及植被等数据分析和提取,利用信息量法和层次分析法分别对崩滑泥石流和岩溶塌陷易发性评价,以降雨作为危险性评价因子,综合考虑人口和经济因素选择用地类型作为易损性条件进行风险区划,最终划分为地质灾害风险高、中、低3个等级,为今后有效开展自然灾害综合防治、衔接国土空间规划和保障经济社会可持续发展提供基础依据。     

二次灌浆在电解槽沉降基础加固复位中的应用

广西某电解铝车间电解槽沉降基础在采用直孔帷幕灌浆加固的基础上,利用斜孔在有限空间进行二次灌浆加固复位,通过合理控制灌浆压力和灌浆量或间歇灌浆等措施,实行测量跟踪观测控制每次灌浆的抬升量,成功地将电解槽沉降基础抬升复位。     

Influence of Indian Ocean Dipole on Tropical Cyclone Activity over Western North Pacific in Boreal Autumn

In this study, we investigated the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD) on the interannual variability of tropical cyclone(TC) activity over the western North Pacific(WNP) during autumn(September–November) from 1961–2015. We found the number of TCs making landfall in China to be significantly negatively correlated with the IOD index, which can be attributed to shifts in the location of TC formation together with the abnormal steering flow at 500 hPa. During negative IOD autumns, TC genesis regions move obviously westward due to the westward retreat of the WNP monsoon trough. The TC activity is remarkably enhanced near South China coastal areas, which is due to a contiguous 500-hPa subtropical ridge. In contrast, during positive IOD autumns, TC genesis positions obviously shift eastward and more TCs tend to exhibit recurvature around 130?E or a westward path south of 15?N led by an equatorward movement of the 500-hPa subtropical ridge with a break near 125?E. In our examination of large-scale circula-tion, we found a pair of equator-symmetric anticyclones in the lower troposphere resulting from variations in the large-scale Walker circulation induced by the anomalous sea surface temperature(SST) associated with a positive IOD. The resulting Philippines anti-cyclonic anomalies are closely related to the variability of the monsoon trough over the WNP region. Furthermore, the variations in the steering flow can be explained by the suppressed(enhanced) convective activities around the Philippines and the weakened(strengthened) local meridional circulation over East Asia in positive(negative) IOD years.     

论秦岭造山带的成矿作用

对秦岭造山带区域成矿背景、矿床的时空分布、典型矿床矿田赋存部位、区域成矿元素地球化学背景、多重岩片控矿理论,构造成矿体系、成矿物质来源、矿床成因类型、矿床区域成矿模式进行了讨论,在对大量资料研究的基础上提出了新认识。最后指出秦巴地区进一步寻找大型矿床的地区。     

胶东乳山金矿区原生晕地球化学特征及深部成矿预测

英格庄金矿以相对富As、Co、Ni而三甲和铜锡山金矿则以相对富Cu、Pb、Zn、Ag为特征.聚类分析显示,英格庄金矿具Bi+Hg、As+Sb+Co与Pb+Zn组合,三甲金矿具Bi+Hg+As+Sb+Co、Pb+Zn与Ag+Cu+Au组合,而铜锡山金矿则显示Bi+Hg+Sb+Pb+Ag、Cu+Au+Zn+As及Mo+Ni组合.结合Ni、Co、Mo与Ag、Hg、As、Sb等的相关特征,认为上述三个金矿均有成矿头尾晕叠加现象.Au、Ag、Cu、Pb、Zn、As、Sb、Bi、Hg、Mo等元素垂向变化规律显示,英格庄金矿在-200m标高以下、三甲金矿在-500m标高以下尚有成矿富集段存在.其中,所确定的英格庄金矿的靶位在16勘探线附近,三甲金矿的靶位则在16～20勘探线间.     

如何在湖北省地震网络系统中架构VPDN平台

湖北省地震系统约有100个站点需要利用无线网络系统进行信息传输,前期是利用自建的VPN网络,其传输速度受互联网的影响较大,传输速度较慢,甚至出现不能对仪器进行实时监控、数据不能按时收取、无法按时向国家台网中心报送数据的情况。而目前湖北省地震网络系统业务的拓展,需要进一步完善覆盖全省的数据传输网络,用于承载前兆无人职守系统、流动测震系统和移动办公系统。鉴于上述情况,湖北省地震信息网络部门通过分析各分支点所处的地理位置及数据传输的要求,最终使用中国电信的无线VPDN业务,组建湖北省地震数据监测VPDN网络系统。从而满足了数据传输的安全性、观测数据上报的安全性和地震分析预报的及时性要求。     

岔路口特大型钼多金属矿床的发现及其意义

黑龙江岔路口矿床是近年来在大兴安岭地区北部找到的一处特大型斑岩钼多金属矿床,其产出规模已居中国北方钼多金属矿床之首.钼多金属矿化大部分在侏罗系火山-沉积岩中,呈细脉状、细脉浸染状产出,并与晚侏罗世石英斑岩、花岗斑岩和隐爆角砾岩具有密切的时空分布关系.初步研究表明,该矿床无论是在产出环境、地质特征上,还是在含矿侵入岩岩石...