页岩孔隙空间的形成与演化及孔隙对含气性的影响

虽然页岩气的勘探已经在北美以及中国取得了突破,但是对页岩中孔隙空间的形成与发育仍然存在较大的争议,页岩中是否存在有效的孔隙,这些孔隙与气体的赋存有何联系都需要解答。本文对不同地区、不同岩石类型以及不同热成熟度的页岩进行微观分析,对比前人的研究,同时结合四川盆地龙马溪组页岩的实际分析数据,将页岩划分为富有机质页岩和含粉砂质泥页岩。富有机质页岩中有机质纳米孔是主要的孔隙类型,同时也是气体聚集与吸附的主要空间,有机质孔隙度与有机质含量、热成熟度密切相关;含粉砂质泥页岩中以粒间、粒内溶蚀孔为主,由于有机质含量较少,因而受热成熟影响很小。对页岩的孔隙形成机理分析发现,富有机质页岩孔隙度与有机质含量呈正相关,特别是与初始有机碳含量密切相关,因此恢复初始有机碳的含量是评价页岩含气量与含气性的关键。在热演化程度较低时（Ro < 0.6%）,页岩中有机质孔隙不发育,页岩几乎不含气;随着热演化程度升高（Ro = 0.8%）,页岩微孔隙发育,此时页岩以吸附气为主;随着热演化程度增大（Ro > 1.2%）,微孔逐渐向中孔和宏观孔转化,总的比表面积减小,页岩中游离气含量开始增加,吸附气含量减少。     

2050年前长江流域地表水资源变化趋势

 利用ECHAM5/MPI-OM气候模式预估2001-2050年长江流域不同排放情景（SRES-A2,A1B,B1）下径流深的变化,分析了长江流域地表水资源量的时空变化特征。结果表明：3种排放情景下长江流域多年平均地表水资源量相差不大,但不同排放情景下年际变化特征较为复杂,且变化趋势有所不同。其中,A2高排放情景下地表水资源量呈缓慢减小的趋势,A1B中等排放情景下变化趋势不明显,B1低排放情景下呈相对最为显著的增加趋势。地表水资源量年代际变化波动幅度也较大,2001-2030年3种情景下地表水资源量总体呈现下降特征,但从2030年起,则均表现出不同程度的增加,最高增幅达7.47%,其中尤以夏季和冬季增加显著。模式预估长江流域未来水资源量仍保持目前水平,水资源空间分布不均匀特征仍较为突出。     

高代价的中国草地生态政策需要根本性的策略转变（英文）

过度放牧加剧了中国草地的退化程度,破坏了草地生态系统重要的生态和经济价值。“草畜平衡”政策在中国全面实施已超过十年,旨在平衡饲草产量与牲畜消耗之间的关系。本文梳理了政策评价的统计资料和相关文献,指出以草畜平衡为主导的生态补偿政策不仅对草地的恢复效果存在很大的不确定性,而且阻碍了部分超载地区的减畜,甚至还对牧民生计产生负面影响。为解决当前困境,本文基于生态学理论提出了从控制牲畜数量到维持和改善草地健康的根本性策略性转变的理论框架和实现途径,以期推动我国草地的可持续发展。研究结果表明,“草畜平衡”政策失灵的根本原因在于其干预了牧民自主使用承包草场的行为,而且基础理论和方法也存在缺陷。相比而言,以草地生态系统健康为衡量标准实施奖惩政策,不仅能够激发牧民自主经营草原的积极性,而且比“草畜平衡”政策更具科学性和可行性。     

太阳轨迹空间连续性的日照分析算法优化

针对日照分析模拟必须考虑众多真三维地形/地物的遮挡因素,传统的日照分析方法难以在现实世界的复杂地理场景中得出高效、准确分析结果的问题展开研究,基于太阳运行轨迹的空间连续性,利用数据缓存方法对遮挡图元进行预判,实现了日照分析算法的优化。应用实例表明,将该方法与空间划分方法配合使用,可以在保证运算结果正确的基础上,进一步提高日照分析的计算效率,从而实现复杂地理场景中准确、快速的日照分析计算。     

角度域弹性波Kirchhoff叠前深度偏移速度分析方法

为提高地震成像结果的准确性并真实反映实际地震波场在介质中的传播特性,应该充分利用多分量地震数据的矢量特征进行弹性波成像,其中,最为棘手的问题是纵横波偏移速度场的确定,为此,本文提出了直接利用多分量地震数据进行弹性波角度域偏移速度分析的方法.基于空移成像条件的弹性波Kirchhoff偏移方程提取了弹性波局部偏移距域共成像...     

Pulsar timing residuals due to individual non-evolving gravitational wave sources

The pulsar timing residuals induced by gravitational waves from non- evolving single binary sources are affected by many parameters related to the relative positions of the pulsar and the gravitational wave sources. We will analyze the various effects due to different parameters. The standard deviations of the timing residuals will be calculated with a variable parameter fixing a set of other parameters. The or- bits of the binary sources will be generally assumed to be elliptical. The influences of different eccentricities on the pulsar timing residuals will also be studied in detail. We find that the effects of the related parameters are quite different, and some of them display certain regularities.     

FOCAL MECHANISM OF THE AUGUST 8, M7.0 SICHUAN JIUZHAIGOU AND AUGUST 9, M6.6 XINJIANG JINGHE EARTHQUAKES OF 2017

The W-phase is a long period phase arriving between the P and S wave phases of a seismic source, theoretically representing the total near-and far-field long-period wave-field. Recent study suggests that the reliable source properties of earthquake with magnitude greater than ~M_W4.5 can be rapidly inverted by using the W-phase waveform data. With the advantage of W-phase, most of major earthquake research institutes in the world have adopted the W-phase based inversion method to routinely assess focal mechanism of earthquake, such as the USGS and GFZ. In this study, the focal mechanism of the August 8, 2017 M7.0 Sichuan Jiuzhaigou and August 9, 2017 M6.6 Xinjiang Jinghe earthquakes were investigated by W-phase moment tensor inversion technique using global seismic event waveform recordings provided by Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, Data Management Center. To get reliable focal mechanism, we strictly select raw waveform data and carry out inversion in stages. At first, we discard waveform without correct instrument information. Then we carry out an initial inversion using selected waveform data to get primary results. Using the preliminary results as input, we carry out grid-search based inversion to find the final optimal source parameters. The inverted results indicate that the August 8, M7.0 Sichuan Jiuzhaigou shock resulted from rupturing on a NW-trending normal fault with majority of strike-slip movement. The parameters of two nodal planes are strike 152.7°, dip 61.4°, rake -4.8° and strike 245.0°, dip 85.8°, rake -151.3° respectively, and focal depth is 14.0km. The August 9, Xinjiang Jinghe M6.6 shock resulted from rupturing on a south-dipping thrust fault with left-lateral strike-slip. The parameters of two nodal planes are strike 100.6°, dip 27.5°, rake 114.1° and strike 259.3°, dip 65.1°, rake 78.0°, and the focal depth is 16.0km. The direction of two nodal planes is consistent with regional seismotectonic background.     

面向城市道路的多传感器融合定位导航技术

方便地获取高精度、高可靠的轨迹数据是交通、旅游等行业智能化发展的关键。鉴于此,本文设计一款集GPS、SINS和OBD于一体的多源车载组合导航系统来收集轨迹数据,提出数据融合的方法来弥补因传感器噪声导致的位置累积误差,并在GPS失锁时有效预测轨迹位置信息。此方法通过梯度提升与决策树相结合建立INS误差补偿模型,并引用粒子群算法优化模型的回归参数,可有效避免误差积累;再利用联邦滤波器实现GPS、SINS和OBD数据融合,提高了轨迹信息的准确性。实际道路测试证明,基于此方法的组合导航系统,在多种路况下可收集连续精准的轨迹数据。     

A magnetically driven origin for the low luminosity GRB 170817A associated with GW170817

The gamma-ray burst GR170817 A associated with GW170817 is subluminous and subenergetic compared with other typical short gamma-ray bursts. It may be due to a relativistic jet viewed off-axis, or a structured jet or cocoon emission. Giant flares from magnetars may possibly be ruled out.However, the luminosity and energetics of GRB 170817 A are coincident with those of magnetar giant flares. After the coalescence of a binary neutron star, a hypermassive neutron star may be formed. The hypermassive neutron star may have a magnetar-strength magnetic field. During the collapse of this hypermassive neutron star, magnetic field energy will also be released. This giant-flare-like event may explain the luminosity and energetics of GRB 170817 A. Bursts with similar luminosity and energetics are expected in future neutron star-neutron star or neutron star-black hole mergers.     

非线性粘滞阻尼器消能结构减振效果分析

应用并完善了非线性粘滞阻尼器消能结构地震反应预测的反应谱方法,通过与时程分析计算结果对比证明了方法的可行性。利用本方法研究了支撑刚度及阻尼器参数对非线性粘滞阻尼器减振效果的影响。通过数值分析,给出了位移降低率达到最佳时支撑刚度取值的建议式。提出了为保证剪力降低率不大于1时非线性粘滞阻尼器参数的控制方法。