Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Heavy Precipitation Forecasts fromECMWF in Eastern China

This study examines the spatio-temporal characteristics of heavy precipitation forecasts in eastern China fromthe European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) using the time-domain version of the Method forObject-based Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE-TD). A total of 23 heavy rainfall cases occurring between 2018 and 2021 areselected for analysis. Using Typhoon “Rumbia” as a case study, the paper illustrates how the MODE-TD method assessesthe overall simulation capability of models for the life history of precipitation systems. The results of multiple tests withdifferent parameter configurations reveal that the model underestimates the number of objects’ forecasted precipitationtracks, particularly at smaller radii. Additionally, the analysis based on centroid offset and area ratio tests for differentclassified precipitation objects indicates that the model performs better in predicting large-area, fast-moving, and long lifespan precipitation objects. Conversely, it tends to have less accurate predictions for small-area, slow-moving, and short lifespan precipitation objects. In terms of temporal characteristics, the model overestimates the forecasted movement speedfor precipitation objects with small-area, slow movement, or both long and short lifespans while underestimating it forprecipitation with fast movement. In terms of temporal characteristics, the model tends to overestimate the forecastedmovement speed for precipitation objects with small-area, slow movement, or both long and short lifespans while un derestimating it for precipitation with fast movement. Overall, the model provides more accurate predictions for theduration and dissipation of precipitation objects with large-area or long-lifespan (such as typhoon precipitation) whilehaving large prediction errors for precipitation objects with small-area or short-lifespan. Furthermore, the model’s simu lation results regarding the generation of precipitation objects show that it performs relatively well in simulating thegeneration of large-area and fast-moving precipitation objects. However, there are significant differences in the forecastedgeneration of small-area and slow-moving precipitation objects after 9 hours.     

桶形基础平台海上沉放安装

桶形基础平台是世界上一种最新型的海洋平台，可广泛应用于海上油气田开发。为满足我国际油气田开发中卫星平台的结构和功能要求，桶形基础平台采用新的压载沉放方法安装，具有更高的效率和经济性。沉放过程中桶形基础平台受到水流和波浪的作用，结合模型试验对平台运动进行数值模拟分析，以了解在整个沉放过程中相应参数的变化趋势。根据桶形基础平台的特征，制定联台沉放方案，并通过压载实现平台的沉放控制。     

码头系泊船舶模型试验

通过对一艘50kDWG码头系泊船舶的模型试验，得出了系泊缆绳张力随外载荷变化的一般规律，对码头系泊有一定的参考价值。     

A Finite Element Solution of Wave Forces on Submerged Horizontal Circular Cylinders

In this paper, a numerical model is established for estimating the wave forces on a submerged horizontal circular cylinder. For predicting the wave motion, a set of two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations is solved numerically with a finite element method. In order to track the moving non-linear wave surface boundary, the Navier-Stokes equations are discretized in a moving mesh system. After each computational time step, the mesh is modified according to the changed wave surface boundary. In order to stabilize the numerical procedure, a three-step finite element method is applied in the time integration. The water sloshing in a tank and wave propagation over a submerged bar are simulated for the first time to validate the present model. The computational results agree well with the analytical solution and the experimental data.Finally, the model is applied to the simulation of interaction between waves and a submerged horizontal circular cylinder.The effects of the KC number and the cylinder depth on the wave forces are studied.     

Trial and Numerical Analysis of Specimen Pipelay

Subsea pipelay has a relatively long history. In recent years, there has been a domestic need for the laying of large diameter thin wall pipes. A land-based trial for the large diameter thin wall specimen pipe is described in this paper. Re-gression analysis is performed for the trial data and the formula derived can express the trial data very well. Numerical analysis is adopted to compute various trial conditions. Then the numerical model is revised with the trial results, which are consistent with each other. After summarization of the results of trial and numerical analysis, the characteristics are described of the spatial configuration during the laying of the pipe and it is concluded that the maximum strain appears around the center of the raised pipeline. In the end, a reference Standard, which limits the maximum stress below the yield stress is provided.     

锯缘青蟹精荚移植人工授精初探

模仿雄性锯缘青蟹第一腹肢,根据其在交配中的作用机制,采用常规滴管为材料,利用酒精灯灼热拉制一个前端弯曲、侧扁、管径大小接近第一腹肢的人工交接器.以无钙离子的人工海水作为青蟹人工授精的缓冲液,缓冲液中加入适量庆大霉素.首次对青蟹采用类似硬壳交配的方式,将成熟雄蟹贮精囊内的精荚和精液成功移植至雌蟹纳精囊中.结果表明精荚的人工移植不会破坏成熟雌蟹纳精囊的内环境,其内精子具正常受精能力.未交配雌青蟹精荚的人工移植没有正常产卵,但性腺得以促进发育,并能进行正常的生殖脱皮.     

海上溢油粒子追踪预测模型中的两种数值方法比较

在海上溢油粒子追踪预测模型中,关键的是对拉格朗日微分方程的求解。本文首先通过数值实验比较了欧拉法和龙格-库塔法求解拉格朗日溢油轨迹微分方程的优劣,然后将其应用到2005年4月3日发生在大连附近的“ARTEAGA”油轮溢油事故的油膜粒子追踪模型中。数值实验和应用结果表明,在近岸不均匀流场下,用龙格-库塔方法解拉格朗日油粒子微分方程比用欧拉法求解精度高,用龙格-库塔方法模拟“ARTEAGA”油轮轨迹及其扩散范围与实际观测更为接近,而用欧拉法模拟溢油扩散的面积偏大。     

重组斑马鱼Gli2蛋白N端肽段的表达及纯化

Hedgehog(Hh)信号及其信号传递系统在生物机体发育中起着非常重要的作用。从Hhs分泌到其靶基因收到来自Hhs的信号的过程中，包括很多步骤，而每一步骤都有不同的因子参与作用。在其传递的过程中，参与受体细胞将胞外的信号传到胞内调节其目标基因的一个重要因子是果蝇分节-极性基因cubitus in terruptus(Ci)及其脊椎动物同源基 因-G li编码的蛋白。     

含有腐蚀缺陷海底管道极限载荷分析

利用有限元弹塑性分析方法,对含有腐蚀缺陷的海底管道进行材料非线性和几何非线性分析,探讨了确定管道极限载荷的准则。在此基础上,给出含有腐蚀缺陷的海底管道的极限载荷,研究腐蚀长度、深度和宽度对海底管道极限载荷的影响,提出了含有腐蚀缺陷的受内压的海底管道的极限载荷计算公式,并与试验结果进行了比较,证明该方法是有效的。     

基于长基线系统深海采矿ROV精确定位

对于深海采矿集矿机ROV的定位,采用传统的长基线水声定位系统通常存在较大误差。对此提出了一种新的算法模型,首先通过比较集矿机测量位置与前一次修正位置的几何关系,对当前集矿机的位置进行修正,然后利用新的集矿机位置修正声速的数值,并得出重新修正后的集矿机测量位置。这样反复的多重迭代使得在某一时刻集矿机ROV的测量位置逐步趋近其理想位置,实现长基线系统的水声精确的三维立体定位。通过数值仿真分析,结果显示与传统的长基线水声定位方法相比,通过该方法获得的集矿机行驶轨迹能更好地趋近其理想行驶曲线,表明该算法的有效性。