Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Heavy Precipitation Forecasts fromECMWF in Eastern China

This study examines the spatio-temporal characteristics of heavy precipitation forecasts in eastern China fromthe European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) using the time-domain version of the Method forObject-based Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE-TD). A total of 23 heavy rainfall cases occurring between 2018 and 2021 areselected for analysis. Using Typhoon “Rumbia” as a case study, the paper illustrates how the MODE-TD method assessesthe overall simulation capability of models for the life history of precipitation systems. The results of multiple tests withdifferent parameter configurations reveal that the model underestimates the number of objects’ forecasted precipitationtracks, particularly at smaller radii. Additionally, the analysis based on centroid offset and area ratio tests for differentclassified precipitation objects indicates that the model performs better in predicting large-area, fast-moving, and long lifespan precipitation objects. Conversely, it tends to have less accurate predictions for small-area, slow-moving, and short lifespan precipitation objects. In terms of temporal characteristics, the model overestimates the forecasted movement speedfor precipitation objects with small-area, slow movement, or both long and short lifespans while underestimating it forprecipitation with fast movement. In terms of temporal characteristics, the model tends to overestimate the forecastedmovement speed for precipitation objects with small-area, slow movement, or both long and short lifespans while un derestimating it for precipitation with fast movement. Overall, the model provides more accurate predictions for theduration and dissipation of precipitation objects with large-area or long-lifespan (such as typhoon precipitation) whilehaving large prediction errors for precipitation objects with small-area or short-lifespan. Furthermore, the model’s simu lation results regarding the generation of precipitation objects show that it performs relatively well in simulating thegeneration of large-area and fast-moving precipitation objects. However, there are significant differences in the forecastedgeneration of small-area and slow-moving precipitation objects after 9 hours.     

海洋桡足类氨基酸组成及与饵料和光照的关系

桡足类氨基酸含量受其饵料浮游植物的影响。同一种桡足类因采集地不同，氨基酸的总量也不相同；19种氨基酸重量百分比随不同桡足类而异，但是不同桡足类各种氨基酸占总氨基酸的比例除胱氨酸和牛磺酸的变化比较大以外，其它都基本相同；胱氨酸和牛磺酸的变化与总氨基酸不成正比。各海区不同植食性桡足类的氨基酸组成和海区浮游植物氨基酸的组成有着很好的相关性，相关系数R^2在0．85以上。桡足类胱氨酸占总氨基酸的比例与采样站海水1％光衰减深度有很好的相关关系，其回归方程为y=0．28091nx 0．131，R^2=0．6427，n=13；随海水1％光衰减深度的增加，胱氨酸的含量以对数形式递增。桡足类氨基酸与UV的关系有待进一步研究。     

桶形基础平台海上沉放安装

桶形基础平台是世界上一种最新型的海洋平台，可广泛应用于海上油气田开发。为满足我国际油气田开发中卫星平台的结构和功能要求，桶形基础平台采用新的压载沉放方法安装，具有更高的效率和经济性。沉放过程中桶形基础平台受到水流和波浪的作用，结合模型试验对平台运动进行数值模拟分析，以了解在整个沉放过程中相应参数的变化趋势。根据桶形基础平台的特征，制定联台沉放方案，并通过压载实现平台的沉放控制。     

DISCUSSION OF SOME CONCEPTIONS OF A WATER MASS BASED ON THE THEORY OF FUZZY SETS

The fundamental principle for differentiating water masses is a strict consideration of their relative "interior homogeneity" and obvious "exterior differences" with others in characteristics. The conceptions of water type, water mass and water system are dealt with on the basis of the theory of fuzzy sets. A proposal to apply the theory of fuzzy sets to define the water mass and its core, independent area, boundary and mixing area is put forward.As an example, the membership function of the surface water masses in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea in August, 1979, are considered. Their cores, independent areas, boundaries, mixing areas and the approximation degrees between different water masses are calculated respectively. The water masses are ranged according to their fuzzy degrees.     

变性水团软划分的一种FUZZY模式

在已知研究海区水团核心的前提下,考虑到各种指标对标识水团的不同贡献,提出了一种水团软划分的FUZZY模式。利用1987年5—6月黄东海的温、盐和溶解氧实测资料进行计算,与已有成果作了对比,结果令人满意。     

INVESTIGATION ON MAKING MEMBERSHIP FUNCTION OF WATER MASS FROM MIXING MODIFIED PROCESS

A water mass in the sea area under investigation is defined as a fuzzy subset in the discourse universe. Possible forms of membership function of water masses in the mixing modified process are discussed with the mixing theory for conservative concentration of sea water. It may provide bases for making membership functions. Results in this paper may be extended and applied to shallow water. Examples and discussion are given in this paper.     

码头系泊船舶模型试验

通过对一艘50kDWG码头系泊船舶的模型试验，得出了系泊缆绳张力随外载荷变化的一般规律，对码头系泊有一定的参考价值。     

A Finite Element Solution of Wave Forces on Submerged Horizontal Circular Cylinders

In this paper, a numerical model is established for estimating the wave forces on a submerged horizontal circular cylinder. For predicting the wave motion, a set of two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations is solved numerically with a finite element method. In order to track the moving non-linear wave surface boundary, the Navier-Stokes equations are discretized in a moving mesh system. After each computational time step, the mesh is modified according to the changed wave surface boundary. In order to stabilize the numerical procedure, a three-step finite element method is applied in the time integration. The water sloshing in a tank and wave propagation over a submerged bar are simulated for the first time to validate the present model. The computational results agree well with the analytical solution and the experimental data.Finally, the model is applied to the simulation of interaction between waves and a submerged horizontal circular cylinder.The effects of the KC number and the cylinder depth on the wave forces are studied.     

Trial and Numerical Analysis of Specimen Pipelay

Subsea pipelay has a relatively long history. In recent years, there has been a domestic need for the laying of large diameter thin wall pipes. A land-based trial for the large diameter thin wall specimen pipe is described in this paper. Re-gression analysis is performed for the trial data and the formula derived can express the trial data very well. Numerical analysis is adopted to compute various trial conditions. Then the numerical model is revised with the trial results, which are consistent with each other. After summarization of the results of trial and numerical analysis, the characteristics are described of the spatial configuration during the laying of the pipe and it is concluded that the maximum strain appears around the center of the raised pipeline. In the end, a reference Standard, which limits the maximum stress below the yield stress is provided.     

锯缘青蟹精荚移植人工授精初探

模仿雄性锯缘青蟹第一腹肢,根据其在交配中的作用机制,采用常规滴管为材料,利用酒精灯灼热拉制一个前端弯曲、侧扁、管径大小接近第一腹肢的人工交接器.以无钙离子的人工海水作为青蟹人工授精的缓冲液,缓冲液中加入适量庆大霉素.首次对青蟹采用类似硬壳交配的方式,将成熟雄蟹贮精囊内的精荚和精液成功移植至雌蟹纳精囊中.结果表明精荚的人工移植不会破坏成熟雌蟹纳精囊的内环境,其内精子具正常受精能力.未交配雌青蟹精荚的人工移植没有正常产卵,但性腺得以促进发育,并能进行正常的生殖脱皮.