The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.     

大陆岩石圈流变学研究

简单介绍了流变学的概念和两种基本研究方法,基于大陆岩石圈较大洋岩石圈有更为复杂的流变特征客观事实,指出研究大陆岩石圈流变学的重要性,并提出几个主要的研究方向和领域。     

Crustal Texture and Rheological Evolution of Tongbai－Dabie Orogenic Belt，China

Ｃｒｕｓｔａｌ　Ｔｅｘｔｕｒｅ　ａｎｄ　Ｒｈｅｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ　Ｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎ　ｏｆＴｏｎｇｂａｉ－Ｄａｂｉｅ　Ｏｒｏｇｅｎｉｃ　Ｂｅｌｔ，Ｃｈｉｎａ￥ＳｕｏＳｈｕｔｉａｎ（ＦａｃｕｌｔｙｏｆＥａｒｔｈＳｃｉｅｎｃｅｓ，ＣｈｉｎａＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉ...     

聚煤盆地富煤规律研究综述及展望

聚煤盆地富煤规律是煤地质学研究之焦点。富煤规律研究的突出进展主要包括聚煤模式、富煤带和富煤单元以及现代泥炭比较沉积学研究。尤其是近年来富煤单元和现代泥炭比较沉积学研究更清楚地揭示煤赋存规律与成因煤相和工艺煤相之间的内在联系,从而为聚煤盆地优质煤的预测提供有效的方法。     

造山带的网结状构造样式

网结状构造样式是造山带地壳结构的一个重要特征,表现为线状强应变带与夹持其间的透镜状弱应变域规律组合格式。这种网结状型式在几何学上具有尺度不变性,并具三维特征,理论分析和实际观察指出,这种网结状构造样式,是在应变软化作用及变形分解作用控制下递进发育而成的,而造山带地壳结构的不均一性、组成造山带岩石的流变学特征以及变形物理环境,又是控制应变软化及变形分解作用的主要因素。     

一次孟加拉湾风暴和冷空气影响下滇西大暴雨中尺度分析

应用MICAPS资料, 通过天气诊断分析, 结合FY-2卫星云图及德宏CINRAD-CC雷达体扫资料, 分析了发生在2004年5月18日滇西地区的大暴雨过程。发现本次大暴雨过程天气尺度影响系统为初夏孟加拉湾风暴及南下冷锋切变; 大暴雨发生在高能高湿的水汽辐合中心、700 hPa螺旋度正值区及湿 Q 矢量散度大值辐合区内; 卫星云图上, 多个β-中尺度对流系统在大暴雨区发展; 多普勒雷达回波为絮状混合型降水回波, 强度在30~44 dBz之间, 频繁出现的逆风区、低空急流、中尺度辐合线等中小尺度系统是造成本次大暴雨的直接影响系统。     

基于MapGIS6．X研究和ArcGIS9．0平台的数据格式转换研究

本文深入讨论了MapGIS和ArcGIS两种GIS软件的数据格式,并详细介绍了MapGIS6．X和ArcGIS9．0的数据互相转换过程。在MapGIS向ArcGIS数据转换时,首先将MapGIS6．X转换为E00格式,然后在ArcCatolog中将E00数据转换为Coverage格式,转换后对于多边形数据需要在Arc中进行拓扑重建,然后由Coverage格式就可以转换成ArcGIS9．0的任意格式。     

II型超新星瞬发爆炸模型的对流不稳定性

本文研究ＩＩ型超新星瞬发爆炸模型中的铁星核在坍缩、反弹和激波传播过程中的对流不稳定性．发现在铁星核内区出现中子指状对流,外区出现Ｓｃｈｗａｒｚｓｃｈｉｌｄ对流,而在声速点和中微子俘陷球之间的过渡区出现Ｌｅｄｏｕｘ对流．在０．７４－０．９１Ｍ间的区域是对流不稳定的活跃区域．     

活动断裂带的壤中气汞量测量研究

在覆盖区应用壤中气汞量测量研究活动断裂是一种新方法,它不仅能较准确地确定活动断裂的位置,还可以确定其产状,规模,活动性及相对强度,甚至可以作为确定断裂力学性质的参考,本文简棕了断裂带壤中气汞量测量的基本原理,并以长江三峡,长春,吉林等地利用该种方法研究活动断裂的成果为例,说明该项研究的效果及应用前景。     

Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review

The Arctic plays a fundamental role in the climate system and has shown significant climate change in recent decades,including the Arctic warming and decline of Arctic sea-ice extent and thickness. In contrast to the Arctic warming and reduction of Arctic sea ice, Europe, East Asia and North America have experienced anomalously cold conditions, with record snowfall during recent years. In this paper, we review current understanding of the sea-ice impacts on the Eurasian climate.Paleo, observational and modelling studies are covered to summarize several major themes, including: the variability of Arctic sea ice and its controls; the likely causes and apparent impacts of the Arctic sea-ice decline during the satellite era,as well as past and projected future impacts and trends; the links and feedback mechanisms between the Arctic sea ice and the Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation, the recent Eurasian cooling, winter atmospheric circulation, summer precipitation in East Asia, spring snowfall over Eurasia, East Asian winter monsoon, and midlatitude extreme weather; and the remote climate response(e.g., atmospheric circulation, air temperature) to changes in Arctic sea ice. We conclude with a brief summary and suggestions for future research.