南海北部琼东南盆地陵水段峡谷沉积建造及勘探意义

琼东南盆地中央峡谷为一大型轴向峡谷体系,具有明显的"分段性"特征,不同区段沉积充填和内部结构均存在明显的差异,其中陵水段位于峡谷西段,具有非常好的储层物性特征,是深水区峡谷勘探的重点区域。为了进一步精细刻画陵水段峡谷内部水道复合体的沉积充填及沉积微相展布特征,本文借助新增加的三维地震资料和新钻井资料,通过峡谷三级层序界面的识别,将峡谷充填划分为3个三级层序SQ1、SQ2和SQ3,并通过古生物有孔虫化石带、钙质超微化石带及井-震结合确定了峡谷底界为中中新世晚期S40界面,陵水段峡谷自西向东依次识别出6种主要的内部充填结构,且将SQ3层序细分为5个次级层序(SSQ1~SSQ5);结合属性特征,精细刻画了陵水段峡谷内沉积微相平面展布及空间演化特征,并指出点砂坝在SSQ1层序最发育,且规模较大,横向上连片分布,将是下步勘探的有利储集体。     

Anthropogenic subsidence in the Mexicali Valley,Baja California,Mexico, and slip on the Saltillo fault

Deep fluid extraction in the Cerro Prieto geothermal field (CPGF) has caused subsidence and induced slip on tectonic faults in the Mexicali Valley (Baja California, Mexico). The Mexicali Valley is located in the southern part of the Salton Trough, at the boundary between the Pacific and North American plates. The Valley is characterized by being a zone of continuous tectonic deformation, geothermal activity, and seismicity. Within the Cerro Prieto pull-apart basin, seismicity is concentrated mainly in swarms, while strong earthquakes have occurred in the Imperial and Cerro Prieto transform faults, that are the eastern and western bound of the basin. Since 1973, fluid extraction at the CPGF has influenced deformation in the area, accelerating the subsidence and causing rupture (frequently as vertical slip or creep) on the surface traces of tectonic faults. Both subsidence and fault slip are causing damage to infrastructure like roads, railroad tracks, irrigation channels, and agricultural fields. Currently, accelerated extraction in the eastern part of CPGF has shifted eastwards the area of most pronounced subsidence rate; this accelerated subsidence can be observed at the Saltillo fault, a southern branch of the Imperial fault in the Mexicali Valley. Published leveling data, together with field data from geological surveys, geotechnical instruments, and new InSAR images were used to model the observed deformation in the area in terms of fluid extraction. Since the electricity production in the CPGF is an indispensable part of Baja California economy, extraction is sure to continue and may probably increase, so that the problem of damages caused by subsidence will likely increase in the future.     

MM5中新边界层方案的引入和对比试验

本文介绍了一种新的边界层方案，即E－ε－1方案，并用五种层结下的通量廓线关系计算地面通量，将其引入到中尺度数值天气预报模式MM5中，并用新的边界层方案对江淮流域存季暴雨进行了短期模拟，与此同时，对新的方案和模式原有的各种边界层方案作了比较，对此得到了一些有价值的结果。     

青藏高原东北部共和盆地风成沉积地球化学特征及其揭示的气候变化

通过对共和盆地东部风成沉积的地球化学分析,并结合^14C和OSL年代,重建了区域末次盛冰期以来气候变化过程。21kaBP之前气候寒冷偏湿,21—15．82kaBP为末次盛冰期（LastGlacialMaximum,LGM）,气候极为寒冷干燥;15．82～9．5kaBP气候转暖且偏干,其中14．5—13．6kaBP和11．9—9．5kaBP气候明显冷干,分别为老仙女木时期（OldestDryas,OD）和新仙女木时期（YoungerDryas,YD）,而15．82～14．5kaBP和13．6～11．9kaBP（Belling—AllerCd暖期,B／A）相对温暖;9．5～7．2kaBP暖湿程度明显提高,7．2～5．1kaBP气候波动频繁,相对冷干和相对暖湿多次更替。5．1～2．7kaBP暖湿程度基本稳定,之后气候趋于寒冷但湿度明显较大。这些气候变化过程与青藏高原大量的古气候信息记录具有良好的一致性,表明共和盆地气候变化与青藏高原气候变化的高度一致性。     

CMA-GFS V4.0模式关键技术研发和业务化

针对CMA-GFS V3.3强降水预报偏弱、西北太平洋副热带高压等天气系统预报衰减偏快以及模式计算效率偏低等问题,对模式物理过程与动力框架关键技术开展研发改进。在预报性能方面,通过在云微物理方案中增加霰粒子相关的微物理过程、调整蒸发速率,并在积云对流方案中改进触发条件、卷入率、准平衡闭合假定等关键因子的参数化方法,缓解模式强降水预报不足和小雨过多的问题;采用质量守恒修正算法解决模式长时间积分质量损失问题,改善天气形势预报。在计算效率方面,研制二维参考廓线方案延长模式积分时间步长,开发预条件经典斯蒂菲尔迭代（PCSI）算法提高Helmholtz方程的求解效率,对辐射方案、预估-修正算法等进行计算效率优化。通过上述关键技术的研发和应用,CMA-GFS在降水和天气形势方面的预报技巧得到显著提升,计算效率提高1/3左右,满足模式在0.125°分辨率下业务运行的时效要求,为CMA-GFS V3.3升级到V4.0奠定了基础。     

渤海莱州湾地区晚更新世以来有孔虫特征反映的古环境变化

Controlled by climate changes, there were three large-scale transgressions and regressions around the Bohai Sea during the late Quaternary, which were accepted by most geologists. However, a big controversy still exists about the time when the transgressions occurred separately. In order to find out the process of the paleoenvironmental changes around the Bohai Sea in the late Quaternary, the foraminifera assemblages from a new borehole Lz908 in the southern coast of the Laizhou Bay were studied, and then the transgressive strata were indentified. Combined with accelerator mass spectrometry radiocarbon 14C（AMS14C） and optically stimulated luminescence（OSL） ages, the occurrence time of these transgressions were re-determined. The result showed that three major large-scale transgressions occurred separately at the beginning of marine isotopic stage 7（MIS7）, the last interglacial period（MIS5） and the Holocene. In addition, a small-scale transgression occurred in the mid-MIS6, and the corresponding transgressive stratum was deposited. The transgressive deposition of MIS3 was also discovered in this study. However, the characteristics of the foraminifera indicated the environment during this period was colder than that in the MIS5. By comparison with the global sea-level changes, the paleoenvironmental changes around the Bohai Sea in the late Quaternary can be consistent with the global climate changes.     

Public cognition and response to earthquake disaster: from the 2008 Mw7.9 Wenchuan to the 2013 Mw6.6 Lushan earthquakes in Sichuan Province,China

Natural Hazards - China is one of the countries most affected by earthquakes. Improving public cognition and response to earthquake disaster (EDCR) is an effective means to reduce seismic risk and...     

2021年9月16日四川泸县MS6.0地震强地面运动特征分析

2021年9月16日4时33分在四川省泸州市泸县发生M_S6.0地震,震中附近的强震动观测台网获取了1 320组三分向加速度记录,对有效记录进行常规处理后计算出地震动相关参数,并利用克里金插值方法得到峰值加速度PGA、峰值速度PGV和拟加速度反应谱的空间分布图。结果显示,极震区与中远场的长轴方向有较大差异,地震动表现出沿断裂走向衰减较慢的特性。通过与常用衰减关系预测值进行对比,分析了PGA和多个周期的拟加速度反应谱随距离的衰减特性,结果显示此次地震的PGA相比衰减关系预测值偏小,拟加速度反应谱相比各经验预测值呈现周期越大衰减变慢的特点,体现出川东南地区特有的衰减规律。最后分析了本次地震获得的最大加速度记录,进一步验证了局部地形和场地对地震动有显著影响。      

巴布亚湾两期前陆盆地叠置结构及其形成演化

巴布亚湾受澳大利亚板块与太平洋板块高速斜向汇聚的控制,经历了复杂的中、新生代构造演化.前人对巴布亚湾盆地结构构造特征的研究多是局部的、分散的,关于盆地的形成时间和动力学机制仍存在争议.利用覆盖全盆的钻井约束的高精度2D、3D地震资料,精细地刻画了盆地的结构和构造特征,揭示了巴布亚湾发育潘多拉和奥雷两期叠置的前陆盆地.潘多拉前陆盆地是形成于渐新世不整合面之上的晚渐新世-中中新世微型前陆盆地,走向为NNE.奥雷前陆盆地是发育在复杂的裂谷边缘之上的早中新世-现今的周缘前陆盆地,沿着弧形的巴布亚半岛延伸480 km;盆地走向在148°E发生转变,由西部的NW向转为东部的近EW向.潘多拉微前陆盆地被奥雷前陆盆地向南逐渐超覆的沉积地层覆盖,两个前陆盆地走向相互垂直,垂向上形成叠置结构.阐明了巴布亚湾新生代经历三期挤压事件及两期叠置的前陆盆地的形成演化,解决了盆地结构及区域构造演化认识的不足,理清了复杂陆缘环境从伸展到挤压多期构造事件的时序及动力学机制,为澳大利亚板块北缘的板块构造重建提供了盆内证据.     

基于空间组合特征的农村居民点重构方向识别

农村居民点空间优化重构是推进乡村振兴的重要内容之一。以中国湖北省鄂州市为研究区,从人的生存生活需求出发,构建宜居性评价指标体系,评估鄂州市宜居性高低;通过网络分析法构建城乡人口流动网络,发现乡村人口流动规律。在此基础上,综合宜居性和人口流动强度的组合特征进行农村居民点空间重构。结果表明：(1)鄂州市整体宜居性较高,其中,生存保障功能差距较小,而生活服务功能和生活提升功能差距较大;(2)人口按照主城区、所属镇、附近优势城镇的优先顺序流动;城镇辐射范围有限,现有的点轴结构不能起到以点带面的作用,亟需发展中心村、一般村、基层村形成完整的乡村结构,带动全域发展;(3)基于乡村宜居性和人口流动强度将居民点划分为搬迁撤并类、城郊融合类和集聚提升类(中心村、一般村和基层村)。该研究可重塑乡村发展核心,完善乡村结构,促进资源优化配置,为人口快速流动区乡村聚落重构提供决策依据。