福建省长泰上存水库诱发地震可能性分析

介绍了上存水库库区地质背景、构造应力场、地震活动背景等诱发地震条件。应用诱发地震条件类比与概率预测法,对上存水库进行诱发地震可能性分析。结果表明:①根据水库诱发条件类比分析认为上存水库发生诱发地震的可能性小。②从概率预测和最大诱发地震估算看,上存水库存在发生4级以下诱发地震的可能。极震区地震烈度可能会达到Ⅵ度,尚未达到当地地震基本烈度。水库建设可不用考虑水库诱发地震的影响。     

Subduction initiation in the Neo‐Tethys: constraints from counterclockwise P–T paths in amphibolite rocks of the Nagaland Ophiolite Complex,India

High‐P metamorphic rocks that are formed at the onset of oceanic subduction usually record a single cycle of subduction and exhumation along counterclockwise (CCW) P–T paths. Conceptual and thermo‐mechanical models, however, predict multiple burial–exhumation cycles, but direct observations of these from natural rocks are rare. In this study, we provide a new insight into this complexity of subduction channel dynamics from a fragment of Middle‐Late Jurassic Neo‐Tethys in the Nagaland Ophiolite Complex, northeastern India. Based on integrated textural, mineral compositional, metamorphic reaction history and geothermobarometric studies of a medium‐grade amphibolite tectonic unit within a serpentinite mélange, we establish two overprinting metamorphic cycles (M₁–M₂). These cycles with CCW P–T trajectories are part of a single tectonothermal event. We relate the M₁ metamorphic sequence to prograde burial and heating through greenschist and epidote blueschist facies to peak metamorphism, transitional between amphibolite and hornblende‐eclogite facies at 13.8 ± 2.6 kbar, 625 ± 45 °C (error 2σ values) and subsequent cooling and partial exhumation to greenschist facies. The M₂ metamorphic cycle reflects epidote blueschist facies prograde re‐burial of the partially exhumed M₁ cycle rocks to peak metamorphism at 14.4 ± 2 kbar, 540 ± 35 °C and their final exhumation to greenschist facies along a relatively cooler exhumation path. We interpret the M₁ metamorphism as the first evidence for initiation of subduction of the Neo‐Tethys from the eastern segment of the Indus‐Tsangpo suture zone. Reburial and final exhumation during M₂ are explained in terms of material transport in a large‐scale convective circulation system in the subduction channel as the latter evolves from a warm nascent to a cold and more mature stage of subduction. This Neo‐Tethys example suggests that multiple burial and exhumation cycles involving the first subducted oceanic crust may be more common than presently known.     

福建水口库区地震活动及其动力成因分析

根据水库蓄水后地震活动的时间分布特征,将水库诱发地震分为三个阶段,通过对三个阶段地震活动的震中分布、震源深度、震源机制解等活动特征进行分析,同时考证震中区历史上曾发生过的强烈有感地震,得出以下认识:①库区三个阶段地震动力成因各不相同,第一阶段主要是水库蓄水引发的初始应力释放,第二阶段地震动力来自东南方向,第三阶段地震动力来自西北方向。②水库诱发地震震中区历史上曾发生过强烈有感地震,震中区将成为区域构造应力场调整释放的"窗口",因此应加强水口库区的地震监测与防御。③在讨论福建地区地震动力成因时,不能只强调来自台湾岛弧碰撞对福建地区地震的控制作用,而忽略来自喜马拉雅碰撞带对福建地区的作用力。     

扩域搜索遗传算法优化马斯京根参数及其应用

马斯京根法作为河道洪水预报的重要方法,参数和系数的率定是关键和难点,直接影响其预报精度。在详细阐述扩域搜索遗传算法基本思想和性能分析的基础上,以模拟结果与实测值的误差最小作为进化目标,直接搜索马斯京根法预报方程系数,获得河道上下游流量关系方程。对黄河下游夹河滩至高村的洪水过程进行研究,传统方法的平均绝对误差为240 m³/s,平均相对误差为0.13;遗传算法的平均绝对误差为95 m³/s,平均相对误差为0.05。结果表明：遗传算法精度明显高于传统方法。在实际应用中,对于河道洪水波的传播规律性变化较大的河道,应根据不同量级洪水来模拟洪水的传播规律,并对相应量级的洪水进行预报。     

深水多波束声呐测深数据精度评估

多波束测深精度评估是水深测量质量控制的重要方面,静态精度评估与交叉测线动态精度评估能够从不同角度表征测深精度,估计测量样本的综合误差。在实际调查作业过程中,由于缺少水深真值,在进行精度估计时缺少可操作性。本文利用Kongsberg EM120型深水多波束系统的测深数据,基于某一区域的重复测量数据,应用中央波束的水深数据进行静态精度分析;通过引入网格化方法,进行动态水深精度评估分析,并通过偏差分析揭示测量样本的误差分布特征。结果表明,中央波束水深数据静态精度评估与基于网格化方法的动态精度评估具有实际可操作性,其结果能够有效估计测深的综合误差;重复测量数据的偏差分析能够有效展示误差的分布特征。     

Tourism sectorization opportunity spectrum model and space partition of tourism urbanization area: a case of the Mayangxi ecotourism area,Fujian province,China

Nowadays, tourism has become an increasingly significant driving force of modern urbanization in China. However, it has caused varieties of problems, such as resource unreasonable utilization, society unfair play, and environment pollution, etc. Thus, the establishment of an efficient and sustainable space partition model for tourism urbanization, from the geographical perspective, is highly necessary and urgent. Herein, a new evaluation model of tourist town space, referred to as Tourism Sectorization Opportunity Spectrum (TSOS), is established on the relationships between production-living-ecology spaces. TSOS is a kind of quantitative evaluation model involving such factors as urban living area, ecological conservation area and the tourism industry. Furthermore, the analysis of quantitative production-living-ecology spatial overlap has been utilized for space division in a tourism urbanization area. This paper, using both the TSOS model and GIS technology, analyzes the spatial restructure of the Mayangxi ecotourism area. The result demonstrates that tourism industrial space takes the Shanchong Village as a core which shows a pattern of local regional agglomeration and a fuzzy edge extending along the entire Mayangxi River. The urban living area should be consolidated in the Shili village with the supporting facilities and living space for tourism. In addition, Tianzhu Mountain forest park should be the key environmental protection area. The case study on the Mayangxi ecotourism area verifies that the TSOS model has strong operability. Therefore, TSOS model provides a scientific foundation for the space reconstruction of new urbanization area, and an effective tool for optimizing the space partition of a tourism urbanization area.     

长江中游城市群矿泉水资源勘查与发现——以咸宁市汀泗桥幅1:50 000水文地质调查数据集为例

长江中游城市群承东启西、连接南北,在我国经济均衡发展、和谐发展中占有重要地位,咸宁地区矿泉水资源的发现,将助力绿色经济发展。咸宁汀泗桥幅数据依托中国地质调查局"武汉都市圈京广高铁沿线汀泗桥幅地质环境综合调查"项目,在充分收集地质、遥感、物探及水文地质等资料基础上,开展汀泗桥幅1：50 000水文地质调查。本数据集包含钻孔基本信息（12个钻孔）、钻孔地层描述信息（12个钻孔）、机民井点调查结果（77个机民井）、泉点调查结果（46个泉点）、地下水动态监测信息（2处）、无机水样测试结果（61件）和有机水样测试结果（9件）,数据量约为4.77 MB。数据集充分反映了1：50 000水文地质调查中典型水文地质现象、灰岩地层的岩溶发育特点及岩溶地下水的水化学特征。通过水化学分析,在咸宁市汀泗桥镇白羊畈-赤壁官塘驿镇大贵畈-中伙铺镇一线发现富锶型饮用天然矿泉水,赤壁中伙铺琅桥一带为富锶、富锌复合型饮用天然矿泉水,对该区的矿泉水资源勘查具有重要参考意义。实施探采结合井,服务地方用水需求。     

自动气象站网实时监控系统结构设计方法

针对目前自动站的特点及气象系统现有的通信基础，提出建立自动站网实时监控系统的方法，并从技术的角度，阐述监控系统软件的编制方法，为了实现系统的实时性的要求，在软件中采用了WinSock建立TCP点对点连接技术和多线程技术处理并发事件。     

隧道系统预测的多因素模型

建立了隧道系统预测的多因素分析模型 ,弥补了以往单因素时序分析的不足 ,并编制了相应的分析程序。结合沈大高速公路韩家岭隧道部分断面的多种实测数据 ,对隧道系统的多因素模型及稳定性进行了研究 ,对相应预测结果进行了讨论     

福建街面水库地震活动背景

福建街面水库2006年10月下闸蓄水,分析了街面水库库区历史地震和现今地震震中分布、震源深度、震源机制解等地震活动特点,并结合水库诱发地震的特点认为街面水库存在诱发地震的可能。