Seismic hazard analysis for a spatial linearly distributed system

The models currently used in the seismic evaluation of important projects, microzoning and seismic zonation are all for site. Although seismic hazard analysis have been done for many sites in seismic zonation and microzoning, relationship among sites is not considered in the final results. Studies show that it is impossible to get total hazard for specific area from the results of the hazard analysis of sites. So, when we consider the total seismic hazard of a specific spatial distributed system, methods for site are not enough. Author discussed the relation and the difference between system hazard and segments hazard which form the system and proposed a seismic hazard analysis model taking spatial linear distributed series and parallel system as an example. In aseismic design and earthquake disaster prevention decision, not only the seismic hazard of segments of the system but also the total seismic hazard of the system should be considered. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 347–352, 1993.     

Study on terrestiral noise in data of geomagnetic total field in North China

The terrestrial noise in the differencial data of geomagnetic total field recorded at 21h in North China was fitted by using the geomagnetic vector data from Beijing Observatory. The terrestrial noise level and its spatial feature in this region was discussed. A method, which may be useful for justifying the quality of fitting, was provided in this paper. The analysis indicates that the terrestrial noise is one of the important noise in tectonomagnetic study. It is shown that the susceptibility effect is quite small and the orientation effect is the main component in the terrestrial noise in North China. The rough spatial feature of the magnetic anomaly in crustal substance was infered from the spatial feature of terrestrial noise. The measurement precision and the source noise level of data at 21h in this region were obtained in the analysis of residual noise. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 441–447, 1993.     

中国大陆及邻区大震的远距离相关现象

本文根据中国大陆及边邻M_S≥7.0地震活动的时空特点,讨论了大地震活动的远程关联现象,划分了6个相关地带。根据本文所划分的诸相关地带,可以对所研究地区大地震的活动形势作出大致的估计。     

新地震区划图的几个基本问题

我国新的地震区划图(1990年版)是采用地震危险性慨率分析方法编制的。该图给出的是场点地震烈度值,该值在50年内被突破的概率为0.1。人们普遍关注该图与我国曾经编制的地震区划图(1957年版,1977年版)的区别,该图超越概率概念的内含和外延以及超越概率水平为什么采用50年超越概率0.1。本文围绕这些问题进行了讨论。分析结果表明,前两张地震区划图编图的基本着眼点都是地震预测,而新的地震区划着眼于场点的地震动预测。新的地震区划图是按场点地震危险性分析方法给出的,它所表示的地震危险性只能针对具体的场点,不能完全反映区域的地震危险性特征。而弄清场点地震危险性和区域地震危险性的差异是正确进行区域防灾对策的基础。作者希望这些讨论能对正确使用新的地震区划图有所裨益。     

大同—阳高Ms5.8级地震前S波分裂异常变化

本文利用北京白家疃台数字地震记录资料探讨了1989年10月19日大同一阳高Ms5.8级地震S波分裂异常变化,所用方法为极化矢量转向法,即偏振分析法。初步结果表明,这次地震前(约从1988年9月开始)曾出现过S波分裂异常。震前快S波偏振优势取向为北东向,符合华北地区主压应力方向为北东向和北北东向的特征。由此得到,在北京与大同之间,地壳中直立平行排列裂隙取向亦为这一方向。本文结果说明,利用近震(200km左右)数字化记录可发现较大地震前S波分裂异常现象,增大了把S波分裂法应用于地震预报的可行性。最后,对比了近震与S波窗口内S波偏振的不同特征。     

利用GPS观测结果研究华北地区现今构造应力场

根据１９９２年和１９９５年两期ＧＰＳ测量结果所获得的位移场和应变场,结合丰富的地质资料,利用有限元方法对华北地区现今构造应力场进行了数值模拟。计算结果表明：华北地区现今构造应力场主压应力方向为ＮＥＥ,其边界力除受ＮＥ５５°～ＳＷ２３５°方向的压应力作用外,同时还受到ＳＥ１２０°～ＮＷ３００°方向的拉张力作用,其中ＮＥ－ＳＷ的压应力量值较大,约为ＳＥ－ＮＷ向拉应力的两倍,这个结果与震源机制解所获得的应力场方向基本一致。这一应力场状态是两种动力学过程的叠加：一是印度板块和太平洋板块的挤压,其中来自印度板块的作用力最大,约为太平洋板块作用力的１．５倍;另一个是因地幔隆起而产生的ＮＷ－ＳＥ向的水平拉张力。     

用图形演绎C程序运行的研究

说明了用图形方式展现C程序运行情况的必要性和可行性;介绍了用图形演绎C程序运行的总设计思想;详细介绍了图形界面设计要求和程序模块的功能要求。     

古尔班通古特沙漠大气边界层参数化方案的模拟评估[1]

为准确描述我国最大的固定/半固定沙漠-古尔班通古特沙漠区域的大气边界层结构，本文利用该沙漠腹地2017年的梯度铁塔和通量观测数据，基于中尺度气象模式WRF (Weather Research and Forecast v3.7.1)，分析了5种边界层参数化方案在古尔班通古特沙漠的适用性。结果表明：1）采用WRF模拟沙漠腹地近地层内的边界层特征时，2m气温的模拟存在冷偏差，5种边界层参数化方案均能较好地模拟出四个季节2m气温的日变化特征，其中非局地方案ACM2(Asymmetric Convective Model version 2)对2m气温效果最好，局地方案BL方案的模拟偏差最大；2）5种边界层参数化方案均能够模拟出10m风速的日变化特征，其中局地方案BL(Bougeault-Lacarrere)对10m风速效果最佳；3）采用WRF模拟沙漠近地层内的地表通量特征时，感热通量存在高估现象，潜热通量存在低估现象，5种边界层参数化方案均能较好地模拟出四个季节模拟时间段内地表净辐射通量的日变化特征，其中局地方案MYJ(Mellor-Yamada-Janjie)的模拟精度最高。     

利用沉积地球化学特征分析古环境及海平面变化——以鲁西东部中下寒武统为例

过对鲁西东部中下寒武统研究表明：利用δ１３Ｃ和δ１８Ｏ以及Ｓｒ，Ｎｉ，Ｖ，Ｂａ，Ｂ元素地球化学特征，不仅可以判断沉积古气候、古盐度、古水温、氧化－还原条件，而且还能提供海平面变化旋回及暴露－间断面确立的依据。研究证明此方法是非常有效的。     

Similar single-difference model and its algorithm for solving GPS monitoring deformation directly at single epoch

A new similar singledifference mathematical model ( SS-DM) and its corresponding algorithm are advanced to solve the deformation of monitoring point directly in single epoch. The method for building the SSDM is introduced in detail, and the main error sources affecting the accuracy of deformation measurement are analyzed briefly, and the basic algorithm and steps of solving the deformation are discussed. In order to validate the correctness and the accuracy of the similar single-difference model, the test with five dual frequency receivers is carried out on a slideway which moved in plane in Feb. 2001. In the test, five sessions are observed. The numerical results of test data show that the advanced model is correct.