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911.
In conventional seismic hazard analysis, uniform distribution over area and magnitude range is assumed for the evaluation of source seismicity which is not able to capture peculiar characteristic of near-fault ground motion well. For near-field hazard analysis, two important factors need to be considered: (1) rupture directivity effects and (2) occurrence of scenario characteristic ruptures in the nearby sources. This study proposed a simple framework to consider these two effects by modifying the predictions from the conventional ground motion model based on pulse occurrence probability and adjustment of the magnitude frequency distribution to account for the rupture characteristic of the fault. The results of proposed approach are compared with those of deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard analyses. The results indicate that characteristic earthquake and directivity consideration both have significant effects on seismic hazard analysis estimates. The implemented approach leads to results close to deterministic seismic hazard analysis in the short period ranges (T < 1.0 s) and follows probabilistic seismic hazard analysis results in the long period ranges (T > 1.0 s). Finally, seismic hazard maps based on the proposed method could be developed and compared with other methods. 相似文献
912.
In a recent paper, Nof et al. (J Paleolimnol 35:417–439, 2006) suggest a physical mechanism which could account for the formation
of ice on Lake Kinneret (Sea of Galilee) in northern Israel. Based on the sea surface temperature record of sediment cores
from the Mediterranean Sea the authors argue that centennial-scale cold events had the potential to trigger local ‘springs
ice’ formation on the lake in the past. Here, we demonstrate that a closer inspection of the paleoceanographic record in combination
with correlation and regression analyses of meteorological data provides no evidence for such cold events in the lake region
during the last 10,000 years. Thus, the formation of ‘springs ice’ on Lake Kinneret was unlikely at least since the beginning
of the Neolithic. 相似文献
913.
In this paper, we analyze higher-dimensional spherical perfect fluid collapse in \(f(R,T)\) theory for minimally coupled models. We use Darmois junction conditions by taking Lemaître-Tolman-Bondi geometry as an interior region and Schwarzschild metric as an exterior spacetime. The solution of field equations is obtained for constant scalar curvature. We determine mass in two regions of the collapsing object and discuss the formation of apparent horizons. We conclude that modified curvature term tends to slow down the collapse rate. 相似文献
914.
V. R. Eke Carlos S. Frenk Carlton M. Baugh Shaun Cole Peder Norberg John A. Peacock Ivan K. Baldry Joss Bland-Hawthorn Terry Bridges Russell Cannon Matthew Colless Chris Collins Warrick Couch Gavin Dalton Roberto de Propris Simon P. Driver George Efstathiou Richard S. Ellis Karl Glazebrook Carole A. Jackson Ofer Lahav Ian Lewis Stuart Lumsden Steve J. Maddox Darren Madgwick Bruce A. Peterson Will Sutherland Keith Taylor 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,355(3):769-784
915.
Martin Nekola René Hudec Martin Jelínek Matůš Kocka Petr Kubánek Filip Münz Cyril Polášek Vojtěch Šimon Jan Štrobl 《Experimental Astronomy》2010,28(1):79-85
We report on two small aperture robotic telescopes called BART and D50 operated in Ondřejov. Both telescopes are capable of
automatic observation of gamma ray burst (GRB) optical afterglows. Coordinates of GRBs are taken from alerts distributed via
Internet. Telescopes observe other interesting high energy sources when there is not any alert. The smaller telescope BART
has aperture D = 254 mm. The bigger telescope D50 has a primary mirror of diameter D = 500 mm. Both telescopes are controlled
by free software package RTS2 and are accessible through Internet. We describe the two telescopes and related software and
show some results such as our first observed optical counterpart of GRB. 相似文献
916.
This paper analyzes the impact of medium-term policy options in the context of gold resources depletion in Mali. Using a recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium model calibrated to a 2006 Malian Social Accounting Matrix, we assess the impact of gold resources depletion in Mali and two policy options: the adoption of the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) and a “borrow and invest” scenario consisting at boosting public investment by 5% points of GDP. The depletion of gold resources in Mali would cause a substantial fall in GDP growth, and lead to unsustainable fiscal path if the government were to keep its current pattern of spending. Adopting either the “borrow and invest” fiscal approach or the PIH is likely to generate higher growth and a more sustainable fiscal framework compared to the status quo. 相似文献
917.
918.
919.
YANGTaibao YUYongtao LIJijun ANCongrong LIUJinfeng ZHANGJunyan 《山地科学学报》2004,1(2):128-142
Paleomagnetic determinations on lithologieal profiles of two paralleled long drillin gcores covering the past 130 kyr B.P., GT40 and GT60,from the Yanchi Playa in the arid Northwestern China indicate that a series of pronounced paleomagnetic excursions have been documented. By correlating our results with published regional and worldwide reports 4 excursion events out of 10 apparent reversal signals (labeled from GT-1 to GT-10) were identified as excursion events coeval with the Mono Lake Event (28.4 kyr-25.8 kyr), Laschamp Event (43.3 kyr-40.5kyr), Gaotai Event (82.8 kyr-72.4 kyr) and the Blake Event (127.4 kyr-113.3 kyr), respectively. GT-9 correlates with the above-mentioned Gaotai Event,GT-7 and GT-6 correspond to two stages of the Laschamp Event and GT-5 to the Mono Lake Event. It is noteworthy that the so-called Gaotai Event has not been reported as a pronounced paleomagnetic excursion in the Northwestern China. Every magnetic excursion event corresponds to paleointensity minima, anteceding those established abrupt paleoclimatic change events, such as the Younger Drays and the Heinrich Events (H1-H6). Here, we tentatively propose that these geomagnetic excursions/reversals can be viewed as precursors to climate abruptness. During the transitional stages when the earth‘s magnetic field shifted between a temporal normal and a negative period, the earth‘s magnetic paleointensity fell correspondingly to a pair of minima. Although more precise chronology and more convincing rock magnetic parameter determinations are essentially required for further interpretation of their intricate coupling mechanism, these results may have revealed, to some extent, that the earth‘s incessantly changing magnetic field exerts an strong influence on the onset of saw-tooth shaped abrupt climate oscillations through certain feedback chains in arid Central Asia or even North Hemispheric high latitude regions. 相似文献
920.
The cable shovel is widely used in surface mining. High operating and ownership costs necessitate efficient use of the cable
shovel. Operator practices have long been suspected to contribute towards the inefficient use of the shovel. Crowd arm and
hoist rope speeds are key measures of operator practices. The objective of this work is to find the crowd arm and hoist rope
speeds for optimal shovel performance for given initial conditions and material properties. Shovel kinematics and dynamic modeling, using shovel
geometry and the simultaneous constraint method, respectively, have been employed to build models of the excavation process.
Dynamic models of the shovel payload and the material cutting resistance have also been developed using geometric simulation
and passive soil pressures techniques, respectively. These models are solved numerically by combining Runge–Kutta and Gaussian
elimination algorithms to compute the work done and the resistive forces during shovel excavation. The algorithms have been
combined into a shovel simulator. The simulator has been used to simulate the P&H 2100BL shovel. The simulation results indicate
that input energy and digging time increase with increasing crowd arm and decreasing hoist rope speeds. The input energy per
unit loading rate is proposed as an appropriate measure of shovel performance. High energy per unit loading rate occurs for
high crowd speeds and low hoist rope speeds. For the simulated conditions and crowd arm and hoist rope speeds ranging from
0.25 to 0.5 ms−1 and 0.5 to 0.7 ms−1, respectively, the optimal crowd arm and hoist rope speeds were found to be 0.25 ms−1 and 0.7 ms−1, respectively, and the objective function value was 0.21 KJs/kg. This work establishes, theoretically, the fact that operator
practices have an effect on shovel performance and is useful in establishing optimum practices. The results are the initial
steps towards full automation of the excavation process. 相似文献