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51.
Various ensemble-based schemes are employed in data assimilation because they can use the ensemble to estimate the flow-dependent background error covariance. The most common way to generate the real-time ensemble is to use an ensemble forecast; however, this is very time-consuming. The historical sampling approach is an alternative way to generate the ensemble,by picking some snapshots from historical forecast series.With this approach, many ensemble-based assimilation schemes can be used in a deterministic forecast environment. Furthermore, considering the time that it saves, the method has the potential for operational application.However, the historical sampling approach carries with it a special kind of sampling error because, in a historical forecast, the way to integrate the ensemble members is different from the way to integrate the initial conditions at the analysis time(i.e., forcing and lateral boundary condition differences, and ‘warm start' or ‘cold start' differences). This study analyzes the results of an experiment with the Global Regional Assimilation Prediction System-Global Forecast System(GRAPES-GFS), to evaluate how the different integration configurations influence the historical sampling error for global models. The results show that the sampling error is dominated by diurnal cycle patterns as a result of the radiance forcing difference.Although the RMSEs of the sampling error are small, in view of the correlation coefficients of the perturbed ensemble, the sampling error for some variables on some levels(e.g., low-level temperature and humidity, stratospheric temperature and geopotential height and humidity), is non-negligible. The results suggest some caution must be applied, and advice taken, when using the historical sampling approach. 相似文献
52.
The physical simulation method of wave groups in a wave flume is proposed and verified by the exper- iments. The experimental results demonstrate that random waves with desired wave groupiness, which simultaneously includes the wave group height and length, can be generated satisfactorily at the specified position in a wave flume using the proposed method. Furthermore, the transformation properties of the wave groupiness along the fiat-bottomed wave flume are investigated based on the physically simulated waves. Associated proposals with the physical simulation of wave groups are given. 相似文献
53.
吉林晚古生代榆木川基性岩的地球化学特征及其岩石成因 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
位于兴蒙造山带张广才岭块体的榆木川辉绿玢岩,K—AT年龄测定表明其形成年龄为262~264Ma,主微量元素研究表明,辉绿玢岩SiO2含量为47.02%~52.60%,贫K2O(0.13%~0.47%),Na2O〉K2O,属于低钾拉斑系列,稀土分布模式属于轻稀土略亏损的平坦型,微量元素原始地幔标准化图解中大离子亲石元素(Rh、Ba、Sr)较为富集,但不存在高场强元素(Nb、Ta)的亏损,同位素组成显示Sr同位素初始比值在0.704958~0.705631之间,εNd(t)值(72~81)较高且变化较小,表明其来源于亏损地幔的部分熔融且成岩过程中未受到地壳物质的混染。基性岩形成于造山后的伸展拉张背景,并结合前人的研究成果,认为晚古生代(约270Ma)兴蒙造山带已经进入晚期,此时加厚的岩石圈由于重力不稳定发生拆沉减薄作用,导致软流圈的大量上涌和岩石圈拉张,从而引起先存亏损岩石圈地幔的部分熔融,最后侵入地壳深部形成研究区辉绿玢岩。 相似文献
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Jun-De Dong Yan-Ying Zhang Si Zhang You-Shao Wang Zhi-Hao Yang Mei-Lin Wu 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2010,60(8):1673-1682
A large data set obtained by a 1-year monthly determination of water quality from Sanya Bay, South China Sea, was treated
by three-way principal component analysis aimed at exploring the spatial and temporal patterns of water quality in Sanya Bay.
Tucker3 model of optimum complexity (2, 2, 1) explaining 33.18% of the data variance, allowed interpretation of the data information
in three modes. The model explained spatial and temporal variation trends in terms of water quality variables during the study
period. Water quality in sampling station (S2) Sanya River was mainly influenced by Sanya River, and water quality in other
stations (S1, S3–S10) were mainly influenced by the waters in South China Sea. The results delineated the mouth of Sanya River
as critical from pollution point of view. The dry season from October to the next April and rainy season from May to September
have different influences on water quality in Sanya Bay. The information extracted by the three-way models would be very useful
to regional agencies in developing a strategy to carry out scientific plans for resource use based on marine system functions. 相似文献
58.
为了改善潮流能水轮机叶片表面流动分离问题,提高其升阻比,本文通过在潮流能水轮机叶片表面加装涡流发生器,来研究涡流发生器对潮流能水轮机水动力学性能的影响。本文以NACA4418翼型为研究对象,分别建立了含VGs和不含VGs的三维模型,利用CFD方法研究了VGs的高度、长度以及相邻一对VGs之间的间距等多个方面对该翼型性能的影响。结果表明:VGs可以有效地提高翼型的最大升力系数;相邻VGs间距的增加对流动分离的抑制有积极影响。此外,通过对尾迹区流线和旋涡的分析,进一步揭示了尾迹区的流场特征。 相似文献
59.
Gracilariopsis lemaneiformis is a commercially exploited alga. Its filaceous thallus can be divided into three parts, holdfast, middle segment and tip. The growth and branch forming trend and agar content of these three parts were analyzed, respectively, in this study. The results showed that the tip had the highest growth rate and branched most, although it was the last part with branch forming ability. The holdfast formed branches earliest but slowly. Holdfast had the highest agar content. We also assessed the difference in protoplast formation and regeneration among three parts. The middle segment displayed the shortest enzymolysis time and the highest protoplast yield; whereas the tip had the strongest vitality of protoplasts formation. Juvenile plants were only obtained from the protoplasts generated from the tip. These results suggested that the differentiation and function of G. lemaneiformis was different. 相似文献
60.
荒漠河岸胡杨(Populus euphratica)树干液流的时滞效应 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
以2012年4—9月树干液流速率与环境因子的实测数据,分析了荒漠河岸胡杨(Populus euphratica)树干液流的时滞效应。结果表明:不同月份胡杨树干液流速率对不同环境因子的时滞不同;4—9月,胡杨树干液流速率峰值时间比太阳辐射峰值时间晚约1h,比空气温度峰值时间早约1h,比水汽压差峰值时间早约2h,比空气相对湿度谷值时间早约2h;对影响胡杨树干液流速率的环境因子进行了主成分分析,发现胡杨树干液流速率与1h以前的第1主成分、第2主成分相关性最高,相关系数分别为0.864、0.875;对错位前后胡杨树干液流速率与环境因子进行多元线性回归分析发现,在胡杨树干液流的数值模拟中,考虑液流相对于环境因子的时滞效应可以提高模型的拟合精度。 相似文献