TIGGE降雨信息在柴河流域洪水预报中可利用性评估

基于全球多模式集合预报(TIGGE)资料,以柴河流域为研究区域,采用TS评分、Brier评分和Talagrand分布等方法对欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)、美国国家环境中心(NCEP)和英国气象局(UKMO)三个中心集合预报的6h、12h、24h短期降雨量进行定量评估和对比,并分别以实测降雨和NCEP预报降雨驱动新安江模型模拟洪水过程,据此探讨了集合降雨预报的可利用性。得到两个重要结论:ECMWF、NCEP和UKMO对低雨量级降雨的预报效果较好,各雨量级的预报效果有随预见期增长而增加的趋势,且普遍存在空报率较高、漏报率偏低的情况;集合降雨预报信息可应用于新安江模型进行洪水预报,并能够有效的延长洪水预报的预见期。研究成果可在适当条件下推广应用至其它流域的洪水预报作业中。     

低压密闭消解-电感耦合等离子体发射光谱法测定地质样品中的硼

采用酸溶-电感耦合等离子体发射光谱法(ICP-OES)测定地质样品中的全硼量,关键环节在于如何防止样品消解过程中硼元素的损失,降低测量过程中的基体干扰、光谱干扰和记忆效应。基于以上问题,本文采用氢氟酸-硝酸-高氯酸-磷酸在低压密闭溶样罐中消解样品,溶出的硼元素与少量磷酸充分络合,防止硼的挥发损失;以基体及主成分浓度与样品相类似的地质类固体标准物质绘制标准曲线做线性校准,有效匹配和降低样品的基体干扰;采用仪器自带的操作软件,观察分析谱线附近是否存在其他元素的干扰,来确定背景扣除最佳的位置及宽度,降低ICP-OES测量中的光谱干扰;以10%的王水作为进样系统的冲洗液,有效消减测量过程中的记忆效应。当稀释因子为200时,方法的检出限(3SD)为1.2μg/g,定量限(10SD)为4.0μg/g;用岩石、土壤及水系沉积物国家一级标准物质对精密度及准确度进行分析验证,11次测定相对标准偏差为1.8%～7.9%,相对误差为-3.6%～6.3%;以外检分析结果为参考,对硼含量在定量限以上的样品测定,相对误差为-9.3%～12.5%。     

Study on multiple induced polarization parameters in groundwater exploration in Bashang poverty alleviation area of Heibei Province,China

The study examines a water exploration and poverty alleviation project in Guyuan county. The study analyzes correlations between aquifers and multiple induced polarization (IP) parameters, including resistivity, polarizability, deviation, half decay time, water-bearing factors, and Kc, a new parameter refined in this study. Based on the study, the well was placed accurately, and its maximum water inflow reached 30 m³/h. Kc value highlights the rate of change at early stages of IP secondary field. Kc value served as a quick indicator in this groundwater prospecting and is validated in practice. Progress has been made in finding new parameters in exploring water with IP method. Thanks to the project, local people have access to water and poverty alleviation has scored some achievements.     

潮页1井钻探施工技术

潮页1井是在潮水盆地布置的第一口页岩气资源调查井,取心质量要求较高,地层有大段泥页岩层段,易水化剥落,施工难度大。本文着重介绍了潮页1井取心工艺、钻头选型、冲洗液技术及井斜控制技术等相关的施工经验。潮页1井采用大口径绳索取心技术,第四系地层以深全井取心,该技术在甘肃地区鲜有可供参考的施工案例,而该井岩心采取率接近90%。钻进过程中通过选用合理的钻进参数和护壁性能较强的冲洗液体系,解决了施工中遇到的地层“打滑”、井壁稳定性差等技术难点,保障了潮页1井的顺利完工。     

内蒙古别鲁乌图铜多金属矿床锆石U-Pb年龄和S、Pb同位素特征及其地质意义

为了明确内蒙古别鲁乌图铜多金属矿床的成矿年龄与矿床成因,对该矿床中与成矿关系密切的流纹岩进行了锆石U-Pb年龄以及主要金属硫化物的S、Pb同位素测试。其中流纹岩的锆石206Pb/238U加权平均年龄为(271.7±1.6)Ma(MSWD=1.02),显示成矿作用发生于二叠纪。金属硫化物的S同位素分析结果显示δ34SV-CDT值分布在-0.6‰~1.0‰之间,平均为0.49‰,变化范围较窄,显示S的来源单一;Pb同位素组成比较集中,206Pb/204Pb为18.207~18.674,207Pb/204Pb为15.620~15.699,208Pb/204Pb为38.144~38.790,具有壳幔混源的特征。S、Pb同位素特征均指示成矿物质主要来源于岩浆热液。结合区域地质、矿床地质、空间分带等特征以及S、Pb同位素组成可知,别鲁乌图铜多金属矿床为VHMS型矿床,形成于二叠纪陆缘弧裂谷中。     

Microstructure Evolution of Organic Matter and Clay Minerals in Shales with Increasing Thermal Maturity

As the two important components of shale, organic matter(OM) and clay minerals are usually thought to strongly influence the hydrocarbon generation, enrichment and exploitation. The evolution process of OM and clay minerals as well as their interrelationship over a wide range of thermal maturities are not completely clear. Taking Yanchang(T_3y), Longmaxi(S_1l) and Niutitang(?_1n) shales as examples, we have studied the microstructure characteristics of OM and clay minerals in shales with different thermal maturities. The effects of clay minerals and OM on pores were reinforced through sedimentation experiments. Using a combination of field emission scanning electron microscopy(FESEM) and low-pressure N_2 adsorption, we investigated the microstructure differences among the three shales. The results showed that both OM and clay minerals have strong effects on pores, and small mesopore(2–20 nm) is the dominant pore component for all three samples. However, the differences between the three samples are embodied in the distribution of pore size and the location. For the T_3y shale, clay minerals are loosely arranged and develop large amounts of pores, and fine OM grains often fill in intergranular minerals or fractures. Widespread OM pores distribute irregularly in S_1l shale, and most of the pores are elliptical and nondirectional. The ?_1n shale is characterized by the preferred orientational OM-clay aggregates, and lots of pores in the composites are in the mesopore range, suggesting that over maturity lead to the collapse and compaction of pores under huge pressure of strata. The results of the current research imply that with increasing thermal maturity, OM pores are absent at low maturity(T_3y), are maximized at high maturity(S_1l) and are destroyed or compacted at over-mature stage(?_1n). Meanwhile, clay minerals have gone through mineral transformation and orientational evolution. The interaction of the two processes makes a significant difference to the microstructure evolution of OM and clay minerals in shale, and the findings provide scientific foundation in better understanding diagenetic evolution and hydrocarbon generation of shale.     

三峡库区龙门寨危岩体崩塌产生涌浪研究

长江两岸高耸的危岩体对航道、沿岸居民带来巨大安全隐患。大宁河属于长江一级支流,龙门寨危岩体位于大宁河上,距离巫山县城仅1 km。利用FLOW-3D软件,模拟了145 m、175 m两种水位工况下龙门寨危岩体崩塌产生涌浪过程和涌浪传播过程。模拟结果表明,涌浪在145 m水位工况下最大浪高约为17.9 m,175 m水位工况下最大浪高约为11.6 m;在巫山县的五个码头处,两种水位工况最大涌浪爬高分别约为10.9 m、3.8 m;根据涌浪高度,对大宁河进行危险分区,145 m水位工况下极高危险区长度约4.4 km,很高危险区长度约1.9 km;175 m水位工况下极高危险区长度约3.0 km,很高危险区长度约1.0 km。研究结果有助于防控龙门寨危岩体潜在涌浪灾害危害,保障大宁河航道和巫山县码头安全,同时也为三峡库区滑坡涌浪灾害提供了预警依据。      

Early Identification of the Jiangdingya Landslide of Zhouqu Based on SBAS-InSAR Technology

SBAS-InSAR technology is characterized by the advantages of reducing the influence of terrain-simulation error, time-space decorrelation, atmospheric error, thereby improving the reliability of surface-deformation monitoring. This paper studies the early landslide identification method based on SBAS-InSAR technology. Selecting the Jiangdingya landslide area in Zhouqu County, Gansu Province as the research area, 84 ascending-orbit Sentinel-1A SAR images from 2015 to 2019 are collected. In addition, using SBAS-InSAR technology, the rate and time-series results of surface deformation of the landslide area in Jiangdingya during this period are extracted, and potential landslides are identified. The results show that the early landslide identification method based on SBAS-InSAR technology is highly feasible and is a better tool for identifying potential landslides in large areas.     

Scattering pattern analysis and true-amplitude generalized Radon transform migration for acoustic transversely isotropic media with a vertical axis of symmetry

In multi-parameter ray-based anisotropic migration/inversion, it is essential that we have an understanding of the scattering mechanism corresponding to parameter perturbations. Because the complex nonlinearity in the anisotropic inversion problem is intractable, the construction of true-amplitude linearized migration/inversion procedures is needed and important. By using the acoustic medium assumption for transversely isotropic media with a vertical axis of symmetry and representing the anisotropy with P-wave normal moveout velocity, Thomsen parameter δ and anelliptic parameter η, we formalize the linearized inverse scattering problem for three-dimensional pseudo-acoustic equations. Deploying the single-scattering approximation and an elliptically anisotropic background introduces a new linear integral operator that connects the discontinuous perturbation parameters with the multi-shot/multi-offset P-wave scattered data. We further apply the high-frequency asymptotic Green's function and its derivatives to the integral operator, and then the scattering pattern of each perturbation parameter can be explicitly presented. By naturally establishing a connection to generalized Radon transform, the pseudo-inverse of the integral operator can be solved by the generalized Radon transform inversion. In consideration of the structure of this pseudo-inverse operator, the computational implementation is done pointwise by shooting a fan of rays from the target imaging area towards the acquisition system. Results from two-dimensional numerical tests show amplitude-preserving images with high quality.     

应用Sato、Aki模型对比分析内蒙古东北地区尾波Q值

选取2016年3月—2019年6月内蒙古地震监测台网记录的925条内蒙古东北部及邻近地区地震数据,从中挑选133次M_L≥2.0且记录清晰、信噪比较高的地震事件,利用Sato模型、Aki模型,分别计算该区域地震尾波平均Q值,并拟合得到Q值对频率的依赖关系,其中：(1)Sato模型：Q_C(f)=(64.11±29.15)f~((0.8914±0.0772));(2)Aki模型：Q_C(f)=(258.4±65)f~((0.6815±0.1435))。结果表明,利用2种模型计算的该区域地震尾波Q值分布具有一致性,且Q值与依赖指数η成反比关系,分析认为,尾波Q值高低分布与地震活动性及地质构造有关。