信息增益在地震趋势估计中的应用

从熵中信息增益的定义出发，将地震中的能量和频度作为一个整体考虑，研究了全球１９００－１９９２斫Ｍ≥６．０地震的信息增益。结果表明，强震前有信息增益减小的特点。信息增益方法的引入，为利用中小地震进入地震跟踪预报提供了一个新途径。     

北京地区震磁观测研究

旨地探索研究地震预报而开展的北京地区地磁观测，在震磁前兆研究与地震预测试验方面都获得了可喜的进展，本文分析了１９９０－１９９５年北京及其西部地区的地磁观测资料，研究了地磁异常信息，预测了地震活动趋势，提出了今后应加强监测与研究的区域。     

地电短临前兆产生机理及一种新的短临预报方法（谐振预报法）

研究了地电短临震兆机理，在此基础上给出了引潮力触发地电短临前兆模式。据此从理论上分析了地电临震震兆特征，并以唐山７．８级大震为例，从实际观测中检出具有此模式特征的震兆（具有起潮力特征），从而验证了所提模式理论的客观存在的可能性。最后给出与此有关的地电短临预报方法。即，根据脆性岩石失稳的相对刚度比较准则，定义部分岩体刚度λ＝０的状态为临震阶段，分析λ＝０时起潮力引起位移的特征和规律，得出原地监测岩体刚度是否为零（进入临震阶段）的方法。因为在弹性阶段，λ为较大正值，微小的起潮力只引起微小的位移，此时的电响应甚小，通常检测不到；但随着构造力的积累，介质进入临震阶段，此时同样微小的起潮力却可引起甚大的位移（λ＝０时，位移为无穷大），从而产生可检测的电响应。由于这种电响应具有与起潮力相同的周期，故可把临震电响应同各种干扰区分开，判定为临震前兆，从而建立了地电临震前兆起潮力触发模式，并可给出相应的短临预报方法。对１９７６年唐山７．８级强震前后震中周围地电阻率及大地电场实测资料进行谱分析，发现仅在主震前二个月至半月内，两种不同物理本质的电响应分别出现与起潮力ＭＳ波与ＭＳｆ波周期相同的异常变化。这是对所提临震前兆模式和预报     

Mesozoic radiolarians and radiolarian-bearing sequences in the circum-Pacific regions: A report of the symposium-'Radiolarians and Orogenic Belts'

Abstract This paper contains extended abstracts of the seven papers presented at the symposium 'Radiolarians and Orogenic Belts' held at the seventh meeting of the International Association of Radiolarian Paleontologists (INTERRAD). Important results of the symposium include the following: (1) Upper Paleozoic and Mesozoic cherts are widely distributed within accretionary complexes in the circum-Pacific orogenic belt. Radiolarian dating reveals that long durations of chert sedimentation in a pelagic environment are recorded on both sides of Pacific-rim accretionary complexes (e.g. New Zealand, Japan, Russian Far East, Canadian Cordillera). (2) Triassic radiolarian faunas from New Zealand and the Omolon Massif, northeast Siberia are similar in composition and are characterized by the absence of typical Tethyan elements. This suggests that radiolarian faunal provincialism may have been established as early as the Triassic. High-latitude radiolarian taxa exhibit a bi-polar distribution pattern. (3) The Lower Triassic interval in chert dominant pelagic sequences is mechanically weaker than other levels and acted as a décollement in accretionary events. This lithologic. contrast in physical property is considered to reflect radiolarian evolution, such as the end-Permian mass extinction.     

DISTRIBUTIONS AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE RAINSTORMS AND FLOODS IN CHINA

I.horoductionPleNorthwestPacificOceanisti1elnostfrequentlyaffeCtedareaoftropicalcyclone(TC).AboLIt36percentTCoftheworldoccurinffosarea[2],andthenumberofTCWhichlandedonChinawiti1n1akimumwindforcescalesoverlOisabout35percentofti1atintheeastemcoastalcoLUitriesofAsia[l].BothrainstormsandfloodsMide,theidriuenceofTCareheaVyinChina,suchastherainfalldePthof2749mm/3datXinliao,Taiwanandpeakdischargeof44,6oOm'/satHuanggo(55,42okn'),YalujiangRjver.Therefore,TCisanimportantfaCtorforflooddisas…     

800KaB．P．来西藏“一江两河”中游地区的气候与西南季风变化

西藏“一江两河”中游地区风成地层沉积时代、沉积相和磁化率等研究结果表明，早在８００ＫａＢ．Ｐ．前西南季风就已存在，受全球气候波动和青藏高原隆起的影响，其盛行衰变与东南季风具有较好的一致性，主要表现为本区地层所记录的气候变化信息不如东南季风区详细；而且西南季风因高原屏障作用给本区带来的降水愈来愈少，气候明显地向干冷化发展。     

长江防洪决策支持系统——防洪决策风险分析

针对长江中游防洪决策过程,筛选出几个主要的风险因子.考虑暴雨洪水历史资料,短期洪水位预报以及中长期雨洪预报三种不同信息条件,建立防洪决策风险分析模型,针对长江三峡至螺山河段防洪系统,是否启用分蓄洪区的各种防洪决策方案,给出决策风险的定量描述.     

基于特征点的影像视差分析

本文介绍了一种基于特征点的数字立体影像匹配方法。该法采用Frstner算子提取特征点,然后应用一种松驰迭代算法,实现了同名特征点之间的立体匹配。为实现立体像对的自动相对定向和数字地形模型自动生成提供了一种切实可行的方法。     

一种初始方程中应用实测风进行风场初值化的方法

本文提出一种利用实测风场、高度场、温度场和地面三小时气压变化资料,考虑风场和质量场之间基本满足准地转平衡关系,大气具有准无辐散性,但又保留一部分与地面气压变化相应散度的地转偏差,将以实测的等压面风场插到σ坐标的风场进行订正的初值化方法,并用一个单时资料进行初步试验.文中还对风场初值化问题进行了讨论.     

Nd, Sr and O Isotopic Study on Spilite-Keratophyre in Xiqiu,,Zhejiang Province, China

Nd, Sr and O isotopic study on the spilite-keratophyre sequence in Xiqiu shows that its ∈_(Nd) values are inthe range of 4.02-5.26, and its ∈_(Sr) values, +1.4-2.6. According to the points of these data in the ∈_(Nd)-T,∈_(Sr)-T and ∈_(Nd)-∈_(Sr) diagrams, the spilite-keratophyre is interpreted as being slightly contaminated by crustalmaterials. Its δ~(18)O values are 3.9-5.0‰. The depletion of ~(18)O in the rocks resulted from the influence ofseawater hydrothermal alteration during or soon after the rock formation. Based on the isotopic characteristicsand available geochemical data, it is believed that the spilite-keratophyre was formed in the well-developedisland-arc environment during the Late Proterozoic subduction of the palaeo-Pacific plate beneath thesoutheastern margin of the Yangtze massif.