A probabilistic assessment of eruption recurrence on Taveuni volcano, Fiji

Taveuni, a 437-km² oceanic intraplate volcano in the northeastern Fiji Group, has been active throughout the Holocene and currently has a rapidly growing population. Alkali basalt magmas were erupted through monogenetic vents at constantly shifting locations along a SW-striking rift zone. Hence, quantification of volcanic hazard, in both spatial and temporal terms, is of great importance for disaster management and development agencies. Unlike previous probabilistic assessments of hazards in volcanic fields, the activity on Taveuni is both more recent and on a lesser spatial scale. This enables us to focus our attention on different aspects of the analysis. In particular, we propose a first attempt at dealing with the imprecision and inaccuracy inherent in volcanic eruption age data obtained via radiocarbon dating. Our results indicate that volcanic activity on Taveuni has a tendency to occur in episodes. If this tendency is strong, the present hazard may be considerably greater than otherwise supposed. We also confirm an apparent tendency for the volcanic activity to migrate southwards along the Taveuni rift axis towards the most densely settled area, and also the widest axial vent zone. This indicates that the risk from volcanic activity is again higher than might otherwise be supposed. We estimate a Taveuni-wide probability of0.56 for renewed activity within the next 50 years. Such quantitative results can be utilised within loss estimations during the planning stages of new infrastructure and business developments at various locations on the island.     

Multiscale analysis of vegetation surface fluxes: from seconds to years

The variability in land surface heat (H), water vapor (LE), and CO₂ (or net ecosystem exchange, NEE) fluxes was investigated at scales ranging from fractions of seconds to years using eddy-covariance flux measurements above a pine forest. Because these fluxes significantly vary at all these time scales and because large gaps in the record are unavoidable in such experiments, standard Fourier expansion methods for computing the spectral and cospectral statistical properties were not possible. Instead, orthonormal wavelet transformations are proposed and used. The are ideal at resolving process variability with respect to both scale and time and are able to isolate and remove the effects of missing data (or gaps) from spectral and cospectral calculations. Using the spectra, we demonstrated unique aspects in three appropriate ranges of time scales: turbulent time scales (fractions of seconds to minutes), meteorological time scales (hour to weeks), and seasonal to interannual time scales corresponding to climate and vegetation dynamics. We have shown that: (1) existing turbulence theories describe the short time scales well, (2) coupled physiological and transport models (e.g. CANVEG) reproduce the wavelet spectral characteristics of all three land surface fluxes for meteorological time scales, and (3) seasonal dynamics in vegetation physiology and structure inject strong correlations between land surface fluxes and forcing variables at monthly to seasonal time scales. The broad implications of this study center on the possibility of developing low-dimensional models of land surface water, energy, and carbon exchange. If the bulk of the flux variability is dominated by a narrow band or bands of modes, and these modes “resonate” with key state and forcing variables, then low-dimensional models may relate these forcing and state variables to NEE and LE.     

浙江长兴煤山二叠-三叠系界线层牙形石序列及其全球对比

在详细研究全球二叠－三叠系界线层候选剖面───中国浙江长兴煤山剖面Ｐ／Ｔ界线层牙形石动物群序列基础上，自下而上识别出４个牙形石带：（１）ＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｃｈａｎｇｘｉｎｇｅｎｓｉｓＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｄｅｆｌｅｃｔａ带；（２）Ｉｓａｒｃｉｃｅｌｌａｐａｒｖａ带；（３）Ｉｓａｒｃｉｃｅｌｌａｉｓａｒｃｉｃａ带；（４）ＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｃａｒｉｎａｔａＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｐｌａｎａｔａ带，并在第一带中划分出３个动物群，从下向上是：ＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｃｈａｎｇｚｉｎｇｅｎｓｉｓＣｌａｒｋｉｎａｄｅｆｌｅｃｔａ－Ｃｌａｒｋｉｎａｓｕｂｃａｒｉｎａｔａ动物群，Ｈｉｎｄｅｏｄｕｓｌａｔｉｄｅｎｔａｔｕｓ－Ｃｌａｒｋｉｎａｍｅｉｓｈａｎｅｎｓｉｓｓｐ．ｎｏｖ．动物群和Ｈｉｎｄｅｏｄｕｓｔｙｐｉｃａｌｉｓ动物群，煤山剖面二叠、三叠系界线层牙形石序列的建立、完善，对确立该剖面在全球二叠、三在系界线高精度对比中的标准地位具重要意义。     

Blocking and trapping of waves in an inhomogeneous flow

The blocking and trapping of waves and wave packets by inhomogeneous flow fields were studied in a laboratory setting. Evidence for multiple reflections and thus trapping within the current gradient zone near the blocking point are the main results obtained, and lead to the following conclusions: (1) a strong current gradient zone near the blocking point can trap wave energy, which will shift the wavenumbers into the capillary region, to match the microwave wavelength of many remote sensing instruments; (2) this mechanism provides a direct link between strong current gradient zones (bathymetric features in tidal flows, eddies, current boundaries, etc.) and the surface wave structure, which in turn allows instruments such as the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) to form images of bottom features based solely on the small wave conditions; (3) an indication of direct energy transfer from the carrier waves to low-frequency waves was also observed, and resolved by wavelet analsysis. The instantaneous spectra from wavelet analysis reveal that a large portion of wave energy transfers directly into the low-frequency band from the carrier waves at the trapping zone. Subharmonics may play a critical role in the energy transfer process, but details are still to be established.     

扬子区晚二叠世—中三叠世海平面变化

本文首先介绍了建立扬子地台晚二叠世－中三叠世海平面变化曲线的步骤，即将由生境型得出的水深曲线按阶转换为海平面变化曲线，然后将扬子区曲线与世界曲线进行了比较，结果表明，晚二叠世至Ｇｒｉｅｓｂａｃｈｉａｎ期，由于世界上绝大部分地区缺上二叠统海相地层序列，扬子区曲线的这一部分可作为修改世界曲线的重要参考，扬子区早－中三叠世短期变化曲线与世界曲线一致，而长期曲线则不相符，扬子区的长期曲线对受印支运动影响的     

闽中北冰雹概念模型

通过对近 1 0年 6 4次降雹过程进行分析 ,将天气类型分为 3种 ,然后归纳总结各天气型下的雹云源地、路径、回波特征、物理量特征 ,建立闽中北冰雹 3种概念模型     

阳原-张北壳幔过渡带复杂性特征及其构造意义

研究区位于华北盆地西北、近东西向的燕山台褶带、北东向的山西断隆接合部.该区域及其周围构造复杂并且地震活动频繁.     

硝酸根对颗粒状铁降解三氯乙烯的影响(英文)

为研究硝酸根对颗粒状铁降解三氯乙烯的影响,进行了柱实验和相应的反应铁腐蚀电位测定。在硝酸根离子存在条件下,铁的腐蚀电位相应升高,系统条件也因之发生变化,导致钝性的铁氧化物在铁表面生成。因而,三氯乙烯和硝酸根离子降解速率明显减小, 并且降解速率减小的程度与硝酸根离子的浓度成比例。当污染液流过反应柱时,硝酸根离子与铁反应, 被还原为氨根离子。该反应造成硝酸根离子的浓度梯度,使钝化区在柱中上移,从而影响了三氯乙烯的降解曲线。与三氯乙烯单独与铁反应相比,当含4 7 mg/L硝酸根的三氯乙烯溶液流经反应柱170 孔隙体积后,降解50% 三氯乙烯所需的时间(t50) 从小于4 h增加到大于10 h;而当三氯乙烯溶液中加入100 mg/L硝酸根离子,仅17 孔隙体积溶液流经反应柱后,三氯乙烯降解t50就已大于14 h。研究结果表明,由于硝酸根离子对铁的腐蚀电位和铁表面氧化膜的不利作用,在处理靶污染物为高浓度硝酸根离子和三氯乙烯共同污染的地下水时,铁渗透反应隔栅不是最佳选择。如果靶污染物中硝酸根离子浓度比较低,则在设计铁隔栅时应考虑到硝酸根离子造成的不利因素,相应增加铁墙的厚度,从而确保三氯乙烯的降解效果。     

高职《工程测量》课程的教学实践

根据《工程测量》课程教学的经验体会，探讨搞好高职院校测量课程教学的有关问题，主要是学生学习兴趣的培养、综合素质的提高以及理论和实践教学等，以供参考。     

藏北中侏罗世遗迹化石Tisoa Serres的发现及其环境意义

遗迹化石TisoaSeres国内尚无报导,70多块遗迹化石Tisoa标本见于藏北羌塘地区中侏罗统色哇组。本文对所采集的Tisoa标本作了详细的研究,Tisoa通常由紧靠的圆柱状平行潜穴管组成,单一潜穴管直径2～7mm间,两栖管间距1～4mm,外部由锥形或圆柱形钙质结核所包围,钙质结核直径10～25mm。保存完好的标本表明Tisoa为两个潜穴管底部相连的“Ｕ”形管,大多数只含两个平行潜穴管的标本实际上只是保存的一个“Ｕ”形管的上部。在大多数Tisoa管壁通常发育不规则的黄铁矿层或一微晶方解石薄层;栖管中常充填微晶和亮晶方解石以及黄铁矿、云母及泥质和石英。一般认为Tisoa是一种节肢动物潜穴。沉积环境分析,产Tisoa的沉积环境为正常浅海环境。