Approaching a dynamic view on the availability of mineral resources: What we may learn from the case of phosphorus?

This paper elaborates in what way a dynamic perspective on reserves, resources and geopotential is necessary to provide robust estimates on resource availability. We introduce concepts of essentiality, criticality and economic scarcity and discuss for the case of phosphorus (P) how they are defined and may be measured. The case of P is considered in detail as P an essential element for global food security with a highly dissipative use and is geographically unevenly distributed across the globe. We distinguish and relate the complementarity between physical and economic scarcity and discuss limits and potential of static indicators such as static lifetime, Hubbert curve applications, and the Herfindahl–Hirschman-Index of P for predicting future availability of these resources. We reveal that these static indicators are – in general – not valid approaches to predict physical scarcity of resources. Geological data show that though the P reserves have not been systematically and completely assessed on a global scale, the static lifetime of P is high. When acknowledging socio-economic and technological dynamics, and available geological facts, statements predicting physical scarcity or a peak in P production within a few decades are unlikely to be accurate or valid. We elaborate that some simplified indicators such as static lifetime or the Hubbert curve based prediction of peaks may serve as screening indicators preceding early warning research, which may induce increased mining activities, technology innovation or other actions. However, in general, these simplified indicators are not valid approaches to predict physical scarcity of resources. Although one day there may be a supply-driven P production peak, demand-driven production plateaus and multiple peaks are probable in the near future. Given its geopotential, essentiality, and the learning curve of efficient fertilizer use, P is subject to demand-driven market dynamics. Thus, a symmetric decline and unavoidable shortage of P in the next decades are unlikely. This insight does not refute the need to close the anthropogenic P loop. Activities associated with P production and consumption use has a significant pollution potential in part because of the dissipative nature. The paper reveals the necessity to mitigate risks (such as economic scarcity, especially for poor farmers) of both short-term price peaks and longer lasting step-changes in price, e.g. due to knowledge gaps of technological adaptation in energy and water management or other reasons of insufficient supply-demand dynamics management. The complexity of this task necessitates a transdisciplinary approach.     

Observable effects of dust formation in dynamic atmospheres of M-type Mira variables

The formation of dust with temperature-dependent non-grey opacity is considered in a series of self-consistent model atmospheres at different phases of an O-rich Mira variable of mass  1.2 M_⊙  . Photometric and interferometric properties of these models are predicted under different physical assumptions regarding the dust formation. The iron content of the initial silicate that forms and the availability of grain nuclei are found to be critical parameters that affect the observable properties. For certain plausible parameter values, dust would form at 2–3 times the average continuum photospheric radius. This work provides a consistent physical explanation for the larger apparent size of Mira variables at wavelengths shorter than 1 μm than that predicted by dust-free fundamental-mode pulsation models.     

Evaluation of a Finite-Element Sea-Ice Ocean Model (FESOM) set-up to study the interannual to decadal variability in the deep-water formation rates

The characteristics of a global set-up of the Finite-Element Sea-Ice Ocean Model under forcing of the period 1958–2004 are presented. The model set-up is designed to study the variability in the deep-water mass formation areas and was therefore regionally better resolved in the deep-water formation areas in the Labrador Sea, Greenland Sea, Weddell Sea and Ross Sea. The sea-ice model reproduces realistic sea-ice distributions and variabilities in the sea-ice extent of both hemispheres as well as sea-ice transport that compares well with observational data. Based on a comparison between model and ocean weather ship data in the North Atlantic, we observe that the vertical structure is well captured in areas with a high resolution. In our model set-up, we are able to simulate decadal ocean variability including several salinity anomaly events and corresponding fingerprint in the vertical hydrography. The ocean state of the model set-up features pronounced variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation as well as the associated mixed layer depth pattern in the North Atlantic deep-water formation areas.     

The magnetic field variation of the Ap star HR 465

The magnetic field of HR 465 varies with a period of 23.3 yr. The number and intensity of the absorption lines show their extrema at the times of the cross-over points of the magnetic field in contrast to the phase relation of these quantities known for most short-time magnetic Ap stars. Apart from the variations produced by the binary motion no further general velocity changes were found. The radial velocity determined by lines of the neutral elements differ somewhat significantly from those of the ionized elements. The interpretation causes difficulties in all discussed models; a precession model seems to be a little more favourable than a rigid-rotator or alternating dynamo model.     

Der Einfluß der Komplexierung auf die Kupfertoxizität bei Blaualgen

Some aspects of the influence of copper speciation on toxicity for blue-green algae are reviewed. The experimental part concentrates on Oscillatoria redekei and Aphanizomenon gracile. The two investigated species produce strong extracellular copper complexing ligands: Oscillatoria redekei in the exponential and stationary growth phase, and Aphanizomenon gracile has a distinct detoxification capacity. The detoxification of copper by synthetic agents was investigated using ethylene-diamine-tetraacetic acid. Simultaneous addition of Cu²⁺ and Na₂EDTA gives evidence for a slow complexation reaction. Hence an excess of Na₂EDTA is necessary for a fast and complete detoxification of copper. Model calculations are reported to show that the precipitation of copper compounds is not probable under the conditions used.     

Field-based identification of minerals using a battery-operated electrochemical measuring system with mechanical transfer of the solid to a graphite electrode

A portable, battery-operated electrochemical instrument which enables the method of staircase voltammetry to be implemented may be coupled with the method of abrasive stripping voltammetry for the direct identification of minerals in the field. Small amounts of solid mineral samples are mechanically transferred to a paraffin-impregnated graphite electrode by rubbing the electrode against the crushed mineral. The electrode is then transferred to a conventional electrochemical cell containing electrolyte, and experiments analogous to the well known method of stripping voltammetry are then completed to provide an “electrochemical spectrum” or fingerprint of the mineral. Since the technique can be applied directly with battery-operated equipment, the method can be used by geochemists and mineralogists undertaking field work in areas remote from sophisticated laboratories and mains-powered instruments normally used to characterize minerals. The method has been successfully applied to the identification of minerals such as galena, stibnite, cuprite, pyrite and chalcopyrite, although further work is required to investigate any limitations that might apply with complex mixtures or minerals, and, at the present stage of development, the method is qualitative rather than quantitative.     

An improved sealing system for triaxial sample columns

A new method for making gas-tight seals for moderate temperature duty on triaxial deformation apparatus sample columns is described. This includes the modification of the piston and closure plug to enable rapid and inexpensive changes to the loading column.