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91.
三种非线性回归逐时气温预报比较订正 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
选取ECMWF和T639的2013年1月至2014年12月的数值预报场构造预报因子,基于神经网络、支持向量机和构造函数的非线性方法,预报地面逐时气温。试验结果显示,在单个方法预报误差较大时,3种方法的偏差订正集成方法更利于减小误差,通过偏差订正,3种非线性方法预报效果良好,平均绝对误差减小了0.5 ℃。在近1年独立样本的预报检验中,集成方法、神经网络、支持向量机和构造函数预报的平均绝对误差分别为1.5 ℃、1.7 ℃、1.8 ℃和1.4 ℃,总体上构造函数预报更为准确。 相似文献
92.
本文以 1996年 12月 31日和 1981年 5月 1日为例 ,对冬、春季节发生在江苏的较大范围的切变类冰雹天气过程作了对比分析。结果指出 ,无论冬季或春季当高原东部有深槽东移 ,冷暖空气在江淮地区交汇 ,地面抬升系统为暖切 ,并有大气层结不稳定 (Δθse( 50 0 - 850 ) <0℃ =中心和较强的风向和风速垂直切变、85 0hPa西南急流轴、85 0hPa最大水汽通量轴线、5 0 0和 85 0hPa正涡度中心等相配置时 ,就可能导致江苏地区较大范围强对流天气的发生。 相似文献
93.
1 地震背景
据中国地震台网( CENC)测定,2021年6月10日19时46分07秒,在云南省楚雄州双柏县发生MS5.1地震,震中(24.34°N,101.91°E),震源深度8 km.本次地震共造成楚雄州双柏县、玉溪市峨山县和易门县3个县5个乡镇不同程度受灾,2人受伤,直接经济总损失3440万元(引自云南省地震局关于双柏MS5.1地震灾害直接经济损失评估工作报告). 相似文献
94.
DENG Jun YANG Liqiang SUN Zhongshi WANG Jianping WANG QingfeiXIN Hongbo LI Xinjun Key Laboratory of Lithospheric Tectonics Exploration. China University of Geosciences Ministry of Education Beijing Institute of Geology Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing Faculty of Earth Sciences Jilin University Changchun Jilin 《《地质学报》英文版》2003,77(4):537-546
An analysis of trace elements and isotopic geochemistry suggest that the ore-forming materials of gold deposits in the Jiaodong granite-greenstone belt have multiple sources, especially the mantle source. Seismic wave, magnetic and gravity fields show that the crust-mantle structure and its coupling mechanism are the fundamental dynamic causes for the exchange and accumulation of materials and energy in the metallogenic system. Considering the evolution history of the structural setting, the tectono-metallogenic dynamics model of the area can be summarized as follows: (1) occurrence of the greenstone belt during the Archean-Proterozoic-the embryonic form of Au-source system; (2) stable tectonic setting in the Paleozoic-an intermittence in gold mineralization; (3) intensive activation and reformation of the greenstone belt in the Mesozoic-tectono-mineralization and tectono-diagensis; (4) posthumous structural activity in the Cenozoic-destruction of orebodies in the later stage. In the middle and late Ind 相似文献
95.
以高能耗为主要特征的工业部门是大气污染物和温室气体的重要排放源.为推动协同管控,文中结合生态环境部在重庆市组织开展的试点工作,对工业企业NOx污染治理协同控制温室气体的效应进行了量化分析.结果表明,以末端治理为手段的NOx治理措施协同控制温室气体的效果为负,即工业企业去除1 t NOx会直接或间接增加CO2排放1.81... 相似文献
96.
97.
LIU Min HE HongLin YU GuiRui LUO YiQi SUN XiaoMin & WANG HuiMin Institute of Geographic Sciences Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Gradute School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing School of Geography Science Nanjing Normal University Nanjing 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2009,(2)
We present an uncertainty analysis of ecological process parameters and CO2 flux components (Reco, NEE and gross ecosystem exchange (GEE)) derived from 3 years’ continuous eddy covariance meas-urements of CO2 fluxes at subtropical evergreen coniferous plantation, Qianyanzhou of ChinaFlux. Daily-differencing approach was used to analyze the random error of CO2 fluxes measurements and bootstrapping method was used to quantify the uncertainties of three CO2 flux components. In addition, we evaluated different ... 相似文献
98.
Late Paleozoic Fluid Systems and Their Ore-forming Effects in the Yuebei Basin, Northern Guangdong, China 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
DENG Jun YANG Liqiang SUN Zhongshi WANG Jianping WANG Qingfei CHENG Xueming ZHOU Yinghua State Key Laboratory of Geological Processes Mineral Resources China University of Geosciences Beijing Key Laboratory of Lithosphere Tectonics Lithoprobing Technology of the Ministry of Education China University of Geosciences Beijing School of Earth Sciences Jilin University Chuangchun Jilin 《《地质学报》英文版》2005,79(5):673-687
Based on detailed and systematic researches of the geology of ore deposits, fluid inclusions and isotope geochemistry etc., and regarding the Late Paleozoic fluid system of the Yuebei Basin as an integrated object in this paper, we have revealed the temporo-spatial evolution law of the basin's fluid system and discussed its ore-forming effects by simulating and analyzing the distribution of ore-forming elements, the fluid thermodynamics and dynamics of evolution processes of this basin. The results show that Late Paleozoic ore-forming fluid systems of the Yuebei Basin include four basic types as follows. (1) The sea floor volcanic-exhalation system developed during the rapid basin slip-extension stage in the Mid-Late Devonian, which affected the Dabaoshan region. It thus formed the Dabaoshan-type Cu-Pb-Zn-Fe sea floor volcanic-exhalation sedimentary deposits. (2) The compaction fluid system developed during the stable spreading and thermal subsidence-compression stage of the basin in the Mid-Late Devonian. The range of its effects extended all over the whole basin. It resulted in filling-metasomatic deposits, such as the Hongyan-type pyrite deposits and pyrite sheet within the Fankou-type Cu-Pb-Zn-S deposits. (3) The hot water circulation system of sea floor developed during the stage of basin uplifting and micro-aulacogen from the late Late Carboniferous to Middle Carboniferous. The range of its effects covered the Fankou region. It thus formed MVT deposits, such as the main orebody of the Fankou-type Pb-Zn-S deposits. (4) The gravity fluid system developed during the stage of fold uplifting and the basin closed from Middle Triassic to Jurassic, forming groundwater hydrothermal deposits, e.g. the veinlet Pb-Zn-calcite orebodies of the Fankou-type Pb-Zn- S deposits. Migration and concentration of the ore-forming fluids were constrained by the state of temporo-spatial distribution of its fluid potential. Growth faults not only converged the fluids and drove them to move upwards, but also the fluids often crossed the faults to the edges of the basin at the bottom of these faults and the lithologic interfaces, and even migrated to the basin's edges from top to bottom along the faults, which may be one of the basic reasons for the stratabound deposits to cluster mainly along the contemporaneous faults on the inner border of the basin. The superposed mineralization resulting from the multi-stage activity of contemporaneous faults and ore-forming fluid systems in the basin may be one of the key factors for forming superlarge ore deposits. 相似文献
99.
赞比亚西北省索卢韦齐县铜钴多金属矿主要存在三种矿化类型,第一种是层控型铜矿,矿石矿物为黄铜矿、黝铜矿、辉铜矿,多呈条带状、透镜状等形态,平行黑云石英片岩和二云石英片岩的片理展布;第二种为沉积型铜矿,受到背斜和穹窿的控制,含矿岩系主要为加丹加超群(Katanga)下部罗安组(Roan)页岩、砂岩,金属矿物主要为水胆石、孔雀石、蓝铜矿,多呈星点状、浸染状、斑杂状、团块状等分布在含矿页岩、砂岩中;第三种是热液型铜矿,充填在加丹加超群及其更老的地层中,矿化类型为黄铜矿黄铁矿石英脉型,一般为小型脉状矿床。该类型矿床可与前两类矿床叠加,使矿石品位提高。 相似文献
100.