Green Crab Larval Retention in Willapa Bay,Washington: An Intensive Lagrangian Modeling Approach

The European green crab (Carcinus maenas) is invasive on the U.S. West Coast. This study uses a high-resolution circulation model to determine the likelihood that green crab larvae spawned in Willapa Bay, Washington could be retained by circulation and behavior long enough to reach maturity and resettle within the bay. A particle-tracking method (the “diffusive Lagrangian return map”) is presented that makes it possible to track the dispersion of hundreds of thousands of model larvae—each subject to three-dimensional advection, vertical turbulent diffusion, and imposed vertical migration behavior—over their full 30–50 days development time with modest computational resources. Larvae spawned in summer show significant retention (5–40%) in the southern and western portions of the bay, including the Stackpole shoals near the mouth, the area most likely to be colonized by late-stage megalopae arriving from the coastal ocean. Larvae spawned in spring show much less retention throughout the bay because of (1) increased flushing caused by increased river input relative to summer conditions and (2) longer development times caused by lower water temperatures. The role of larval swimming behavior is secondary to hydrodynamics in setting these spatial and seasonal patterns of retention.     

Tropical cyclone contribution to extreme rainfall over southwest Pacific Island nations

Southwest Pacific nations are among some of the worst impacted and most vulnerable globally in terms of tropical cyclone (TC)-induced flooding and accompanying risks. This study objectively quantifies the fractional contribution of TCs to extreme rainfall (hereafter, TC contributions) in the context of climate variability and change. We show that TC contributions to extreme rainfall are substantially enhanced during active phases of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and by El Niño conditions (particularly over the eastern southwest Pacific region); this enhancement is primarily attributed to increased TC activity during these event periods. There are also indications of increasing intensities of TC-induced extreme rainfall events over the past few decades. A key part of this work involves development of sophisticated Bayesian regression models for individual island nations in order to better understand the synergistic relationships between TC-induced extreme rainfall and combinations of various climatic drivers that modulate the relationship. Such models are found to be very useful for not only assessing probabilities of TC- and non-TC induced extreme rainfall events but also evaluating probabilities of extreme rainfall for cases with different underlying climatic conditions. For example, TC-induced extreme rainfall probability over Samoa can vary from ~ 95 to ~ 75% during a La Niña period, if it coincides with an active or inactive phase of the MJO, and can be reduced to ~ 30% during a combination of El Niño period and inactive phase of the MJO. Several other such cases have been assessed for different island nations, providing information that have potentially important implications for planning and preparing for TC risks in vulnerable Pacific Island nations.

     

Magnetic spherules in coastal plain sediments,Sullivan's Island,South Carolina,USA

Abstract— We extracted black, magnetic spherules from well cuttings of Oligocene sediments in the coastal plain of South Carolina, USA. Three possible origins were considered: industrial, volcanic, and extraterrestrial. An extraterrestrial origin by ablation of parent meteoroid material is proposed, based on the spherule morphologies, the presence of metallic Fe cores in many of the spherules, and the detection of wüstite in some of the oxide rims. Low Ni contents are problematic but may be attributed to the ablation of a low-Ni parental body, such as hexahedrite. The presence of spherules in somewhat clay-like, sandy sediments is unusual, as most magnetic spherules are found in abyssal muds. Based on benthic foraminiferal assemblages and sediment distribution above, within, and below the beds containing spherules, it is unlikely that the spherules were transported from a deep-sea environment.     

Mobility of rare-earth elements and copper during shear-zone-related retrograde metamorphism

In Mid Proterozoic crystalline rocks of the Mount Isa Inlier, around Cloncurry, Australia, 2000 km² of alteration and brecciation are the product of high-temperature (> 450 °C) concentrated saline solution activity. During retrogression, this fluid was locally responsible for mobility of V, Y, Nb and light rare-earth elements (15 × enrichment). Copper and S were leached during alteration and this may have been a significant source of components in nearby Cu-Au deposits. Similar rare-earth-element behaviour has been observed in the hematite breccias which host Cu-sulfides at the giant Olympic Dam Cu-Au deposit.     

Sensitivity of AUV added mass coefficients to variations in hull and control plane geometry

The sensitivity of the added mass coefficients of a typical autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) to changes in geometric parameters was investigated. Qualitative deductions were made concerning the effect of geometric variations. Then the added mass coefficients for several configurations of body geometry were generated for the Canadian Self-Contained Off-the-shelf Underwater Testbed (C-SCOUT) vehicle using the computer program Estimate Submarine Added Mass (ESAM). The changes in the added mass coefficients have direct relationships to the varied parameter. The results presented here are specific to the C-SCOUT, but may be extended to similar axisymmetric bodies.     

Effect of biodeposits from mussel culture on macroinvertebrate assemblages at sites of different hydrodynamic regime

The present study examined for differences in macroinvertebrate assemblage composition inside and outside of mussel farm sites experiencing different hydrodynamic regimes. Multivariate analysis revealed that there were significant differences in macroinvertebrate assemblage composition (averaged across seasons) between samples taken inside and outside of the two relatively low energy sites, whilst no such difference was observed for the relatively high energy site. Taxa that best discriminated between the dissimilarities observed in macroinvertebrate assemblage composition inside and outside farms were principally polychaetes (more abundant inside) and ophiuroids (more abundant outside). Sediment total organic matter and number of mussel shells were the parameters that best explained the difference in macroinvertebrate assemblage observed at the two relatively sheltered farm study sites. No taxa or environmental variables were particularly good at discriminating or explaining differences observed inside and outside the relatively high energy farm site. The present study indicates there is a relationship between the hydrodynamic regime of a farm site, organic enrichment of seabed sediments by mussel biodeposits, and a subsequent modification of the macroinverebrate assemblages. This finding has implications for the site selection of mussel farms in coastal environments.     

On a generalization of Filon's method and the computation of the oscillatory integrals of seismology

Summary. We review Filon's method (FM) for the quadrature of oscillatory integrals and then introduce a generalization of Filon's method (the GFM) which enables us to treat a large class of oscillatory integrals to which FM cannot be directly applied. One member of this class is the integral ( p ) exp [ sg ( p )] dp which occurs in the spectral WKBJ and Cagniard-de Hoop methods of seismogram synthesis. Another large class of integrals can be treated directly with FM but is better treated with the GFM since, for a given error tolerance, the GFM is simpler and faster. This class consists of integrals of the form ( p ) J ( s, p ) dp in which J ( s, p ) is a special function with an asymptotic expansion valid for large s. Such integrals occur in the reflectivity method. In general, every non-Filon formula for the quadrature of integrals from either class has an associated GFM formula (called the GFM analogue) which reduces to the original formula as s approaches zero but is more efficient than the original formula wher, s is large. We show how the GFM can be applied to the computation of synthetic seismograms in the reflectivity method and the spectral WKBJ method.
Although reflectivity integrals can, in theory, be computed with FM the GFM is easier to code and more economical. For reflectivity computations where: (a) the source and receiver are many wavelengths apart, or (b) the depth to the reflectivity zone is much greater than its thickness, the GFM approach is much more efficient than any non-Filon quadrature technique. Some test calculations are presented for wavefields containing only body waves and for wavefields containing both body waves and locked modes.
In the spectral WKBJ method the GFM permits the use of a much greater step size in the quadrature than would otherwise be possible. Each quadrature step contains a stationary point so no advantages accrue from deforming the contour of integration over the saddle points of the integrand.