LAPS分析场在一次强对流天气过程尺度分析中的应用

利用LAPS（local analysis and prediction system）同化系统融合多种观测资料,对2010年8月25日发生在上海的一次强对流天气过程进行中尺度分析。结果表明,这次强对流天气主要是由中、低空中尺度辐合系统直接触发形成的。强对流形成阶段,地面有分散辐合形成并逐渐加强,成为触发中尺度垂直环流的主要机制,垂直结构上出现低层辐合高层辐散的有利配置,风暴中心附近出现明显的上升气流区,中高层相对湿度显著增加。成熟阶段,强对流云体中心附近的对流层底层开始出现下沉气流,上升气流在其拖曳作用下明显倾斜。衰减阶段,下沉气流加强使中尺度环流动力结构和水汽供应受到破坏,垂直结构上转为底层辐散高层辐合。因此,与天气尺度分析相比,基于LAPS的中尺度分析能更深刻地揭示中小尺度系统的三维结构和时空演变特征。     

黑龙江省短时暴雨天气分型及雷达回波特征

通过统计黑龙江省2005～2006年260个短时暴雨样本,结合天气图和雷达图进行分析,对黑龙江省短时暴雨分类,并总结出不同天气形势下短时暴雨的雷达回波特征.     

基于5分钟雷达资料降水估测模型的比较

For the Z-R relationship in radar-based rainfall estimation, the distribution of corresponding R values for a given Z value （or the corresponding Z value for a given R value） may be highly skewed. However, the traditional power-law model is physically deduced and fitted under the normal-distribution presumption of radar wave echoes associated with a rain rate value, and it may not be very appropriate. Considering this problem, the authors devised several generalized linear models with different forms and distribution presumptions to represent the Z-R relationship. Radar-reflectivity scans observed by a CINRAD/SC Doppler radar and 5-minute rainfall accumulation recorded by 10 ground gauges were used to fit these models. All data used in this study were collected during some large rainfalls of the period from 2005 to 2007. The radar and all gauges were installed in the catchment of the Yishu River, a branch of the Huaihe River in China. Three models based on normal distribution and a dBZ presumption of gamma distribution were fitted using maximum-likelihood techniques, which were resolved by genetic algorithms. Comparisons of estimated maximized likelihoods based on assumptions of gamma and normal distribution showed that all generalized linear models （GLMs） of presumed gamma distribution were better fitted than GLMs based on normal distribution. In a comparison of maximum-likelihood, the differences between these three models were small. Three error statistics were used to assess the agreement between radar estimated rainfall and gauge rainfall： relative bias （B）, root mean square error （RMSE）, and correlation coefficient （r）. The results showed that no one model was excellent in all criteria. On the whole, the GLM-based models gave smaller relative bias than the traditional power-law model. It is suggested that validations conducted in many previous works should have been made against a specific criterion but overlooked others.     

雷达遥感图像分类新技术发展研究

总结了雷达遥感图像分类技术的发展过程,指出新的分类技术正朝着采用新特征(如雷达极化信息与干涉信息、多参数极化干涉信息、多时相信息、DEM与地理信息等),应用新理论(如小波理论、分形理论、模糊理论),设计新算法(如改进的最大似然法、上下文分类法、改进的神经网络分类算法等)的方向发展.     

巨厚灰岩油藏中隔夹层与高渗层成因与发育规律 ——以伊拉克H油田Mishrif组为例

隔夹层和高渗层是影响油田开发效果的重要因素.以伊拉克H油田Mishrif组为例,基于岩心和测井资料,在渗透率控制因素分析的基础上,研究了隔夹层和高渗层的成因类型与发育规律,并探讨了对油田开发的指导意义.Mishrif组生物碎屑灰岩渗透率与岩石结构、孔隙类型和成岩改造密切相关,受沉积和成岩作用的共同控制.隔夹层包括隔层、...     

新的震级国家标准在陕西地震台网的应用

选取陕西地震台网及邻省共享台站记录到的2008年5月至2021年5月104次地震资料,应用新的震级国家标准GB 17740—2017《地震震级的规定》得到新国标震级。研究表明：①新的地方性震级M_L比原规范的M_L震级系统偏大0.3左右,这主要是二者的量规函数不同造成的;②宽频带面波震级M_{S （BB）}和矩震级M_W震级基本一致,无系统偏差,大多数地震震级偏差为-0.1—0.1;③宽频带面波震级M_{S （BB）}比面波震级M_{S （CENC）}整体偏小0.2,二者之间存在系统偏差;④绝大多数地震的面波震级M_{S （CENC）}比M_W偏大0.2—0.3,二者之间存在系统偏差。     

层序格架中用地球化学录井资料评价烃源岩的方法

在综述前人对海相盆地和陆相盆地烃源岩分布与层序地层格架关系研究的基础上,介绍了露头、地球物理资料层序地层研究与地球化学录井资料的有机质丰度评价相结合进行烃源岩评价的方法及步骤。并通过在准噶尔盆地侏罗系烃源岩评价中的具体应用,较为客观地说明了准噶尔盆地侏罗系烃源岩在纵、横向上的分布。实践证明该方法是行之有效的。     

华北东部中生代构造体制转折峰期的主要地质效应和形成动力学探讨

华北中生代构造体制转折始于 15 0～ 14 0Ma ,终于 110～ 10 0Ma ,峰期是 12 0～ 110Ma ,总体上是由挤压构造体制转化为伸展构造体制 ,由EW向转变为NNE向的盆岭构造格局。但是转折过程有复杂的细节和多次挤压与伸展的转变 ,边缘与克拉通内部、北缘与南 (东 )缘之间在时间和空间上也有一定的变化。南 (东 )缘的挤压构造以 2 30～ 2 10Ma为主 ,然后在 130～ 110Ma期间达到构造转折的剧变期。北缘则似乎表现出 2 30～ 2 10Ma和 180 ( 170 )～ 16 0 ( 15 0 )Ma两期挤压构造 ,130～ 110Ma是构造转折的峰期。盆地的演化有多样性 ,燕山地区前晚侏罗世时期呈现出北东东向褶皱逆冲带与挤压挠曲盆地带相邻并存的盆山结构 ;而后晚侏罗世时期呈现出北北东向裂谷盆地与断隆相间的盆岭结构 ;晚侏罗世后时期则呈现出北东—北北东向盆地与“活动”断隆相间 ,并受北东东向褶皱逆冲带控制的盆山结构。大别山南北隆升历史完全不同。深部结构的研究表明 ,华北东部的岩石圈在古生代末期已有减薄表现 ,在中生代急剧减薄 ,地幔和下地壳发生大规模置换 ,至 130～ 110Ma到达顶峰。新生代以来又有加厚的趋势。中生代构造转折不具典型造山带特征 ,可能与周围块体夹击引发的区域性大规模地幔隆起有关     

Earthquake-controlling Processes of Detachment Zones in Eastern North China

The basin-and-range area in eastern North China is known for frequent occurrence of earthquakes, their great magnitudes and heavy losses thereby incurred. Seismic studies in the past usually emphasized the intersections, inflexions and branches of the faults. However, the intensities of many great earthquakes in this area do not show linear distribution, and the epicenters are horizontally dispersed at certain depths instead of along the strike of faults. Based on the sub-mantle plume studies made by authors in the past decade, it is thought that there exists an uplifted sub-mantle plume under the fault depression area in North China. The uplifting and intrusion of mantle materials caused the upper crust to be faulted, while low-velocity and high-velocity layers are alternatively distributed in the middle crust under the influence of the mantle and the lower crust. The middle and lower crust materials were detached from the top of the sub-mantle plume to the surroundings while the sub-mantle plume materi     

吉林南部原老岭群珍珠门组大理岩稀土地球化学

吉林南部早中元古宙老岭群珍珠门组镁质大理岩稀土地球化学特征可以划分为2种,分别发育于Ⅰ、Ⅱ分布区。Ⅰ分布区稀土总量相对较低,稀土分异差,曲线平坦;Ⅱ分布区稀土总量相对较高,稀土分异明显,曲线右倾。各区稀土特征的差别反映出来源和形成时大地构造环境的差别。大地构造环境Ⅰ分布区为与深大断裂有关的拗拉谷,Ⅱ分布区为具有火山活动的大陆裂谷。珍珠门组不具有地层意义,应当解体。