周边地区对北京地面SO2影响的初步研究

采用Lagrangian传输、扩散、沉降模式计算了1994年9、10月份(非采暖期)、1995年1月和2000年1月(采暖期)北京地区SO2的变化规律,并分别计算了北京市不同类型的排放源以及周边地区污染源对平均地面SO2浓度的贡献.计算结果与实际观测资料对比表明,模式能够较好地模拟北京地区SO2的浓度量级和逐日变化趋势.北京地区地面SO2浓度受天气条件的影响较大.采暖期,北京当地排放源的影响相对较大;但在大气条件有利输送的背景下,来自周边地区污染排放源的影响不容忽视.     

First GOCE gravity field models derived by three different approaches

Three gravity field models, parameterized in terms of spherical harmonic coefficients, have been computed from 71 days of GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer) orbit and gradiometer data by applying independent gravity field processing methods. These gravity models are one major output of the European Space Agency (ESA) project GOCE High-level Processing Facility (HPF). The processing philosophies and architectures of these three complementary methods are presented and discussed, emphasizing the specific features of the three approaches. The resulting GOCE gravity field models, representing the first models containing the novel measurement type of gravity gradiometry ever computed, are analysed and assessed in detail. Together with the coefficient estimates, full variance-covariance matrices provide error information about the coefficient solutions. A comparison with state-of-the-art GRACE and combined gravity field models reveals the additional contribution of GOCE based on only 71 days of data. Compared with combined gravity field models, large deviations appear in regions where the terrestrial gravity data are known to be of low accuracy. The GOCE performance, assessed against the GRACE-only model ITG-Grace2010s, becomes superior at degree 150, and beyond. GOCE provides significant additional information of the global Earth gravity field, with an accuracy of the 2-month GOCE gravity field models of 10?cm in terms of geoid heights, and 3?mGal in terms of gravity anomalies, globally at a resolution of 100?km (degree/order 200).     

The dependence of albite feldspar dissolution kinetics on fluid saturation state at acid and basic pH: Progress towards a universal relation

Here we report on two separate ongoing, multi-year investigations on the dependence of the dissolution rate (R) of albite feldspar on fluid saturation state, as defined by the Gibbs free energy of reaction (ΔG_r) for dissolution. The investigations are based on dissolution at pH 9.2, 150 °C and pH 3.3, 100 °C. Both studies reveal that the R–ΔG_r relation is highly non-linear and sigmoidal. The kinetic data from the first study, being the most complete, can be fitted with a sigmoidal rate curve that is composed of two separate, parallel rate laws that represent distinct mechanisms of dissolution. The switch between one dominant mechanism and the other may be controlled by a critical free energy. The fact that in both studies the same type of sigmoidal R–ΔG_r relation exists for dissolution at different pH and temperature condition suggests that this behavior may be universal for albite and other feldspars. Moreover, the experimental data contradict the commonly used R–ΔG_r relation that is loosely based on transition state theory (TST). This has important implications with respect to the accuracy of geochemical codes that model water–rock interactions at near-equilibrium conditions.     

Morphology and kinematics of the ionised gas in early-type galaxies

We present results of our ongoing study of the morphology and kinematics of the ionised gas in 48 representative nearby elliptical and lenticular galaxies using the SAURON integral-field spectrograph on the 4.2m William Herschel Telescope. Making use of a recently developed technique, emission is detected in 75% of the galaxies. The ionised-gas distributions display varied morphologies, ranging from regular gas disks to filamentary structures. Additionally, the emission-line kinematic maps show, in general, regular motions with smooth variations in kinematic position angle. In most of the galaxies, the ionised-gas kinematics is decoupled from the stellar counterpart, but only some of them present signatures of recent accretion of gaseous material. The presence of dust is very common in our sample and is usually accompanied by gas emission. Our analysis of the [Oiii]/Hβ emission-line ratios, both across the whole sample as well as within the individual galaxies, suggests that there is no unique mechanism triggering the ionisation of the gas.     

Towards an operational aqueous phase chemistry mechanism for regional chemistry-transport models: CAPRAM-RED and its application to the COSMO-MUSCAT model

Mechanism reductions of the detailed aqueous phase chemistry mechanism CAPRAM 3.0i are performed. Manual methods and automatic techniques are both applied in order to provide a less computationally intensive mechanism which is operational in regional chemistry transport models (CTMs). The finally reduced mechanism contains less than 200 reactions (4 times smaller than the detailed CAPRAM 3.0i) and describes the main characteristics of inorganic and organic aqueous phase processes occurring in tropospheric warm clouds. Most of the chemical reduction potential is realized in the CAPRAM 3.0i organic chemistry. The number of aqueous phase species decreases from 380 in the full mechanism to 130 in the final reduced version. The calculated percentage deviations between the full and reduced mechanism are on average below 5% for the most important organic and inorganic target compounds such as oxidants, inorganic and organic acids, carbonyls and alcohols. Comparisons of the required CPU times between the full and reduced mechanisms show reductions of approximately 40%. 2-D test simulations with the CTM MUSCAT were performed using prescribed meteorological conditions in order to examine the applicability of the reduced mechanism at regional scale. Simulations with the reduced CAPRAM 3.0i mechanism and a much less complex mechanism with only limited inorganic chemistry (INORG) were compared to evaluate the effects of more detailed chemistry. The model results show large differences in the level of oxidants and the inorganic and organic mass processing. Prospectively, the reduced mechanism represents the basis for studying aerosol cloud processing effects at regional scale with future CTMs and will allow more adequate interpretation of field data.     

Applicability of the ACE algorithm for multiple regression in hydrogeology

This paper introduces the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm of Breiman and Friedman (J Am Stat Assoc 80:580–619, 1985) for estimating the transformations of a response and a set of predictor variables in multiple regression problems in hydrogeology. The proposed nonparametric approach can be applied easily for estimating the optimal transformations of different hydrogeological data to obtain maximum correlation between observed variables. The approach does not require a priori assumptions of a functional form, and the optimal transformations are derived solely based on the data set. The advantages and applicability of this new approach to solve different multiple regression problems in hydrogeology or in Earth Sciences are illustrated by means of theoretical investigations and case studies. It is demonstrated that the ACE method has certain advantages in some fitting problems of hydrogeology over the traditional multiple regression. Based on our knowledge, this is the first application of the ACE algorithm to analyze and interpret groundwater data.     

Environmental impacts of household appliances in Europe and scenarios for their impact reduction

Assessing the environmental impact due to consumption of goods and services is a pivotal step towards achieving the sustainable development goal related to responsible production and consumption (i.e. SDG 12). Household appliances plays a crucial role and should be assessed in a systemic manner, namely considering all life cycle stages, technological efficiency, and affluence aspects. The present study assess the impact of such household appliances used in Europe, and tests scenarios of potential impact reduction at various scales. Life cycle assessment is applied to 14 different household appliances (ranging from dishwashers to television devices) selected to build a set of representative products, based on their economic value and diffusion in households in Europe. Related impacts are calculated with the Environmental Footprint method for calculating a Consumer Footprint “appliances” for the baseline year 2010. A number of scenarios encompassing eco-solutions on a technical level, changes in consumption pattern, behavioral changes, as well as the combination of all these aspects are run to estimate the Consumer Footprint related to household appliances for the year 2030, compared against this baseline scenario. The baseline Consumer Footprint is confirming the importance of the use phase in leading the impacts in almost all impact categories. Testing different scenarios concludes that there is a reduction of the impact for most of the categories (with up to 67% for the ozone depletion potential, and still around 35% for the global warming potential), while two of the here examined impact categories (i.e. land-use and mineral resource depletion) show an overall potential that is even negative – i.e. the results of all scenarios are higher than the ones of the 2010 baseline scenario. The increase in purchase and use of such appliances may offset energy efficiency benefits in some of the examined categories. Hence, the assessment of sustainability of appliances consumption should always include several scales, from the efficiency of the products (micro scale), to the improvement of the energy mix (meso scale), up to accounting for socio-economic drivers and patterns of consumption affecting the overall appliances stock (macro scale).     

Reconstruction of recent sea-level change using testate amoebae

Proxy-based sea-level reconstructions place the instrumentally observed rates of recent sea-level rise in a longer term context by providing data that extend the instrumental sea-level record into past centuries. This paper presents the first sea-level reconstructions based on analyses of testate amoebae, to test their ability to produce high-precision reconstructions of past sea level. We present two reconstructions for the past 100 yr from sites in Maine (USA) and Nova Scotia (Canada) based on short cores from salt marshes, and modern training data from North America and the United Kingdom. These are compared with tide-gauge records and reconstructions based on foraminifera from the same cores. The reconstructions show good agreement with both the tide-gauge data and the foraminifera-based reconstructions. The UK data perform well in predicting known elevations of North American surface samples and produce sea-level reconstructions very similar to those based on the North American data, suggesting the methodology is robust across large geographical areas. We conclude that testate amoebae have the potential to provide robust, higher precision sea-level reconstructions for the past few centuries if modern transfer functions are improved and core sites are located within the main zone of testate amoebae occurrence on the salt marsh.