多源降水预报集成技术应用研究

基于欧洲中期天气预报中心全球高分辨率预报模式ECMWF、中国自主研发的新一代业务化区域数值模式GRAPES_Meso和WRF中国全国区域预报模式的降水预报结果进行未来3 d降水集成预报.以中国地面—卫星—雷达三源融合逐时降水格点产品(CMPA-Hourly,V2.0)作为"观测值"进行建模,采用消除偏差多模式平均法和基...     

非补偿陆相断陷盆地层序地层学研究——以廊固凹陷古近系为例

非补偿沉积表现为无明显的沉积间断面,单层暗色泥岩厚度大,分布范围广,沉积剖面以退积为特点。通过对廊固凹陷古近系基底地层、物源体系的研究,结合沉积物组合特点、沉积剖面序列和构造发育阶段特征,分析了非补偿沉积盆地的层序发育样式,总结了非补偿盆地层序边界发育特征,建立了层序地层格架,共划分了1个一级层序、3个二级层序、11个三级层序。研究了不同沉积、构造背景下各层序组内体系域的样式,将一个完整的层序划分为湖泊充填体系域、湖泊扩张体系域、湖泊稳定体系域及湖泊萎缩体系域(下降体系域)等4个阶段,使体系域的叠加与层序的演化相关联。建立了非补偿型陆相盆地有利体系域沉积模式,认为物源的演替是其主控因素,复杂的断裂系统仅是一种控制沉积作用的一种表象。     

云南中甸普朗、红卓斑岩铜矿床地质特征及找矿前景

通过对印支期普朗、红卓岛弧型斑岩铜矿矿床地质特征和找矿标志的总结,论述了铜矿的找矿前景以及工作方向。     

Petrogenesis of the Early Cretaceous Laojunshan monzogranite at the southern margin of the North China Craton: Constrains on the transition of the tectonic regime

<正>1 Introduction Voluminous Mesozoic magmatic rocks containing abundant Au-Mo polymetallic mineralization resources are developed in the Xiaoqinling-Xiong’ershan district of the southern margin of the North China Craton(NCC).     

漳河流域近60年径流变化分析

近年来,漳河流域径流量显著减少,严重影响流域内水资源的开发与利用。采用多种数理统计方法,分析了径流量的演变特征。结果表明:漳河流域年径流量呈显著性减少趋势,其中下游减少的趋势更加显著;20世纪80年代以前年径流量高于多年平均值,80年代以后低于多年平均值,且不同年代变幅较大;漳河流域实测径流量在20世纪70年代中后期出现变异点,变异点之后年径流量比变异点之前明显偏小。径流量系列存在6~7a的准周期。     

江西九江城门山铜矿汞气测量找矿方法

在城门山铜矿系统开展了土壤壤中汞、热释汞、全汞的测量。结果表明,花岗闪长斑岩和破碎带上覆的土壤中具有明显的壤中汞气、热释汞的富集,土壤中汞气的主要源是深部的硫化物矿体。汞异常能够准确地反映出下伏矿体的赋存部位。土壤全汞因为本底汞的影响不能很好地反映矿化信息,利用土壤全量汞与热释汞含量的比值来抑制本底汞,突显热释汞,能更清晰地显示深部的矿化信息,是示踪深部矿化信息的有用的地球化学指标。     

Characteristics and Formation Mechanism of Giant Long‐Runout Landslide: A Case Study of the Gamisi Ancient Landslide in the Upper Minjiang River,China

The upper reaches of the Minjiang River are in the eastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, where active faults are well developed and earthquakes frequently occur. Anomalous climate change and the extremely complex geomechanical properties of rock and soil have resulted in a number of geohazards. Based on the analysis of remote sensing interpretations, geological field surveys, geophysical prospecting and geological dating results, this paper discusses the developmental characteristics of the Gamisi ancient landslide in Songpan County, Sichuan Province, and investigates its geological age and formation mechanism. This study finds that the Gamisi ancient landslide is in the periglacial region of the Minshan Mountain and formed approximately 25 ka BP. The landslide initiation zone has a collapse and slide zone of approximately 22.65×106–31.7×106 m3 and shows a maximum sliding distance of approximately 1.42 km, with an elevation difference of approximately 310 m between the back wall of the landslide and the leading edge of the accumulation area. The landslide movement was characterized by a high speed and long runout. During the sliding process, the landslide body eroded and dammed the ancient Minjiang River valley. The ancient river channel was buried 30-60 m below the surface of the landslide accumulation area. Geophysical prospecting and drilling observations revealed that the ancient riverbed was approximately 80-100 m thick. After the dam broke, the Minjiang River was migrated to the current channel at the leading edge of the landslide. The Gamisi ancient landslide was greatly affected by the regional crustal uplift, topography, geomorphology and paleoclimatic change. The combined action of periglacial karstification and climate change caused the limestone at the rear edge of the landslide fractured, thus providing a lithological foundation for landslide occurrence. Intense tectonic activity along the Minjiang Fault, which runs through the middle and trailing parts of the Gamisi ancient landslide, may have been the main factor inducing landsliding. Studying the Gamisi ancient landslide is of great significance for investigating the regional response to paleoclimatic change and geomorphologic evolution of the Minjiang Fault since the late Pleistocene and for disaster prevention and mitigation.     

怀柔应急水源地可持续供水与水源涵养研究

怀柔应急水源地自运行以来一直续采至今,由于连续干旱和多年的超设计规模运行,导致区内水文地质条件发生了较大变化,为保证其"应急供水"的能力,具备随时启动供水的功能,结合南水北调水源进京的机遇,从资源回补涵养和供水系统的热备运行两方面开展研究工作。在综合分析区域水文地质条件和研究多年地下水动态变化规律的基础上,利用地下水数值模型对怀柔应急水源地在不同开采条件下的回补方式和效果进行模拟,拟定了南水北调进京后区域水资源人工回补方案及应急水源地的热备运行方案,并模拟预测了水源地热备运行和地下水涵养效果,为怀柔应急水源地可持续供水提供科学依据。分析结果表明:南水北调水源进京后,怀柔应急水源地可采用夏季高峰集中供水与日常保压相结合的"集中开采"方案和日常"稳压开采"方案。     

喜马拉雅山珠峰绒布冰川流域径流模拟

基于2009年5-10月喜马拉雅山北坡珠峰绒布冰川流域实测水文气象数据、 50 m分辨率DEM和中国第一次冰川编目资料, 在HYCYMODEL水文模型中加入冰川消融子模块, 模拟了绒布冰川流域径流过程.冰川消融子模块以海拔5 180 m基站的实测日气温、 日降水作为模型输入, 把气温、 降水插值到该流域40个高程带中, 分别计算各高程带的冰川消融和裸地蒸发, 并考虑液态降水对冰面的加热作用.野外气象观测表明: 2009年5-10月流域海拔5 180~5 750 m内, 月气温递减率在0.63~0.73 ℃·(100m)^-1之间, 均值为0.70 ℃·(100m)^-1; 同期降水观测显示, 海拔5 180 m以下降水梯度为-7.3 mm·(100m)^-1, 该高度之上降水梯度为22 mm·(100m)^-1. HYCYMODEL水文模型的敏感性检验表明, 该流域径流变化主要受气温影响, 降水变化引起的径流变化较小, 气温和降水变化对流域径流的影响是非线性的.     

陕西省山阳县夏家店金(钒)矿床成矿地质特征及找矿前景分析

陕西省山阳县夏家店金(钒)矿床金矿体受赋矿层位(黑色岩系地层)及断裂构造双重因素控制,在走向上呈尖灭再现的透镜状产出.目前勘查程度仅限于矿区范围内,且勘查深度仅为地表以下300m左右.根据矿区多个金矿体地质特征及赋存位置,总结其控矿特征和成矿规律.分析认为矿区边部和深部具有很大的找矿潜力.