三峡库区气温变化高精度区域气候模式模拟与预估

基于三峡库区1961—2005年气温逐日格点数据,评估由BCC_CSM1.1模式驱动的RegCM4区域气候模式、MPI-ESM-LR模式驱动的CCLM区域气候模式对三峡库区平均气温、极端高温的模拟能力,选用与观测值更为接近的区域气候模式模拟结果,预估三峡库区在RCP4.5温室气体排放情景下2016—2035年气温变化。结果表明:RegCM4和CCLM模式均能模拟出三峡库区多年平均气温、高温日数和高温强度的季节变化和空间分布形态,但均在库区东北部模拟的年平均气温偏低、高温日数偏少、高温强度偏小。同时,模式均能较好地反映出三峡库区年平均气温、年高温日数的年际变化,但对高温强度的年际变化模拟较差。总体而言,CCLM模式对三峡库区气温的模拟效果好于RegCM4。RCP4.5情景下,三峡库区2016—2035年平均气温、高温日数比当代(1986—2005年)分别增加0.6℃和5d,高温强度变化不明显。     

北半球平流层月平均环流的若干基本事实

本文用北半球平流层20年月平均的高度资料分析了北半球平流层30、50和100hPa各层平均高度的时、空分布、年变程、月变程以及平均环流的演变特征。分析指出北半球平流层大气环流由冬到夏表现为:由极地涡旋完全转变为极地高压,高层(30 hPa在4月中完成)比低层(100hPa在6月完成)早一个月以上;由夏到冬反之,由极地高压完全转变成极地涡旋,高层(50hPa在8月中完成)比低层(100hPa在10月完成)也提前一个月以上。把这些基本事实与对流层的环流年变相结合,将有助于长期天气预报。     

中国大陆地震条带统计特征分析

对中国大陆具备相对完整资料的327次M≥5.0地震,分5个工作区进行了统一要求的地震条带图像扫描,发现96次中强震前存在条带图像,约占研究地震总数的29％.其中震前有条带地震与研究地震的比例分别为:华北地区30％,华东南区29％,川滇地区41％,青藏高原西北缘24％,新疆地区16 ％.中强震前出现条带比例最低的是新疆,...     

Intrinsic and attenuative dispersion characteristics of direct P-waves in and near the source area of the 1999 MW7.6 Chi-Chi,Taiwan, earthquake before and after the mainshock

Based on the measurement of the arrival time of maxima magnitude from band-pass filtering signals which were determined using a new Morlet wavelet multiple-filter method, we develop a method for measuring intrinsic and attenuative dispersion of the first cycle direct P-wave. We determine relative group delays of spectral components of direct P-waves for 984 ray paths from SML and ALS stations of the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau Seismic Network (CWBSN). Using continuous relaxation model, we deduce a new transfer function that relates intrinsic dispersion to attenuation. Based on the genetic algorithm (GA), we put forward a new inversion procedure for determining which is defined the flat part of quality factor Q(ω) spectrum, τ₁ and τ₂ parameters. The results indicate that ① The distribution of Q_m values versus epicentral distance and depth show that Q_m values linearly increase with increasing of epicentral distance and depth, and Q_m values is clearly independent of earthquakes magnitude; ② In the different depth ranges, Q_m residual show no correlation with variations in epicentral distance. Some significant changes of Q_m residual with time is likely caused by pre-seismic stress accumulation, and associated with fluid-filled higher density fractures rock volume in the source area of 1999 Chi-Chi Taiwan earthquake. We confirm that Q_m residual with time anomaly appears about 2.5 years before the Chi-Chi earthquake; ③ A comparison of Q_m residual for different depth range between SML and ALS stations show that the level of stress has vertical and lateral difference; ④ The area near observation station with both anomalously increasing and decreasing averaged Q_m residual is likely an unstable environment for future strong earthquake occurrence. This study demonstrates the capability of direct P-waves dispersion for monitoring attenuation characteristics and its state changes of anelastic medium of the Earth at short propagation distance using seismograms recorded from very small events.

     

原油族组分成气的化学动力学模型及其标定

利用等温密封热解实验技术及恒速升温热解实验与PY—GC分析技术的结合,本文分别建立并标定了原油中各族组分,即饱和烃、芳烃、非烃和沥青质成气的化学动力学模型。结果表明,原油中不同族组分成气的过程均可用平行一级反应描述,但不同组分在平均活化能及活化能分布上有明显的差异。各族组分在地史过程中成气的过程可由各自的化学动力学模型来描述。这将使原油成气过程的定量、动态描述成为可能。     

U–Pb and Re–Os geochronology and geodynamic setting of the Dabaoshan polymetallic deposit, northern Guangdong Province, South China

The Dabaoshan polymetallic deposit in northern Guangdong Province contains iron, copper, lead, zinc, molybdenum, tungsten and sulfur mineral resources. Porphyry-type Mo(W) and skarn-type Mo-W mineralization occurs along the internal and external contact zones of the granodioritic porphyry, respectively. LA-ICP-MS U–Pb dating of zircons from two granodioritic porphyry samples yielded a weighted mean ²⁰⁶Pb/²³⁸U age of 175.8 ± 1.5 Ma (MSWD = 0.037) and 175.0 ± 1.7 Ma (MSWD = 0.41). They can be pooled together to yield a combined weighted age of 175.4 ± 1.6 Ma (MSWD = 0.26), which is interpreted as the emplacement age of the granodioritic porphyry. Re–Os dating of three molybdenite samples from porphyry and skarn ores yielded consistent model ages of 163.2 ± 2.3 Ma to 165.2 ± 2.4 Ma, with a weighted mean of 163.9 ± 1.3 Ma (MSWD = 0.81), which is the age of Mo–W mineralization. These ages are consistent with the molybdenite Re–Os model age (164.7 ± 3 Ma) measured by Mao et al. (2004a) for the stratiform Cu–Pb–Zn orebody, and they can yield a weighted mean of 164.0 ± 2.5 Ma (MSWD = 0.16). This implies that Mo–W and Cu–Pb–Zn mineralization in the Dabaoshan polymetallic deposit are the products of one mineralization event. The mineralization in the deposit coincides closely with that of Mo-polymetallic mineralization (164–149 Ma) elsewhere in the Nanling region, comprising an important polymetallic metallogenic belt of south China, and corresponds to the second episode of Mesozoic metallogenesis in South China. Combined with previous studies, we suggest that the Dabaoshan polymetallic deposit is related to post-collisional lithosphere extension in the Nanling region of South China. Geological data and Pb isotopic evolution diagrams, together with stable isotopic data of fluid inclusions (δ¹⁸O = − 3.75–7.0‰, δD = − 50.7 to − 56.1‰) and ore sulfides (δ³⁴S = − 2–3‰), suggest a genetic relationship between the Dabaoshan polymetallic deposit, the granodioritic porphyry and the dacitic porphyry. These data, combined with the Re content (64.7 to 102.4 ppm) of molybdenite, indicate that the ore-forming components were derived from mixed crustal and mantle sources.     

松辽盆地白垩纪地层时代划分

松辽盆地经多年来地质生产和科研活动,已经建立了一套完整的地层层序,由下往上为：沙河子组、营城组、登娄库组、泉头组、青山口组、姚家组、嫩江组、四方台组、明水组等９组２７个岩性段。白垩系的上限在明水组和依安组之间,相当于马斯特里赫特阶的顶界,同位素年龄为６６Ｍａ。白垩系的下限在沙河子组和火石岭组之间,相当于贝利亚斯阶的底界,同位素年龄为１４４Ｍａ。松辽盆地白垩系属陆相地层,三分性明显,自然划分为下、中、上三统,这种划分方案正被更多的地质工作者所接受。     

从反射地震剖面认识龙门山断裂带彭灌杂岩深部结构

彭灌杂岩位于龙门山断裂带中段,是龙门山区域地质构造重要组成部分.通过对一条穿过彭灌杂岩中部的深地震反射剖面进行分析解释,描述该区域彭灌杂岩深部结构特征及形成机制.地震反射剖面分析表明彭灌杂岩在纵深上存在分层结构,且彭灌杂岩存在底界面,在该区域表现出无根特征,参考岩体层倾向推断原岩应来自现位置西北方向更深部;同时剖面能量...     

岩浆流体对冲绳海槽海底成矿热水系统的可能贡献

海底火山活动区成矿热液流体来源长期存在争议,尽管海水来源说更为流行,但本文提供的下列证据表明,来自长曲质岩浆的流体对冲绳海槽现代活动热水成矿系统有较大贡献：（１）冲绳海槽ＪＡＤＥ热水区出现异常高热流,其下方１￣２ｋｍ处存在浅位长英质岩浆房;（２）ＣＯ２、烃类、Ｈ２等气体在热水成矿体系中极度富集甚至形成独立气流,与热水流体共存。气体的碳、氦同位素资料表明其来自长英质岩浆本系;（３）ＪＡＤＥ成矿热水系