地震预报中地电阻率高精度计算方法

本文利用回归分析、谐波分析和预测、理论研究了从大地电位差(Vsp)和人工电位差(ΔV)迭加的合成势差(E)中高精度分离ΔV的方法。实际计算表明:当Vsp变化规律较强时,该方法的精度比常规方法提高几倍至十几倍;当Vsp变化规律较弱时,该方法的精度一般高于或接近于常规方法的精度。     

Palaeogene Biostratigraphic Characteristics of Red Basins In Western Henan and Its Adjacent Areas, With an Outline of Palaeogene Palaeobiogeographic Provinces of China

This article is a preliminary summary of Paleogene biostratigraphy of the Liguanqiao, Tantou andYuanqu basins, with a new proposal for Paleogene paleobiogeographic provinces of China. On the basis of asynthetic analysis of the geological data, characters of the mammalian assemblages and their comparisons withother corresponding faunas, a new scheme on Paleogene biostratigraphic subdivision of the basins has been putforward here. Based on differences of biostratigraphic sequences, characteristics of mammalian assemblagesand directions of faults controlling Paleogene basins in China, six Paleogene paleobiogeographic provinces ofChina have been proposed in this paper, that is: Tianshan-Yinshan-Tumen Province; Tarim-North China Prov-ince; Kunlun-Qinling Province, Yangtze Province, Nanling and Southeastern Coastal Province, Qinghai andTibet Province.     

SEISMICITY TENDENCY PREDICTION BEFORE 2020 IN CHINA MAINLAND FROM ASTRONOMIC PERIODICITIES

The correlations between large earthquakes in China continent and periodicities of the Moon's movement and the solar activity are statistically analysed and the following points are revealed:1. The earthquakes with ≥7.5 in Qing-Zang fault-block region have 18.6-yr periodicity of the Moon's nodes motion.2. The earthquakes with M≥7.1 in Xinjiang fault-block region have 8.85-yr periodicity of the Moon's perigee motion.3. The earthquakes with M≥7.0 in China mainland have the tendency to cl     

丰城堡-祝家庄地区地壳偶极电测深法的定点观测

1985～1988年在丰城堡—祝家庄地区进行了偶极法电测深观测。观测中采用供电偶极距为1000m,测量偶极距950—1000m,偶极中心间距5000—8000m。在观测期间发现地电阻率ρ_s无明显季节性变化;在距测区100公里范围内发生M≥4级地震前10天左右,ρ_s出现3—8%的变化。     

搞好交界地区的地震监测预报工作 继续完善我国地震工作管理体制

跨省市交界区地震监测预报的组织工作薄弱是我同地震竹理体制的一个缺陷。地震监测预报区的地理范围与地震行政竹辖区范围的不一致是造成这种缺陷的基本原因。实行相邻省市地震协防制,建立协防领导小组是改善和强化跨省市交界区地震监测预报工作的可行和有效的途径和管理方式。     

青藏高原自然地理研究的进展

本文综述青藏高原自然地理研究所取得的主要进展,诸如晚新生代以来高原剧烈抬升引起的自然环境巨大变化,上新世的古地理环境和高原隆起,湖泊和水系的演变,第四纪冰川作用,全新世古地理环境演化以及高原隆起对自然环境和过程的影响等。指出了青藏高原具有的独特自然环境类型和特征,阐述了山地垂直自然带谱类型的比较研究,三维空间的地域分异,自然区划以及对独特地生态现象和区域的研究成果。     

关于陆地系统科学的若干认识

黄秉维先生最近提出,地球系统科学是可持续发展的科学基础。在地球系统科学所包括的陆地、海洋、大气3个子系统中,陆地系统最复杂,但研究的深度最欠缺,应在中国着力开展陆地系统科学的研究。本文就陆地系统科学研究的目的和意义、陆地系统科学的对象和性质、研究方法论、时间尺度以及基本构架等方面的问题,阐述了学习黄秉维先生学术思想的心得和体会。     

Assessing artificial neural networks coupled with wavelet analysis for multi-layer soil moisture dynamics prediction

Soil moisture simulation and prediction in semi-arid regions are important for agricultural production,soil conservation and climate change.However,considerable heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of soil moisture,and poor ability of distributed hydrological models to estimate it,severely impact the use of soil moisture models in research and practical applications.In this study,a newly-developed technique of coupled(WA-ANN) wavelet analysis(WA) and artificial neural network(ANN) was applied for a multi-layer soil moisture simulation in the Pailugou catchment of the Qilian Mountains,Gansu Province, China.Datasets included seven meteorological factors:air and land surface temperatures,relative humidity,global radiation, atmospheric pressure,wind speed,precipitation,and soil water content at 20,40,60,80,120 and 160 cm.To investigate the effectiveness of WA-ANN,ANN was applied by itself to conduct a comparison.Three main findings of this study were:(1) ANN and WA-ANN provided a statistically reliable and robust prediction of soil moisture in both the root zone and deepest soil layer studied(NSE >0.85,NSE means Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient);(2) when input meteorological factors were transformed using maximum signal to noise ratio(SNR) and one-dimensional auto de-noising algorithm(heursure) in WA, the coupling technique improved the performance of ANN especially for soil moisture at 160 cm depth;(3) the results of multi-layer soil moisture prediction indicated that there may be different sources of water at different soil layers,and this can be used as an indicator of the maximum impact depth of meteorological factors on the soil water content at this study site.We conclude that our results show that appropriate simulation methodology can provide optimal simulation with a minimum distortion of the raw-time series;the new method used here is applicable to soil sciences and management applications.     

An investigation on low frequency fatigue damage of mooring lines applied in a semi-submersible platform

Assessing the fatigue life of mooring systems is important for deep water structures. In this paper, a comprehensive fatigue analysis is conducted on the mooring lines applied in a semi-submersible platform with special focus on the low frequency (LF) fatigue damage. Several influential factors, including water depth, wave spectral parameters, and riser system, are considered. Numerical simulation of a semi-submersible platform with the mooring/riser system is executed under different conditions, and the fatigue damage of mooring lines is assessed by using the time domain analysis method as a benchmark. The effects of these factors on the mooring line tension and the fatigue damage are investigated and discussed in detail. Research results indicate that the LF fatigue damage only accounts for a very small portion of the total damage, although the LF components dominate the global motion response and the mooring line tension of the semi-submersible platform. However, it is demonstrated that the LF fatigue damage is clearly affected by the influential factors. The increase in water depth and spectral peak periods, and the existence of risers can weaken the contribution of the LF components to the mooring line fatigue damage, while the fatigue damage due to the LF components increases with the increase of significant wave height.