1979—2014年全球变暖背景下青藏高原气候变化特征

近几十年来全球变暖受到越来越广泛的关注,然而全球变暖从1998年开始趋缓,但青藏高原却呈现加速增暖的趋势。本文基于前人研究,系统回顾了青藏高原气温、积雪、降水和大气热源等四方面在全球变暖背景下的变化,指出高原的加速增温导致了积雪迅速融化,降水明显增多的同时,高原热源却呈现减弱趋势。     

基于SPSS的高层建筑物沉降预计模型研究

沉降监测工作在高层建筑整个施工过程中很关键, 沉降预计也十分重要。为了更好地预计沉降值, 本文利用SPSS统计与分析软件建立多种曲线模型对实测值进行回归分析, 拟合出不同曲线并分析比较不同模型的精度, 得出最为符合实际情况的预计模型表达式, 并进一步进行分段优化。经分析研究与实例验证, 该模型在一定程度上具有很好的可靠度与可行性, 且分段拟合效果更佳。     

Heavy metals in particulate and colloidal matter from atmospheric deposition of urban Guangzhou,South China

Suspended particulate matter (SPM) and colloidal matter (COM) in annual dry and wet deposition samples in urban Guangzhou were for the first time collected, and their trace metals were investigated by using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). The deposition flux of SPM and of metal elements varied largely among the investigated seasons, and reached the maximum in spring. The correlation analysis indicated that significant correlations existed among some of the metal elements in the deposition samples. The enrichment factors (EF) of metals in COM in the deposition ranging from 79.66 to 130,000 were much higher than those of SPM ranging from 1.65 to 286.48, indicating the important role of COM. The factor analysis showed that emissions from street dust, non-ferrous metal production, and heavy fuel oil were major sources of the trace metals. Positive matrix factorization (PMF) model was used to quantitatively estimate anthropogenic source.     

Erratum to: Geochemical and environmental magnetic characteristics of high arsenic aquifer sediments from Datong Basin,northern China

Geochemical and environmental magnetic studies were carried out to identify the effect of iron oxyhydroxides on arsenic mobilization in high arsenic aquifer system. Using high arsenic sediment samples from two boreholes, specifically drilled for this study, chemical composition and magnetic properties including magnetic susceptibility, saturation remnant magnetization, and isothermal remnant magnetization were measured. Results of correlation analysis of element contents show that arsenic and iron are closely associated with each other (r ² = 0.40, α = 0.05, n = 21). In contrast, the correlation of phosphorus with iron (r = 0.11, α = 0.05, n = 21) and arsenic (r ² = 0.18, α = 0.05, n = 21) was poor, which might result from competitive adsorption of phosphorus and arsenic on the surface of Fe-oxyhydroxides. The high correlation coefficients between arsenic contents and magnetic parameters suggest that the ferrimagnetic minerals including maghemite and hematite are the dominant carrier of arsenic in aquifer sediments. The results of sequential extraction experiments also revealed the association of arsenic with reducible iron oxides, such as maghemite and hematite in aquifer sediments. Therefore, under reducing conditions, reductive dissolution and desorption of arsenic from Fe-oxyhydroxides into the aqueous phase should be the dominant geochemical processes for its enrichment in groundwater at Datong. An erratum to this article can be found at     

Estimation of areas of sand and dust emission in the Hexi Corridor from a land cover database: an approach that combines remote sensing with GIS

The present study combined remote sensing with geographical information system (GIS) technology to interpret Landsat TM images from 1996 to 2000 and establish a land cover database for the Hexi Corridor of China’s Gansu Province. The areas of sand and dust emission and trends in their change were extracted by analyzing the database, with the following results: In 2000, the source area for sand and dust storms totaled nearly 170,000 km², accounting for 75.1% of the study region. The emission area decreases from as much as 70,000 km² in winter and spring to around 58,000 km² in summer and autumn, accounting for 41.1 and 34.1% of the source area, respectively. During the 4 years of the study period, the emission area decreased by nearly 57 km² in winter and spring (a 0.1% change); however, the vulnerability of the land surface to wind erosion increased in ca. 190 km² and decreased in ca. 102 km². Although the area of dust emission decreased from 1996 to 2000, the area vulnerable to wind erosion increased by ca. 87 km², and the increased number of sand and dust storm days in the region between 2000 and 2003 appears to be correlated with this increase.     

Authorization administration in a distributed multi-application environment

To meet the authorization administration requirements in a distributed computer network environment, this paper extends the role-based access control model with multiple application dimensions and establishes a new access control model ED-RBAC(Extended Role Based Access Control Model) for the distributed environment. We propose an extendable hierarchical authorization assignment framework and design effective role-registering, role-applying and role-assigning protocol with symmetric and asymmetric cryptographic systems. The model can be used to simplify authorization administration in a distributed environment with multiple applications.     

地应变震兆异常信息提取方法研究

分析了怀来台体积应变观测资料的特点,研究了体积应变观测资料的气压干扰、仪器漂移的剔除方法和预处理后的资料分析方法,在分析中发现,振幅因子和非潮汐应变速率在1996年以来,在首都圈地区中西部发生的中强地震前,均有大小不同、持续时间不等的异常,这些参数可作为怀来地震台今后地震分析和地震中短期预测的指标。     

气候变化和人类活动对永定河流域径流变化影响定量研究

以永定河流域为研究对象,在对永定河流域1957-2010年降水、实际蒸发和气温实测资料进行趋势分析的基础上,建立SWAT模型,验证了还原径流的必要性,对气候变化和人类活动对永定河流域径流的影响进行了定量研究。结果表明：20世纪60、70年代为永定河流域的丰水期,80年代至今为枯水期。永定河流域80年代后的实测径流资料受气候变化和人类活动影响显著,需进行径流还原后才能保证径流资料的一致性。气候变化是80年代后期径流减少的主要原因,其贡献量约占总减少量的65.4%,人类活动的贡献量占34.6%,也是不容忽视的因素。     

扩频微波网桥在新疆测震网络中的应用

以频率为2.4 GHz和5.8 GHz设备为例,对扩频微波网桥在新疆测震网络中的应用范围进行阐述;根据实际工作中无线网桥的安装架设经验,对在不同条件、不同环境下可能出现的问题提出相应解决方案.     

Prediction methods of spudcan penetration for jack-up units

Jack-up units are extensively playing a successful role in drilling engineering around the world, and their safety and efficiency take more and more attraction in both research and engineering practice. An accurate prediction of the spudcan penetration depth is quite instrumental in deciding on whether a jack-up unit is feasible to operate at the site. The prediction of a too large penetration depth may lead to the hesitation or even rejection of a site due to potential difficulties in the subsequent extraction process; the same is true of a too small depth prediction due to the problem of possible instability during operation. However, a deviation between predictive results and final field data usually exists, especially when a strong-over-soft soil is included in the strata. The ultimate decision sometimes to a great extent depends on the practical experience, not the predictive results given by the guideline. It is somewhat risky, but no choice. Therefore, a feasible predictive method for the spudcan penetration depth, especially in strata with strong-over-soft soil profile, is urgently needed by the jack-up industry. In view of this, a comprehensive investigation on methods of predicting spudcan penetration is executed. For types of different soil profiles, predictive methods for spudcan penetration depth are proposed, and the corresponding experiment is also conducted to validate these methods. In addition, to further verify the feasibility of the proposed methods, a practical engineering case encountered in the South China Sea is also presented, and the corresponding numerical and experimental results are also presented and discussed.