Engineering geological conditions and features of geologic hazards in Wudongde reservoir of Jinshajiang River valley

There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection in Wudongde reservoir area of Jinshajiang River valley for example.In all engineering geological conditions,the chronologic age and attitude of strata,and the lithologic association factors control the distributions and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the studied area.The study shows that the slopes in geological evolution are in different stages.The conclusion helps to understand the types and the intensity of geological disasters.     

Distribution of 137Cs and 210Pb in sediments of tidal flats in north Jiangsu Province

Seven cores were collected from different sediment zones of tidal flats at Xinyanggang in north Jiangsu province in August 2007. Sediment grain-size distribution and radioisotopes of 137Cs and 210Pb analysis were carried out for these cores. Sediment rates of the cores and radioisotopes distribution in surface sediment in different zones of the tidal flat were calculated from the 137Cs and 210Pb activities in sediments cores. The results indicated that each tidal zone had experienced different evolution phases, hydrological dynamics in the tidal flats made the grain-size of the surface sediment change gradually. 137Cs and 210Pb activities on the superficial layer of the cores varied spatially and the reason was discussed. On tidal flats, the fluctuation of 137Cs and 210Pb activities in the cores reflected the special sedimentary characteristics. Vegetation affects the grain-size distribution and the vertical profiles of 137Cs and 210Pb in the upper depths. 137Cs and 210Pb chronology got the comparable average sediment rates on the tidal flat. The characteristics of 137Cs and 210Pb in the cores reflected various depositional dynamical environments in different tidal zones and gave information on the different evolvement phases of the tidal zones. Based on the information of grain-size distribution, texture of the cores, sediment rates and topography, the evolution lines of the tidal flat were reconstructed.     

福建沿海主要城市入境旅游客源市场结构的比较研究

入境旅游是旅游业的重要组成部分,是旅游产业发展水平的重要体现.当前,福建省经济社会持续发展,改革开放稳步推进,对外经济文化交流日益增加,为福建省大力发展入境旅游带来了新的机遇.本研究选取福州、厦门、泉州、漳州(其入境客源总量占全省入境客源总量的85%)4个城市作为研究对象,主要运用转移-份额(SSM)分析并结合波士顿矩阵法,分析这4个城市的入境旅游客源市场结构、市场竞争力及其总体发展潜力特征,提出优化主体客源市场,做好多样化旅游市场的目标定位;加强旅游市场细分营销,凸显区域竞争优势;深挖城市旅游市场潜力,促进城市之间联动发展等建议.     

中国东南沿海产业空间集聚适度与生产要素优化配置研究

借助一系列投入产出指标计算分析了中国东部沿海制造业的总体集聚态势,并选择其中15个具有显著集聚特征的二位数制造业作为研究对象,采用综合规模指数进一步分析东部沿海典型二位数制造业的集聚态势;构建利润—综合规模指数关系变化趋势图,分析判断了这15个二位数制造业集聚的合理性,并将15个二位数制造业归类为集聚推进、集聚适度、集聚过度三大类型,借助数据包络分析(DEA)模型判断哪些具体制造业在哪些地区已集聚过度,借助差额变数分析,为生产要素优化配置提供决策依据。     

Rapidly installed temporary gauging for hurricane waves and surge,and application to Hurricane Gustav

Hurricanes can produce extreme nearshore waves and surge, but permanent gauging stations are often much sparser than is desired. This paper describes the rationale behind and outline for rapidly installed temporary coastal gauges, and presents results during Hurricane Gustav (2008). Within 48 h prior to landfall, twenty self-recording pressure gauges were deployed in depths of 1.4–23 m over more than 700 km of coastline, using helicopters to cover the large distances. Results showed a complex picture that was strongly dependent on location. East of the Mississippi Delta, open coast waves were large, and surge reached 3.8 m NAVD88 in marshes. West of the delta but near landfall, waves and surge were generally smaller as the river levees blocked flow from East to West. West of landfall, both waves and surge were very small and the most prominent feature was a water level drawdown that reached 1.5 m. Wave spectra varied strongly depending both on location and time from landfall.     

Agricultural effluent control under uncertainty: An inexact double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained model

An inexact double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (IDFCCP) method was developed in this study and applied to an agricultural effluent control management problem. IDFCCP was formulated through incorporating interval linear programming (ILP) into a double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (DFCCP) framework, and could be used to deal with uncertainties expressed as not only possibility distributions associated with both left- and right-hand-side components of constraints but also discrete intervals in the objective function. The study results indicated that IDFCCP allowed violation of system constraints at specified confidence levels, where each confidence level consisted of two reliability scenarios. This could lead to model solutions with high system benefits under acceptable risk magnitudes. Furthermore, the introduction of ILP allowed uncertain information presented as discrete intervals to be communicated into the optimization process, such that a variety of decision alternatives can be generated by adjusting the decision-variable values within their intervals. The proposed model could help decision makers establish various production patterns with cost-effective water quality management schemes under complex uncertainties, and gain in-depth insights into the trade-offs between system economy and reliability.     

2010年青海玉树地震及震后青藏高原强震趋势分析

2010年4月14日青海玉树发生7.1级地震,这是该区历史上发生的最为强烈的地震。该地震属走滑型,地处青藏高原巴颜喀拉地块南边界,发震断裂为甘孜—玉树—风火山左旋走滑断裂,地震破裂主要向震中东南方向。该地震是巴颜喀拉地块与羌塘地块以不同速率向东运动,地块间的差异运动使其边界应力积累到一定程度引发破裂的结果。根据地震定标律估算的主震断层破裂参数和应力参数为:地震矩M0=1.78×1019N.m,矩震级MW=6.8,断层破裂面积S=468km2,断层错距D=1.4m,断层破裂长度L=37km,断层破裂宽度W=12.6km,剪应力τ0=16.8MPa,应力降Δσ=7.03MPa。历史地震分析表明,玉树7.1级地震是在世界8级以上地震、中国西部大三角7.8级以上地震、南北地震带7级以上地震和巴颜喀拉块体7级以上地震处于强烈活动背景下发生的。玉树地震后,青藏高原巴颜喀拉地块、羌塘地块及川滇菱形块体未来发生7级以上地震的危险性较大。     

青藏块体东北缘地壳水平应变场数值模拟研究

基于青藏块体东北缘1999～2001年GPS结果,分别采用块体整体旋转与线性应变模型和弹性力学有限元法这两类地壳形变数值模拟方法,分析了该区地壳水平应变场特征.结果表明:(1)两类方法在研究地壳形变时各具一定的优势,前者对块体整体运动变形及块体与块体之间的相关性研究具有一定的优势,而后者则较强体现出了应变高值区与深大断层在空间分布的紧密结合性;(2)两类方法所获得的应变高值区具有良好的空间分布一致性,主要集中在阿尔金断裂、祁连山断裂中东段、东昆仑断裂和海原断裂这些深大断裂处及其附近,面压缩值达到了-3×10-8以上,最大剪应变值达到了10×10-8以上;(3)应变高值区的空间分布与中强地震的发生具有一定的对应关系.     

复杂地表条件下高斯波束叠前深度偏移(英文)

在复杂地表条件的区域,地震数据的采集和处理是一项极大的挑战。虽然可以通过静校正来消除起伏地表的影响,然而当地表高程以及近地表速度剧烈变化时,简单的垂直时移对地震波场造成的畸变会严重降低偏移成像的质量。基于射线的偏移方法可以直接在起伏地表面进行波场的延拓成像,是解决上述问题的有效手段。本文针对复杂地表条件下的高斯波束叠前深度偏移进行研究,对倾斜叠加公式进行修改,使之包含地表高程以及速度的信息,通过直接在复杂地表面进行平面波的合成,得到了一种具有更高成像精度的改进方法。首先简单介绍常规高斯波束偏移的基本原理和计算流程,并以此为基础,给出复杂地表条件下高斯波束偏移原有的实现方法以及本文的改进方法,最后通过模型和实际资料的试算验证本文方法的有效性。