利用地震资料反演地层的碳酸盐含量

基于碳酸盐含量与地层速度、密度之间的关系, 在井资料约束下, 使用人工神经网络方法反演高分辨率地震资料所反映的地层碳酸盐含量, 并应用于南海北部陆坡ODP184航次1146和1148孔区, 取得较好效果.方法的关键是从井旁地震道中提取多种属性, 利用逐步回归法, 确定6种与碳酸盐含量相关性最好的地震属性, 分别是平均频率、道积分绝对振幅、主频、时间、道微分瞬时振幅和瞬时频率, 然后进行地层碳酸盐含量反演.反演结果相对于岩心分析的碳酸盐含量的误差大多在±5%之内, 较为精确地揭示了地震地层剖面上碳酸盐含量的分布.      

Multi-year Simulations and Experimental Seasonal Predictions for Rainy Seasons in China by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (RegCM_NCC). Part Ⅰ: Sensitivity Study

A modified version of the NCAR/RegCM2 has been developed at the National Climate Center (NCC), China Meteorological Administration, through a series of sensitivity experiments and multi-year simulations and hindcasts, with a special emphasis on the adequate choice of physical parameterization schemes suitable for the East Asian monsoon climate. This regional climate model is nested with the NCC/IAP (Institute of Atmospheric Physics) T63 coupled GCM to make an experimental seasonal prediction for China and East Asia. The four-year (2001 to 2004) prediction results are encouraging. This paper is the first part of a two-part paper, and it mainly describes the sensitivity study of the physical process parameterization represented in the model. The systematic errors produced by the different physical parameterization schemes such as the land surface processes, convective precipitation, cloud-radiation transfer process, boundary layer process and large-scale terrain features have been identified based on multi-year and extreme flooding event simulations. A number of comparative experiments has shown that the mass flux scheme (MFS) and Betts-Miller scheme (BM) for convective precipitation, the LPMI (land surface process model I) and LPMII (land surface process model Ⅱ) for the land surface process, the CCM3 radiation transfer scheme for cloud-radiation transfer processes, the TKE (turbulent kinetic energy) scheme for the boundary layer processes and the topography treatment schemes for the Tibetan Plateau are suitable for simulations and prediction of the East Asia monsoon climate in rainy seasons. Based on the above sensitivity study, a modified version of the RegCM2 (RegCM_NCC) has been set up for climate simulations and seasonal predictions.     

基于模糊预测对象的证据权方法及其在土地沙漠化评价中的应用

为了使在地理信息系统中被广泛用于点事件预测的证据权方法能对面事件进行评价和预测, 提出了一种新的基于模糊训练层的证据权方法.它是一种更广泛的证据权方法, 与普通证据权方法所不同的是, 它的训练层是模糊集合, 其取值是它的隶属度.通过适当的变换也可以把点训练层转换为模糊集合.因此, 该方法可以对面事件、点事件和线事件进行评价和预测.该方法可以处理训练层和证据层均为模糊集合的情况, 被称为双重模糊证据权方法.作为该方法的一个应用实例, 本文介绍毛乌素沙漠边缘的晋陕蒙地区土地沙漠化评价的应用实例.      

河南省科研院所科技产业化融资问题研究

科技产业化是科研院所科技资源转化为经济效益、科研成果转化为现实生产力最直接的方式,而有效的融资是科技产业化的必备条件。河南省的科研院所是河南省科技创新的重要源泉。文章在提出该省科研院所科技产业化必要性的基础上,分析了科技产业化融资存在的问题、科研院所科技产业化所需的融资环境,并提出了解决融资问题的对策措施。     

地震地方平太阴时集中程度的空间扫描在地震研究中的应用

根据显著地震地方平太阴时分布预报地震的思想,定义中小地震地方平太阴时的集中程度,将其当作一个测震学参数,并研制相应的空间扫描程序,为该参数的应用提供软件基础。为了评价其预报效果,该方法在安徽地区得到初步检验,结果显示,在安徽固镇地区的中强地震前半年左右该参数异常现象明显。     

长白山天池火山造盾熔岩流流动速度的恢复与溢流性灾害讨论

天池火山东北侧造盾玄武岩可划分出8个流动单元,熔岩流的流动距离主要集中在30~50km,熔岩流宽度以5km左右为主。通过由野外调查获得的天池火山东北侧不同熔岩流单元的地表坡度、熔岩流厚度等,结合温度、密度与黏度等物理参数,按照熔岩流速度公式恢复的头道组和早白山组0.5m厚晶体含量5%的玄武岩熔岩流流速集中在0~1m/s之间。晶体含量为30%、厚度为0.5m的晚白山组和老房子小山组玄武岩熔岩流的流动速度集中在0~0.12m/s之间。厚度增大至2m左右,晶体含量不变的头道组和早白山组的玄武岩熔岩流流动速度可加快至11m/s。天池火山2m厚的碱性熔岩流在12h内达到或接近了它的最远距离,而各组内2m厚拉斑玄武岩熔岩流在20h内接近了最远距离。0.5m厚的熔岩流在10d内接近最大距离。50km是预计的熔岩流长度,在未来制定减灾措施时,可将此长度作为重要依据之一。天池火山熔岩流灾害主要表现为熔岩流动时对房屋建筑、农田、道路、林地、电站的毁坏,火灾及大量的人口伤亡     

钢筋混凝土底层柔性结构的需求变形能力

本文提出用累积延性系数评价底层柔性结构的底层需求变形能力,并根据地震时能量守恒关系推导了底层需求变形能力计算公式,然后对多质点体系使用实际地震加速度记录进行弹塑性响应分析,并与上述公式的计算结果进行比较。结果表明,本文提出的计算公式能够较好并安全地预测底层柔性结构的需求变形能力。     

A comparative study between China and U.S. on seismic design philosophy and practice of a long span arch bridge

This paper presents the first of a series of case studies on the seismic design of long span bridges （cable-stayed bridges, suspension bridges and arch bridges） under a cooperative research project on seismic behavior and design of highway bridges between the State Key Laboratory for Disaster Reduction in Civil Engineering, Tongji University and the Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, University at Buffalo. The objective of this series of case studies is to examine the differences and similarities on the seismic design practice of long span bridges in China and the U.S., to identify research needs and to develop design guidelines beneficial to bridge engineers in both countries. Unlike short to medium span bridges, long span bridges are not included in most seismic design specifications, mainly because they are location dependent and structurally unique. In this paper, an available model of a steel tied half through arch bridge with a main span of 550m in China is discussed. Analysis is focused on comparisons of the seismic responses due to different ground motions. Seismic design criteria and seismic performance requirements for long span bridges in both countries were first introduced and compared, and then three near field earthquake records with large vertical components were selected as the excitations to examine the seismic behavior and seismic vulnerability of the bridge. Results show that （1） the selected near field ground motions cause larger responses to key components （critical sections） of the bridge （such as arch rib ends） with a maximum increase of more than twice those caused by the site specific ground motions; （2） piers, longitudinal girders and arch crowns are more vulnerable to vertical motions, especially their axial forces; and （3） large vertical components of near field ground motions may not significantly affect the bridge＇s internal forces provided that their peak acceleration spectra ordinates only appear at periods of less than 0.2s. However, they may have more influence on the longitudinal displacements of sliding bearings due to their large displacement spectra ordinates at the fundamental period of the bridge.     

Piston-Cylinder高温高压实验装置及在壳幔动力学研究中的应用

介绍了目前在国际壳幔作用及动力学研究中普遍使用的Piston-Cylinder高温高压实验技术的主要工作原理、结构、样品装置设计及主要技术指标.通过分析Piston-Cylinder高温高压实验技术在大洋和大陆板块俯冲深部过程的流体活动、基性岩石部分熔融作用、岩浆活动机制及约束条件等壳幔相互作用研究中的应用实例,认为引进该项实验技术对于我国科技工作者开展高温高压条件下壳幔动力学研究以及缩短我国实验岩石学技术手段与国际间的差距具有重要意义.     

郯庐断裂带安徽段现代地震活动及应力场特征

分析了郯庐断裂带安徽段地震活动特征,利用近震直达波最大振幅比方法反演了99次中-小地震震源机制,并作了统计和聚类分析。现代地震活动整体上继承了历史地震分布格局,未显示增强趋势;断裂带及邻区应力场P轴和T轴优势方位大致呈近东西向和近南北向分布,现今承受的作用力以近水平或斜向为主,但也存在部分其它方向的应力场和近垂直方向的作用力。震源断层的破裂类型,带内以逆冲(或正断),或近逆冲(或正断)型为主。带附近较明显地呈现出走滑型或近走滑型破裂的优势;北、南亚段应力场有明显差异,即北压南张,其分界大约在北纬32°附近,北西西走向的桥头集—东关断裂是两者间的构造变换带。