Advances in the Research of Impact of Decadal Solar Cycle on Modern Climate

Role of solar activity on modern climate change, particularly in the decadal scale is an important scientific issue. This paper reviews the recent observation of decadal solar signal in earth’s climate, with focus on the mechanism of solar radiation, ultraviolet radiation and cosmic rays on climate system ,and its validation. The paper points out that the assessment of uncertainty in observations, amplification process of the climate system, as well as possible future impact of solar extreme events are challenges in the present study. Finally, the keys of breakthrough are pointed, to provide a reference for future research.     

Simulation Study of the Climate Change Impact on the Rice and its Adaptability in Ningxia Province

Yinhuang Irrigation District in Ningxia, as the top rice production area of high quality and quantity, has a long history in rice planting. The studies of the effective measures for the rice production replying the climate change were very important for reducing the harm of the future climate change and crop supply safety in Ningxia Province. Based on the coupling of the PRECIS model and the crop model CERES Rice, the effects of climate change on the rice production and growth stage in Yinhuang Irrigation District in Ningxia Province were simulated and evaluated, and the adaptability measures of rice production were studied. The results showed that the CERES Rice model had the preferable simulation capability, and the modified PRECIS model also could preferably simulate the required climate parameter. The crop model simulation results showed that the climate change had some influence on the rice production and growth stage in Yinhuang Irrigation District. The rice production goes down under future climate change scenarios in Ningxia Province. The trend of reduction of 2050s is more apparent than that of 2020s under the same scenarios,but the spatial change trend is similar. The extent and range of reduction of A2 scenario are wider than that of B2 scenario in the same period, but spatial change trend is different. For the change of growth stage, there has no obvious change in the north and the central part of the Yinhuang Irrigation District. The duration in 2050s shortens more obviously than that of 2020s under the same scenario, and the duration under B2 scenario shortens more obviously than that under A2 scenario in the same period. The results of adjusting the sowing date and the rice variety parameter G4 showed that the negative impact of climate change on the rice production can be reduced by sowing date advance in Yinhuang Irrigation District in Ningxia Province. There has obvious difference for the optimal G4 values of different region in Yinhuang Irrigation District, and the rice production can also be effectively upraised by adjusting the rice variety characteristic and cultivating the heat resistant rice varieties. The optimal G4 values can mitigate the damage of climate change on the rice production in Yinhuang Irrigation District in Ningxia Province.     

辽宁区域性春旱的大气环流及影响因子分析

利用美国NCEP/NCAR的再分析资料、Hadley中心逐月海温资料(HadiSST)和辽宁地区逐日降水资料,对辽宁区域性春旱大气环流特征及影响因子进行分析。结果表明：乌山脊和东亚大槽减弱,位相比历年平均位相偏东,中高纬大气环流经向度减小,是导致中国辽宁区域性春季降水减少的大气环流背景;区域性春旱同期,大陆气压升高,海上气压降低;辽宁上空湿度明显小于历年均值,贝湖到中国辽宁一带盛行西北气流。区域性春旱前冬,辽宁上空200hPa高度场出现正距平;地面气温较历史同期偏高;Nino3海温异常偏低。     

内蒙古中西部地区视应力的时间和空间分布研究

依据Wyss和Brune(1968),Wyss(1979)地震视应力定义及Aki(1969)地震矩理论,根据内蒙古中西部构造及台站分布特点,将其分成中部(108°～114.8°E,38.5°～43°N),西部(106.2°～108.3°E,39.2°～41.2°N)两区域进行视应力时间和空间分布研究.     

循环往复水流对反滤系统的作用机理研究

通过自行研制的循环往复水流试验装置,研究了不同频率的正弦循环水流对反滤系统的作用机制,建立了与试验模型相一致的定解条件,并求得孔压微分方程的解析解。理论分析表明,土的固结系数与循环往复水流的频率的比值越小,靠近边界处土体的水力梯度就越大,土体内部的水力梯度就越小。试验中,当周期为0.5 min时,边界处水力梯度振幅接近系统平均水力梯度振幅的2倍;当周期为62.5 min时,则基本没有边界水力梯度集中现象。实测结果与理论分析结果较为一致。这种水力梯度边界集中现象,容易加剧渗透边界层的冲刷,降低反滤系统的渗透稳定性,应当在试验研究和工程实践中引起注意。     

探地雷达测量近地表含水量的研究

为充分验证探地雷达方法用于测量近地表含水量的有效性和可靠程度,基于探地雷达的反射波法,根据介电常数、电磁波传播速度和含水量三者之间的关系,着重分析了探地雷达反射波法用于测量含水量的相关理论和特点,设计了适用于高频雷达信号的速度分析算法,建立了用于分析该问题的局部含水层模型。利用FDTD方法模拟分析了不同测量方式下,局部含水层的探地雷达响应,借助速度分析理论及Topp公式,反演得到了研究区域的含水量。     

川东地区嘉陵江组四段膏盐岩分布的沉积环境分析

四川盆地东部地区嘉陵江组嘉四段沉积环境是局限海台地蒸发岩相,水体封闭,有利成盐。以川东地区油气勘探的500余口实际钻井资料为基础,通过岩性微相的研究,探讨川东地区的古地貌特征,寻找成盐的微环境因素,有助于从区域上预测盐类的分布。T1j4盐湖主要分布在蒸发岩沉积中心——膏盆相,但位于膏盆相的周缘地带和膏盆内部堤坝周围,少部分分布在膏盆边缘相,区域上则主要分布在宣汉、达州、万县、云阳、垫江及渠县等地区,有一定的继承性。     

Influence of environmental, root, and stand parameters on soil surface CO2 efflux in a Populus euphratica of desert forest in extreme arid region

Spatial variation in soil surface CO2 efflux was measured in a stand of Populus euphratica in the Ejina Oasis of desert riparian forest in the extreme arid region in northwestern China from April 2007 through October 2007.Measurements were taken with a gas-exchange analyzer linked to a soil-respiration chamber.The mean soil CO2 efflux in the stand was 2.71 μmol/(m2·s) during the growing season and 1.38 μmol/(m2·s) in the nongrowing season.The seasonal maximum (end of May through early June) andminimum (October) CO2 efflux were 3.38 and 0.69 μmol/(m2·s),respectively.The diurnal fluctuation of CO2 efflux was relatively small (< 20 percent),with theminimum appearing around 05:00 and the maximum around 15:00.Linear regression analysis showed soil-surface CO2 efflux to be most highly correlated with soil temperature (R2=0.435) and soil moisture (R2=0.213).When all variables were considered simultaneously,only soil temperature (R2=0.378),soil moisture (R2=0.147),and root volume density (R2=0.021) explained a significant amount of variance in soil surface CO2 efflux.Stand volumes were not correlated with soil CO2 efflux on our sites.     

粉砂地基深基坑渗透破坏研究

在地下水丰富的砂土和粉土地区进行深基坑开挖,坑内降水施工或渗漏引起的渗透破坏问题是威胁基坑稳定性和周围环境的主要因素。通过模型试验结合数值模拟,研究了土体密实度、黏聚力、内摩擦角、桩土界面摩擦特性以及围护结构插入深度等因素对临界水力梯度以及渗透破坏模式的影响。研究表明,发生渗透破坏时的水力坡降不仅与土的密实度有关,还与土性、强度指标、桩表面粗糙度以及围护结构的插入深度等因素有关,这些结论为实际基坑工程分析提供了指导。     

桩-土间剪切应力的传递探讨

对不同情况下桩-土间剪切应力进行了初步的理论分析,并基于ADINA有限元程序,对不同情况下的桩-土间剪切应力进行了计算对比分析。结果表明,同种土体和桩体条件下,各种模式达到极限状态时桩-土间剪切应力不同,堆载作用下负摩擦力值最大,抗拔桩负摩阻力值最小,桩顶受压桩、托桩的摩阻力值介于其间;桩材泊松比在0.15～0.35范围内时,桩侧摩阻力随泊松比的增大而增大。所得结论有助于进一步认识桩-土相互作用规律以及桩-土荷载传递机制。