利用静止气象卫星监测初生对流的研究进展

本文主要对近年来利用静止气象卫星监测、分析和研究对流初生的国内外若干研究结果和进展给予了简要综述。主要涉及对流的判识、对流的追踪技术、初生对流的多光谱云顶特征、初生对流的判据和问题与展望等方面的内容。总体而言,利用静止气象卫星监测初生对流,以及发展的对流,是目前国内外研究和探索的热点之一。研究表明,通过精心挑选对对流敏感的光谱通道、通道组合和时间演变判据,可以对初生对流进行监测,可比地面雷达更早地预警降雨系统的发展,显示出在临近预报中的应用潜力。监测对流初生的算法流程大体上分为目标判识、目标追踪和初生对流判识三个部分。国际上主要的一些与对流初生相关的成熟算法各具特色,如RDT(Rapidly Developing Thunderstorms)算法在对流判识中强调了垂直形态的峰值检测,追踪对流时利用了速度外推并检测重叠面积。ForTraCC(Forecasting and Tracking the Evolution of Cloud Clusters)算法关注活跃对流,一定程度上考虑了对流合并和分裂的情况,具有外推预报功能。GOES-R(The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite R-Series Program)算法特点是多光谱的使用,利用多光谱判识技术进行对流云顶检测,是面向下一代静止气象卫星探测能力的算法。UWCI(The University of Wisconsin Convective Initiation)构思巧妙,所提出的box-average技术简单易行,适合软件工程化。随着卫星传感器和探测能力的发展,以及计算机技术的快速发展,更多卫星资料将用于联合判识对流。同时,更新的计算机视觉、计算机图像处理和模式识别技术也将用来解决追踪中的复杂问题,进一步改进初生对流的判识准确率。     

应用样条插值提高GRAPES模式物理过程反馈精度

GRAPES (Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System) 模式动力框架中垂直方向变量的跳层设置采用Charney-Phillips分布,在整层上进行位温、水物质的计算,物理过程中在半层上对其进行处理。这样在GRAPES模式中,进入物理过程之前和物理过程计算完毕之后,都要采用线性插值进行整层和半层之间物理量的转换。由于线性插值精度欠佳,为提高上述反馈过程的精度,并保证水物质的正定性,该研究引入样条插值,并在水物质的插值过程中进行保单调处理,有效减小了位温场、水物质场的预报偏差,并提升了模式的综合预报性能。     

Fusion of high-resolution DEMs derived from COSMO-SkyMed and TerraSAR-X InSAR datasets

Voids caused by shadow, layover, and decorrelation usually occur in digital elevation models (DEMs) of mountainous areas that are derived from interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) datasets. The presence of voids degrades the quality and usability of the DEMs. Thus, void removal is considered as an integral part of the DEM production using InSAR data. The fusion of multiple DEMs has been widely recognized as a promising way for the void removal. Because the vertical accuracy of multiple DEMs can be different, the selection of optimum weights becomes a key problem in the fusion and is studied in this article. As a showcase, two high-resolution InSAR DEMs near Mt. Qilian in northwest China are created and then merged. The two pairs of InSAR data were acquired by TerraSAR-X from an ascending orbit and COSMO-SkyMed from a descending orbit. A maximum likelihood fusion scheme with the weights optimally determined by the height of ambiguity and the variance of phase noise is adopted to syncretize the two DEMs in our study. The fused DEM has a fine spatial resolution of 10 m and depicts the landform of the study area well. The percentage of void cells in the fused DEM is only 0.13 %, while 6.9 and 5.7 % of the cells in the COSMO-SkyMed DEM and the TerraSAR-X DEM are originally voids. Using the ICESat/GLAS elevation data and the Chinese national DEM of scale 1:50,000 as references, we evaluate vertical accuracy levels of the fused DEM as well as the original InSAR DEMs. The results show that substantial improvements could be achieved by DEM fusion after atmospheric phase screen removal. The quality of fused DEM can even meet the high-resolution terrain information (HRTI) standard.     

LiDAR点云数据的电力线3维重建

利用LiDAR数据进行电力设施提取与建模可以克服传统工程测量电力巡线工作量大,危险性高,效率低下等缺点,但现有的电力线提取研究主要集中在电力线的分离与提取,并且拟合的精度不高。针对此问题本文提出了一种精度较高的电力线拟合方法。首先,根据电力线两端悬挂、中间自然下垂的特点,求解电力线拟合的最佳几何模型;然后,通过电力线的走向和端点,建立电力线拟合的最佳平面坐标系;最后,采用基于二次多项式限制的最小二乘法拟合电力线,解算出最优参数,生成最终电力线模型。对真实数据的处理和精度评价表明,本文方法不仅能够实现电力线的快速3维重建,而且能够达到较高的拟合精度。     

Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in FGOALS-g2简

The variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation （AMOC） in the pre-industrial control experiment of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Grid-point Version 2 （FGOALS-g2） was investigated using the model outputs with the most stable state in a 512-yr time window from the total 1500-yr period of the experiment. The period of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is double peaked at 20 and 32 years according to the power spectrum, and 22 years according to an auto-correlation analysis, which shows very obvious decadal variability. Like many other coupled climate models, the decadal variability of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is closely related to the convection that occurs in the Labrador Sea region. Deep convection in the Labrador Sea in FGOALS-g2 leads the AMOC maximum by 3-4 years. The contributions of thermal and haline effects to the variability of the convection in three different regions [the Labrador, Irminger and Greenland-Iceland- Norwegian （GIN） Seas] were analyzed for FGOALS-g2. The variability of convection in the Labrador and Irminger Seas is thermally dominant, while that in the colder GIN Seas can be mainly attributed to salinity changes due to the lower thermal expansion. By comparing the simulation results from FGOALS-g2 and 11 other models, it was found that AMOC variability can be attributed to salinity changes for longer periods （longer than 35 years） and to temperature changes for shorter periods.     

Tree mortality in response to climate change induced drought across Beijing,China

Tree mortality in response to climate change induced drought has emerged as a global concern. Small changes of tree mortality rates can profoundly affect forest structure, composition, dynamics and ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration. Our analyses of longitudinal data from natural stands (82 plots) in Beijing showed that tree mortality rates have increased significantly over the two decades from 1986 to 2006. In contrast, recruitment rates decreased significantly over this period. The increase in overall mortality rates resulted from an increase in tree deaths dominantly attributed to changes in temperature and precipitation resulting in drier conditions across latitudes, elevations, tree species, and tree sizes. In addition, the results showed that mortality rates of Chinese pine (Pinus tabuliformis) (β ₁ ?=?0.0874) as a result of climate change induce drought were much smaller than oak (Quercus) (β ₁ ?=?0.1583).     

基于无几何电离层滤波模型的北斗三号系统相位周跳与中断修复方法

高精度位置服务依赖模糊度正确固定的载波相位观测值,而复杂环境的相位周跳和中断给模糊度固定和数据处理带来了巨大挑战。北斗三号系统向全球播发四频和五频信号,为提升周跳处理性能提供了机遇。本文建立了探测多频超宽巷周跳的伪距-相位无几何组合模型,以及探测窄巷周跳的相位-相位无几何组合模型,并以周跳探测成功概率最大为准则确定了多频最优超宽巷和窄巷组合。由于电离层延迟制约了数据中断和电离层变化剧烈情况下的窄巷周跳探测,进而建立了顾及电离层延迟的窄巷周跳探测滤波模型。试验结果表明,对30 s采样间隔,基于无几何组合模型探测周跳的成功率均优于96%;对于3 min的数据中断,基于无几何组合模型的周跳探测成功率仅为70%,但补偿电离层延迟的滤波模型将成功率提升至95%以上。     

互联网泛在地理信息感知融合技术综述

互联网数据中蕴含丰富的地理信息,其无处不在、形式与结构多样的特征决定了感知和融合面临许多技术难题。本文在分析互联网泛在地理信息分类和特征的基础上,系统研究其感知和融合技术的总体现状,总结了服务快速准确发现、深层网络数据高覆盖度采集、非结构化文本中位置信息提取和关联图像空间语义提取等感知技术发展现状,分析了异源几何数据匹配关联、地址标准化处理、同名实体语义对齐、地理实体关系构建等融合处理关键技术;在此基础上,总结和展望了互联网泛在地理信息感知融合技术在开放地理数据网络、城市治理与应急管理、网络监测与地理空间情报等领域的应用前景。