2012年9月7日彝良5.7、5.6级地震预测及科学依据

通过分析彝良地震前地震预测意见和预测依据,认为:彝良地震前云南最主要的地震活动特征是境内6级以上地震平静时间接近或超过20世纪以来的极限时间,中等地震丛集过程中,缺少6级地震活动;宁蒗地震的窗口意义和前兆异常数量持续增加是判断地震短期危险性的主要依据;4级地震密集活动区为地点判断提供线索。彝良地震与缅甸地震同时孕育的复杂性,增加了地震预测的难度,也丰富了我们对地震孕育过程的认识。     

沂沭断裂带构造区光弹实验与地震危险区判定研究

在对沂沭断裂带的地质构造环境、断裂带分布特征进行详细分析的基础上,采用聚碳酸酯材料制成沂沭断裂带构造区域的地质模型,分别运用集中、2点和均布等加载方式,使用光弹实验方法模拟特定构造框架下应力、应变场的变化特征。通过对光弹实验数据的分析,在对比不同加载方式下应力积累区域和地震危险区的基础上判定沂沭断裂带构造区中的地震危险区域。     

地震和煤矿采动耦合作用下露天矿边坡及采空区稳定性研究

为了探讨地震和煤矿采动耦合作用下的露天矿边坡及采空区的稳定性,以辽宁排山楼金矿露天转井工开采为研究对象,基于FLAC3D有限元分析平台,采用强度折减法研究了未进行煤炭开采时和煤矿采动单独作用下露天矿边坡的安全系数,重点探讨了煤矿采动和地震耦合作用下露天矿边坡及采空区应力场、位移场及塑性区的分布规律。结果表明:未经采动时,露天矿边坡的安全系数为1.21,边坡处于稳定状态;煤矿采动后露天矿边坡安全系数降为1.12,仍处于稳定状态,单独的煤矿采动作用不会导致露天矿边坡失稳;在地震和煤矿采动耦合作用下,露天矿边坡坡体内出现了较大的拉应力,采空区顶板出现冒落现象,底板出现底鼓现象;在地震和采动耦合作用下,边坡将出现失稳破坏,破坏形式主要为采动区顶板的大面积冒落和边坡的崩塌。     

Effects of seismic devices on transverse responses of piers in the Sutong Bridge

The Sutong Bridge in China opened to traffic in 2008, and is an arterial connection between the cities of Nantong and Suzhou. It is a cable-stayed bridge with a main span of 1,088 m. Due to a tight construction schedule and lack of suitable seismic devices at the time, fixed supports were installed between the piers and the girder in the transverse direction. As a result, significant transverse seismic forces could occur in the piers and foundations, especially during a return period of a 2500-year earthquake. Therefore, the piers, foundations and fixed bearings had to be designed extraordinarily strong. However, when larger earthquakes occur, the bearings, piers and foundations are still vulnerable. The recent rapid developments in seismic technology and the performance-based design approach offer a better opportunity to optimize the transverse seismic design for the Sutong Bridge piers. The optimized design can be applied to the Sutong Bridge(as a retrofit), as well as other bridges. Seismic design alternatives utilizing viscous fluid dampers(VFD), or friction pendulum sliding bearings(FPSB), or transverse yielding metallic dampers(TYMD) are thoroughly studied in this work, and the results are compared with those from the current condition with fixed transverse supports and a hypothetical condition in which only sliding bearings are provided on top of the piers(the girder can move "freely" in the transverse direction during the earthquake, except for frictional forces of the sliding bearings). Parametric analyses were performed to optimize the design of these proposed seismic devices. From the comparison of the peak bridge responses in these configurations, it was found that both VFD and TYMD are very effective in the reduction of transverse seismic forces in piers, while at the same time keeping the relative transverse displacements between piers and the box girder within acceptable limits. However, compared to VFD, TYMD do not interact with the longitudinal displacements of the girder, and have simpler details and lower initial and maintenance costs. Although the use of FPSB can also reduce seismic forces, it generally causes the transverse relative displacements to be higher than acceptable limits.     

基于IDL的资源一号02C星HR影像RFM几何校正

资源一号(ZY-1)02C卫星作为我国高分辨率遥感数据卫星之一,正广泛应用于各个领域.该卫星数据采用国际上广泛使用的有理函数模型(Rational Function Model,RFM),并提供有理函数多项式系数(Rational PolynomialCoefficients,RPC).针对ZY-1 02C星1级辐射校正数据格式特点,在充分了解数据文件结构基础上,使用IDL语言进行开发,通过RFM反演其RPC,实现HR影像的几何校正等预处理.实验结果表明,程序执行快速稳定,精度可靠,影像镶嵌效果好,可以有效使用RFM实现大数据量影像的系统几何校正,避免重复操作中间数据的繁琐步骤,提高工作效率,具有实用价值.     

Numerical simulation of deep-hole resistivity anomaly caused by drilling construction in Xinfengjiang geoelectric station

The Xinfengjiang reservoir in Guangdong Province, is one of the large reservoirs that have triggered earthquakes of magnitude greater than 6. Numerous earthquakes have occurred since the impoundment of the reservoir, making it one of the most active seismic zones in south China. In 2015, a set of deep-hole resistivity anomalies was observed in the Heping geoelectric station in Dongyuan county, located near the Xinfengjiang reservoir. After a field investigation, we found that a planned well drilling construction of new measuring channels was being carried out during that corresponding period of time. After careful comparison and analysis on the basis of the collected raw data, we had a reason to believe that drilling construction, rather than the inducement of the Xinfengjiang reservoir, was the main culprit for those unusual georesistivity values. So as to verify the above conjecture, we constructed a series of 3D finite element models based on the geological and hydrological information around Heping station and analyzed the drilling disturbances, respectively. Some significant conclusions were finally drawn according to the precise numerical simulation. This study gives a good example by combining numerical simulation with engineering practice as a way to understand the root cause of georesistivity anomalies in reality.     

海底地震仪自噪声分析

海底地震仪是海上观测天然地震的主要手段,仪器所记录到的噪声分为环境噪声和仪器噪声。本文利用2018年9月3日—2019年7月1日期间浯屿岛海底地震观测台所采集到的数据,对海洋环境下的强震型海底地震采集站和宽频带海底地震采集站进行仪器自噪声分析,利用两道互相关模型,采用加窗平均周期图法计算功率谱,通过1/3倍频程积分作平滑处理,得到仪器自噪声功率谱密度图。对比分析相同型号仪器的自噪声功率谱,发现相同仪器的自噪声变化趋势一致,但自噪声大小有差异,且这种差异对于不同仪器、相同仪器的不同分量也存在不同。     

基于速率-状态依赖摩擦定律的平直走滑断层黏滑过程的连续-非连续方法模拟

鉴于利用传统的库仑摩擦定律不能很好地模拟断层黏滑过程,在自主开发的拉格朗日元与离散元耦合的连续-非连续方法的基础上,引入了速率-状态依赖摩擦定律.开展了双轴压缩条件下平直走滑断层黏滑过程的数值模拟研究,得到了下列结果.在一次黏滑中,岩样上端面平均差应力的绝对值-时步数目曲线可被分为近似线性阶段、偏离线性阶段和软化阶段,...     

新型地震预警方法研究及预警能力分析

本文研究了一种不同于传统地震预警方法的新型预警方法。这种预警方法利用数据同化技术对实时波动场进行精确估计,然后再利用基于辐射传输理论的蒙特卡洛直接模拟法对波动能量的传播做数值模拟,并最终计算预警目标区烈度并做阈值判断发出预警警报。整个预警过程无需触发、无需定位、无需测定震级、无需利用衰减关系,较传统预警方法具有明显不同的技术手段,比较有效避免了传统地震预警方法中一系列基于经验统计规律的误差累积和单纯依靠初至P波信息在应对复杂地震时的局限性。本文选择了2011年3月11日日本M_w9.0地震和2016年2月6日台湾M_w6.7美浓地震作为预警模拟震例,分析并论证了本文预警方法在处理网外地震、网内地震以及复杂地震时的预警能力,最终得出本文预警方法在应对网内地震时具有良好的预警准确性和时效性,以及相对于传统预警方法在处理复杂地震时具有较大的优势。最后,总结并展望了本文研究工作的不足之处和有待继续研究的地方。     

HP—3808A测距仪测距精度分析

本文采用数理统计方法,详细分析了HP—3808A激光测距仪近几年来积累的测量数据,求得仪器平均测距相对精度为1:70万。并且讨论了进一步提高测距精度的技术措施。