Assessing the impact of climate changes on the potential yields of maize and paddy rice in Northeast China by 2050

Northeast China is the main crop production region in China, and future climate change will directly impact crop potential yields, so exploring crop potential yields under future climate scenarios in Northeast China is extremely critical for ensuring future food security. Here, this study projected the climate changes using 12 general circulation models (GCMs) under two moderate Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 6.0) from 2015 to 2050. Then, based on the Global Agro-ecological Zones (GAEZ) model, we explored the effect of climate change on the potential yields of maize and paddy rice in Northeast China during 2015–2050. The annual relative humidity increased almost throughout the Northeast China under two RCPs. The annual precipitation increased more than 400 mm in some west, east, and south areas under RCP 4.5, but decreased slightly in some areas under RCP 6.0. The annual wind speed increased over 2 m/s in the west region. The annual net solar radiation changes varied significantly with latitude, but the changes of annual maximum temperature and minimum temperature were closely related to the terrain. Under RCP 4.5, the average maize potential yield increased by 34.31% under the influence of climate changes from 2015 to 2050. The average rice potential yield increased by 16.82% from 2015 to 2050. Under RCP 6.0, the average maize and rice potential yields increased by 25.65% and 6.34% respectively. The changes of maize potential yields were positively correlated with the changes of precipitation, wind speed, and net solar radiation (the correlation coefficients were > 0.2), and negatively correlated with the changes of relative humidity, minimum and maximum temperature under two RCPs. The changes of rice potential yields were positively correlated with the changes of precipitation (correlation coefficient = 0.15) under RCP 4.5. Under RCP 6.0, it had a slight positive correlation with net solar radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed.     

Impact of Spin-up Forcing on Vegetation States Simulated by a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model Coupled with a Land Surface Model

A dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM) coupled with a land surface model (LSM) is generally initialized using a spin-up process to derive a physically-consistent initial condition. Spin-up forcing, which is the atmospheric forcing used to drive the coupled model to equilibrium solutions in the spin-up process, varies across earlier studies. In the present study, the impact of the spin-up forcing in the initialization stage on the fractional coverages (FCs) of plant functional type (PFT) in the subsequent simulation stage are assessed in seven classic climate regions by a modified Community Land Model’s Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (CLM-DGVM). Results show that the impact of spin-up forcing is considerable in all regions except the tropical rainforest climate region (TR) and the wet temperate climate region (WM). In the tropical monsoon climate region (TM), the TR and TM transition region (TR-TM), the dry temperate climate region (DM), the highland climate region (H), and the boreal forest climate region (BF), where FCs are affected by climate non-negligibly, the discrepancies in initial FCs, which represent long-term cumulative response of vegetation to different climate anomalies, are large. Moreover, the large discrepancies in initial FCs usually decay slowly because there are trees or shrubs in the five regions. The intrinsic growth timescales of FCs for tree PFTs and shrub PFTs are long, and the variation of FCs of tree PFTs or shrub PFTs can affect that of grass PFTs.     

演马庄井田煤层气资源开发前景评价

煤层气资源与可采性评价是煤层气开发的基础.运用瓦斯地质理论,分析了井田地质构造、煤层埋藏深度、上覆基岩厚度、煤层厚度等地质因素与煤层含气量的关系.研究结果显示,演马庄井田煤层含气量分布呈西低东高、北低南高的趋势,并划分出4个煤层气开发有利块段及开发顺序.另外,从水文地质条件、顶底板岩性、构造煤发育规律及煤层渗透性等地质因素和重要可采性参数方面,评价了该井田煤层气的可采性,认为演马庄井田具有地面开采煤层气的潜力.     

雅砻江锦屏水电站工程区活动构造研究及地壳稳定性评价

北东向的锦屏山-小金河断裂带从北东到南西斜穿整个锦屏水电站工程区。在它的东南和西北分别有北北西走向的羊坪子-纸厂沟断层组和北西走向的前波、高牛场等断层。锦屏山-小金河断裂带的马山头-周家坪断层组、瓦科断层组和北西向前波断层等晚第四纪继续活动, 但活动强度很弱。工程区新构造运动以整体抬升为主, 兼水平滑移和旋转运动。历史至今, 工程区地震活动微弱, 是地壳相对稳定的地区。     

Geochronology Constraints on Transformation Age from Ductile to Brittle Deformation of the Shangma Fault and Its Tectonic Significance, Dabieshan, Central China

By a detailed investigation of geometry and kinematics of the Shangma (商麻) fault in Dabieshan (大别山),three different crust levels of extension movement have been recognized in sequence from the deep to the shallow:① low-angle ductile detachment shearing with top to the NW; ② low-angle normal fault with top to the NW or NWW in brittle or brittle-ductile transition domain; ③high-angle brittle normal fault with top to the W or NWW. Two samples were chosen for zircon U-Pb age dating to constrain the activity age of the Shangma fault. A bedding intrusive granitoid pegmatite vein that is parallel to the foliation of the low-angle ductile detachment shear zone of the country rock exhibits a lotus-joint type of boudinage deformation,showing syn-tectonic emplacing at the end of the ductile deformation period and deformation in the brittle-ductile transition domain. The zircon U-Pb dating of this granitoid pegmatite vein gives an age of (125.9±4.2) Ma,which expresses the extension in the brittle-ductile transition domain of the Shangma fault. The other sample,which is collected from a granite pluton cutting the foliation of the low-angle ductile detachment shear zone, gives a zircon U-Pb age of (118.8±4.1) Ma,constraining the end of the ductile detachment shearing. Then the transformation age from ductile to brittle deformation can be constrained between 126-119 Ma.Combined with the previous researches,the formation of the Luotian (罗田) dome,which is located to the east of the Shangma fault,can beconstrained during 150-126 Ma. This study gives a new time constraint to the evolution of the Dabie orogenic belt.     

大别山朱家冲高压榴辉岩变质演化特征分析

研究表明大别山朱家冲榴辉岩属于典型的高压榴辉岩,其具有复杂的变质演化历史。根据岩相学、矿物成份化学和热力学分析表明,该类榴辉岩记录了6期变质过程,具有“顺时针”的P?T演化轨迹。由Ⅰ?阶段、Ⅱ?阶段至Ⅲ?阶段显示了近于等温增压进变质特征,并在 Ⅲ?阶段压力值最高达到P＝2.53 GPa; Ⅳ?阶段和Ⅴ?阶段则表现为增温降压退变过程,温度在 Ⅴ?阶段最高达到T＝627 ℃; 到Ⅵ?阶段则为降温降压过程。该过程暗示了高压板片在俯冲和折返过程中可能处于一个非匀速的状态。推测朱家冲榴辉岩后期增温退变的过程可能是源于受扰动的地温线恢复、超高压榴辉岩退变过程的“散热”以及该类榴辉岩对温度变化极为敏感所致。     

我国的震源物理研究

本文总结了自建国以来,我国震源物理研究的发展,主要包括以下三方面:（1）与震源过程有关的现象的现场观测及其解释;（2）震源物理的理论研究;（3）岩石破裂的实验研究。     

和林格尔地震地震地质特征的初步分析

1976年4月6日0时54分,在我国内蒙古自治区和林格尔县境内,发生了6.3级地震。宏观震中位置和仪器震中基本一致(北纬40°14′,东经112°12′)。     

磁暴主相期间外辐射带结构的变化

本文利用相对論带电粒子的两个寝渐不变量,討論了磁暴主相期間外輻射带中心結构的变化。作者认为磁暴主相是由“磁暴带”环电流所产生。“磁暴带”假設位于外輻射带中心之外,它是太阳等离子体穿入磁层后形成的。本文对初始能量W=20Kev和W=1Mev的电子分別进行了計算。 結果表明,在磁暴主相期間电子向外漂移,其赤道投擲角減小,但镜点离地面距离增高。因此,主相时所观測到的极光,并不是由于地磁場的平緩下降使小投擲角电子注入大气层而形成的。此外,計数率降低的主要原因是由于力管截面膨胀造成的粒子密度減小以及电子減速,而电子減速与投擲角有关,由此决定了电子通量沿磁力线分布的变化。以上結果与探险者6号（Explorer Ⅵ）的观測一致。     

胶州湾李村河河口区沉积物有机碳、酸可挥发硫化物及重金属元素的环境响应

通过多种仪器分析,测定了胶州湾李村河河口区4个沉积物柱状样品的有机碳（TOC）、酸可挥发硫化物(AVS)及重金属元素活性部分（活性金属）的含量,并系统讨论了其环境响应特征。研究发现,胶州湾李村河河口区三角洲沉积物中的有机碳、AVS和活性金属元素的分布受与河口的距离及沉积相带分布的影响。近河口细粒物质沉积区域的有机质受陆源控制,有机碳含量较高,AVS和活性金属元素含量高,活性铁的含量是AVS形成的主控因素,同时AVS也是多数活性金属元素在沉积物中的主要赋存形态。而离河口较远区域,有机碳含量受海、陆双向物源控制,AVS含量主要受控于有机质含量,两者含量均相对较低,活性金属元素含量也较低,多数金属元素（Cd、Cr、Cu、Mn、Pb、Zn等）主要以依附于铁的形态存在。根据上述沉积特点,将胶州湾李村河河口区沉积环境划分为3类区域5种类型,分别是一类区域中的水下分流河道和分流间湾,二类区域中的水下分流河道和分流间湾及三类区域中的前缘席状砂。