RBF神经网络在电路故障诊断中的应用研究

电路系统在工业控制中起着极其重要的应用,随着电路越来越复杂,电路各节点间的关系呈现非线性关系,若节点发生故障,如何确定故障发生在何处成为一大难题。利用RBF（radical basis function）神经网络可以快速逼近任意非线性函数及良好分类能力的特点,来实现对电路系统的故障分类。通过RBF与BP方法的比较及实例分析可得出结论,RBF可以很精确地确定电路中的故障来源,在对电路故障诊断能力方面具有较多的优越性。     

油气资源评价的多参数约束改进油气田(藏)规模序列法及其应用

油气田(藏)规模序列法是油气资源评价常用的方法之一,其优点是不但可以给出总的资源量,而且还可以给出各油气田(藏)的规模和序列,不足是其预测结果带有多解性。在多年的资评工作中,形成了一套求取规模序列中关键参数的科学方法:依据其他方法(成因法等)求取的资源量来约束规模序列法求取的地质资源量;依据高勘探区地质资源量与最大单一油气田(藏)规模统计关系来约束评价区最大单一油气田(藏)规模;根据预测单元可能存在的圈闭数(包含隐蔽圈闭)来限制预测的油气田(藏)个数。通过采用总量约束、最大单一规模约束和油气田(藏)个数约束,获得的结果克服了原方法存在的一些问题,使评价结果更科学,更符合地质实际。以该方法在黄河口凹陷等地区的应用实例证明了评价结果与勘探认识吻合较好。     

采用多项式拟合修正法提高CCD垂线仪的测量精度

通过分析CZ型CCD垂线坐标仪的标定数据,提出了使用3段2次多项式拟合修正法减小仪器非线性误差,提高测量精度的方法。在实际应用中明显提高了该产品的测量精度。     

措勤地区竟柱山组沉积特征及构造意义

上白垩统竟柱山组在西藏措勤地区主要沿班公湖-怒江缝合带、且坎-古昌-阿索断裂带和塔若错北-达瓦错南-秋措麦凹陷带断续分布。主要为一套磨拉石的紫红色碎屑岩,其沉积环境以扇三角洲和三角洲为主。扇三角洲和三角洲的前积层理指示了其进积方向,表明早期物源来自北部,而晚期来自南部的陆源物质增加。竞柱山组磨拉石沉积的发育,是班公湖-怒江缝合带造山运动的证据。     

半参数p-范极大似然回归

应用核权函数,在观测为误差单峰、对称的情况下,得到了一元p-范分布的半参数模型的计算公式.详细推导了p已知时一元p-范分布极大似然方程的解算公式,将半参数回归模型应用到极大似然平差的参数估计理论中,得到了一个比较好的算法.最后,构造了两个模拟平差问题,说明了此方法的优越性.     

2013 年3 月27 日台湾南投MW 6. 0 地震震源机制解与发震构造研究

采用基于近远震波形的CAPjoint 方法,对2013 年3 月27 日台湾南投MW6. 0 地震分别进行了单独反演和联合反演,获得了各自的震源机制解及震源深度。其中,联合反演所得的最优双力偶机制解参数为,节面Ⅰ:方位角0°,倾角30°,滑动角78°;节面Ⅱ:方位角193°,倾角60°,滑动角96°;震源深度18km。为了验证联合反演的有效性和可靠性,采用由重抽样理论发展而来的Bootstrap 方法,对近远震数据分别进行了重采样,并对其单独反演和联合反演所得的参数进行了统计,验证了联合反演的有效性及稳定性,并发现远震反演震源深度的结果一定程度上受台站分布的影响,若要获得精确的震源深度则需要方位角分布较好的远震台站记录。根据前人对集集地震及车笼埔断层的研究成果以及南投地震的发震断层性质接近车笼埔断层的认识,推测此次地震可能发生在车笼埔断层上。     

A Gridded Daily Min/Max Temperature Dataset With 0.1° Resolution for the Yangtze River Valley and its Error Estimation

The minimum/maximum (Min/Max) temperature in the Yangtze River valley is decomposed into the climatic mean and anomaly component. A spatial interpolation is developed which combines the 3D thin-plate spline scheme for climatological mean and the 2D Barnes scheme for the anomaly component to create a daily Min/Max temperature dataset. The climatic mean field is obtained by the 3D thin-plate spline scheme because the relationship between the decreases in Min/Max temperature with elevation is robust and reliable on a long time-scale. The characteristics of the anomaly field tend to be related to elevation variation weakly, and the anomaly component is adequately analyzed by the 2D Barnes procedure, which is computationally efficient and readily tunable. With this hybridized interpolation method, a daily Min/Max temperature dataset that covers the domain from 99°E to 123°E and from 24°N to 36°N with 0.1° longitudinal and latitudinal resolution is obtained by utilizing daily Min/Max temperature data from three kinds of station observations, which are national reference climatological stations, the basic meteorological observing stations and the ordinary meteorological observing stations in 15 provinces and municipalities in the Yangtze River valley from 1971 to 2005. The error estimation of the gridded dataset is assessed by examining cross-validation statistics. The results show that the statistics of daily Min/Max temperature interpolation not only have high correlation coefficient (0.99) and interpolation efficiency (0.98), but also the mean bias error is 0.00 °C. For the maximum temperature, the root mean square error is 1.1 °C and the mean absolute error is 0.85 °C. For the minimum temperature, the root mean square error is 0.89 °C and the mean absolute error is 0.67 °C. Thus, the new dataset provides the distribution of Min/Max temperature over the Yangtze River valley with realistic, successive gridded data with 0.1° × 0.1° spatial resolution and daily temporal scale. The primary factors influencing the dataset precision are elevation and terrain complexity. In general, the gridded dataset has a relatively high precision in plains and flatlands and a relatively low precision in mountainous areas.     

Flood season segmentation based on the probability change-point analysis technique

Abstract

The segmentation of flood seasons has both theoretical and practical importance in hydrological sciences and water resources management. The probability change-point analysis technique is applied to segmenting a defined flood season into a number of sub-seasons. Two alternative sampling methods, annual maximum and peaks-over-threshold, are used to construct the new flow series. The series is assumed to follow the binomial distribution and is analysed with the probability change-point analysis technique. A Monte Carlo experiment is designed to evaluate the performance of proposed flood season segmentation models. It is shown that the change-point based models for flood season segmentation can rationally partition a flood season into appropriate sub-seasons. China's new Three Gorges Reservoir, located on the upper Yangtze River, was selected as a case study since a hydrological station with observed flow data from 1882 to 2003 is located 40 km downstream of the dam. The flood season of the reservoir can be reasonably divided into three sub-seasons: the pre-flood season (1 June–2 July); the main flood season (3 July–10 September); and the post-flood season (11–30 September). The results of flood season segmentation and the characteristics of flood events are reasonable for this region.

Citation Liu, P., Guo, S., Xiong, L. & Chen, L. (2010) Flood season segmentation based on the probability change-point analysis technique. Hydrol. Sci. J. 55(4), 540–554.     

径向基函数算法中插值参数对DEM精度的影响

以多重对数径向基函数插值算法中的插值参数为研究对象,选取了5种不同地貌类型的离散点数据,使用中误差度量指标,研究光滑因子、搜索点数、搜索方向对DEM插值精度的影响,给出插值参数的"最优"取值区间,消除插值参数选择的随意性,更好地指导DEM建模的运用。     

青藏高原东北部岩石圈有效弹性厚度及其各向异性

青藏高原东北部是中国大陆构造环境特殊的主要构造域,毗邻青藏高原羌塘地块、塔里木盆地、四川盆地和华北克拉通,属于不同构造类型块体俯冲、碰撞及陆内汇聚的结合部,在中国大陆形成与演化的历史中扮演着重要角色.岩石圈有效弹性厚度(T_e)及其各向异性与岩石圈流变性、力学结构紧密相连,研究青藏高原东北部的岩石圈T_e及其各向异性将为我们认识大陆岩石圈的流变性及动力学过程提供重要信息.本文基于Fan小波相关性分析法,运用布格重力和地形资料获得了青藏高原东北部岩石圈T_e及其各向异性二维分布的详细信息.研究结果表明研究区域内T_e的分布范围在5～100 km之间;松潘-甘孜地块、祁连山造山带和龙门山地区的T_e较薄(5 kme<40 km)、各向异性较强;而周缘的断裂带、缝合带的T_e值都较低,其中龙门山断裂带T_e只有5～20 km,且南、北两段各向异性存在明显差异.内部的若尔盖盆地T_e值略显高值,说明其是仍保留有刚性的块体;北缘的柴达木盆地下伏为古生代的地壳,被认为是古老的克拉通碎片,T_e较大(50 kme<90 km),显示为轮廓分明的刚性块体.并且我们发现研究区域内T_e的各向异性轴垂直于大的块体边界.通过比较T_e各向异性与SKS波的快波偏振方向、Rayleigh面波方位角各向异性的相互关系我们推测阿拉善地块各向异性源自地幔橄榄岩晶格的优势取向,岩石圈变形趋于垂直连贯变形模式;柴达木盆地各向异性源于历史构造事件残留在岩石圈中的"化石"各向异性;松潘-甘孜地块各向异性源自物质的侧向流动.