The Qilian mountain area was examined for using the Logistic-CA-Markov coupling model combined with GIS spatial analyst technology to research the transformation of LUCC, driving force system and simulate future tendency of variation. Results show that:(1) Woodland area decreased by 12.55%, while grassland, cultivated land, and settlement areas increased by 0.22%, 7.92%, and 0.03%, respectively, from 1986 to 2014. During the period of 1986 to 2000, forest degradation in the middle section of the mountain area decreased by 1,501.69 km~2. Vegetation cover area improved, with a net increase of grassland area of 38.12 km~2 from 2000 to 2014.(2) For constructing the system driving force, the best simulation scale was 210m×210m. Based on logistic regression analysis, the contribution(weight) of composite driving forces to land use and cover change was obtained, and the weight value was more objectively compared with AHP and MCE method.(3) In the natural scenarios, it is predicted that land use and cover distribution maps of Qilian mountain area in 2028 and 2042, and the Lee-Sallee index test was adopted. Over the next 27 years(2015–2042), farmland, woodland, grassland, settlement areas show an increasing trend, especially settlements with an obvious change of 0.56%. The area of bare land will decrease by 0.89%. Without environmental degradation, tremendous structural change of LUCC will not occur, and typical characteristic of the vertical zone of the mountain would remain. Farmland and settlement areas will increase, but only in the vicinity of Qilian and Sunan counties. 相似文献
Using series of daily average temperature observations over the period of 1961–1999 of 701 meteorological stations in China, and
simulated results of 20 global climate models (such as BCCR_BCM2.0, CGCM3T47) during the same period as the observation,
we validate and analyze the simulated results of the models by using three factor statistical method, achieve the results of multi-
model ensemble, test and verify the results of multi-model ensemble by using the observation data during the period of
1991–1999. Finally, we analyze changes of the annual mean temperature result of multi-mode ensemble prediction for the period
of 2011–2040 under the emission scenarios A2, A1B and B1. Analyzed results show that: (1) Global climate models can reproduce
Chinese regional spatial distribution of annual mean temperature, especially in low latitudes and eastern China. (2) With the
factor of the trend of annual mean temperature changes in reference period, there is an obvious bias between the model and the
observation. (3) Testing the result of multi-model ensemble during the period of 1991–1999, we can simulate the trend of temperature
increase. Compared to observation, the result of different weighing multi-model ensemble prediction is better than the same
weighing ensemble. (4) For the period of 2011–2040, the growth of the annual mean temperature in China, which results from
multi-mode ensemble prediction, is above 1 °C. In the spatial distribution of annual mean temperature, under the emission scenarios
of A2, A1B and B1, the trend of growth in South China region is the smallest, the increment is less than or equals to 0.8 °C; the
trends in the northwestern region and south of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are the largest, the increment is more than 1 °C. 相似文献
In order to thoroughly investigate the diversity of glacier microorganisms, four DNA extraction methods with different lysis patterns
were tested and two screened methods (the Bosshard-Bano method and the Zhou method) were optimized for the most effective
form of the filter membrane (cut vs. uncut), the DNA extraction method, and the precipitation method. The two optimized
methods were then compared with the commercial Mo-Bio DNA extraction kit, and the results showed that the kit was generally
suitable for extraction of microorganism DNA from glacier surface snow. Procedurally, it was found that a modified Bosshard-
Bano method (i.e., cutting the filter membrane into pieces, using a specific lysis pattern [lysozyme (5 mg/mL)-protease K
(1 mg/mL)-CTAB (1%)-SDS (1%)], performing the extraction only once by chloroform-isoamyl alcohol (24:1), and conducting
DNA precipitation by pure ethanol) was also an effective and less expensive method for extraction of microorganism DNA from
glacier surface snow. 相似文献
Radio noise observations at frequencies of 0·700 Mc and 2·200 Mc were made at altitudes between 3000 and 11,000 km from a Blue Scout Jr. high-altitude rocket probe on 30 July 1963. A steady background flux of (7·5−3+6) × 10−19 W m−2)(c/s)−1 at 0·700 Mc and (1·8+1.0−0.5 × 10−19 W m−2 (c/s)−1 at 2·200 Mc was observed. Assuming a galactic origin of the observed fluxes at both frequencies, the averaged sky brightnesses are b(0·700 Mc) = (6−3+5) × 10−20 W m−2 (c/s)−1 sr−1b(2·200 Mc) = (1.4+1.0−0.5 × 10−20 W m−2 (c/s)−1 sr−1 The observed brightness at 2·200 Mc is in reasonable agreement with the results of other observers. The apparent brightness at 0·700 Mc is, however, greater than was expected from previous observations. An alternative source of the 0·700 Mc flux in the terrestrial exosphere, as well as characteristics of several noise bursts observed during the flight, is briefly discussed. 相似文献