地震应急指挥协同技术平台设计研究

地震应急指挥协同服务能力是国家地震社会服务能力建设的核心内容,我国的地震应急指挥协同服务能力在研究和建设方面尚处于起步阶段,在未来一段时间将开展地震应急指挥协同技术平台的建设。因此,地震应急指挥协同技术平台的关键构成、设计和实现方式还有许多方面有待进一步研究和探讨。本文根据国家地震社会服务工程的初步设计,对地震应急指挥协同技术平台几个方面的内容进行了初步探讨,在此基础上讨论了其未来进一步发展应进行的工作。     

地震滑坡灾害评估中地震影响因素的联合应用

地震滑坡灾害是一种致灾性极高的地震次生灾害,其中的地震触发因素是导致滑坡发生的重要影响因素．可以表征地震影响因素的参数有多种,但它们代表地震动水平的能力有差异,对灾害评估预测结果有很大影响．因此,本文提出利用层次分析法将多种地震动参数联合应用以弥补不同参数间存在的不足和差异．计算实例表明, 参数联合应用所得评估结果与实际破坏情况最为接近,优于参数单独使用所得评估结果,说明该方法是可行的．文中给出的参数联合应用的方法对于其它地震灾害的评估也有很重要的借鉴意义．      

Statistical analysis of background noise in seismic prospecting

From a conventional viewpoint, seismic‐prospecting background noise is usually regarded as the product of a stationary and Gaussian stochastic process. In this paper, we use statistical methods to investigate the properties of the land‐seismic‐prospecting background noise on stationarity, Gaussianity, power spectral density, and spatial correlation. We use and analyse the passive noise records collected by receiver arrays at different typical geological environments (desert, steppe, and mountainous regions). Differences exist in the statistical properties of the background noise from different geological environments, but we still find some common characteristics. It is shown that the background noise is not strictly stationary and has different stationary properties over different timescales. Most of the noise records appear to be a Gaussian process when examined over a period of about 20 s but are found to be non‐Gaussian when examined over shorter periods of about 1 s. The background noise is a kind of colored noise, and its energy mainly concentrates in the low‐frequency bands. We also find that the spatial correlation of the background noise is weak. The results of this paper provide a scientific understanding about the properties of seismic‐prospecting background noise.     

Impacts of climate change and land use change on runoff of forest catchment in northeast China

Hydrological processes change from the impacts of climate variability and human activities. Runoff in the upper reaches of the Hun‐Taizi River basin, which is mainly covered by forests in northeast China, decreased from 1960 to 2006. The data used in this study were based on runoff records from six hydrological stations in the upper reaches of the Hun‐Taizi River basin. Nonparametric Mann–Kendall statistic was used to identify change trends and abrupt change points and consequently analyze the change characteristics in hydrological processes. The abrupt change in the annual runoff in most subcatchments appeared after 1975. Finally, the effects of climate change and land cover change on water resources were identified using regression analysis and a hydrology model. Results of the regression analysis suggest that the correlation coefficients between precipitation and runoff prior to the abrupt change were higher compared with those after the abrupt change. Moreover, using hydrology model analysis, the water yield was found to increase because of the decrease in forest land. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Climate effects of the GlobeLand30 land cover dataset on the Beijing Climate Center climate model simulations

Land cover is one of the most basic input elements of land surface and climate models. Currently, the direct and indirect effects of land cover data on climate and climate change are receiving increasing attentions. In this study, a high resolution (30 m) global land cover dataset (GlobeLand30) produced by Chinese scientists was, for the first time, used in the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC_CSM) to assess the influences of land cover dataset on land surface and climate simulations. A two-step strategy was designed to use the GlobeLand30 data in the model. First, the GlobeLand30 data were merged with other satellite remote sensing and climate datasets to regenerate plant functional type (PFT) data fitted for the BCC_CSM. Second, the up-scaling based on an area-weighted approach was used to aggregate the fine-resolution GlobeLand30 land cover type and area percentage with the coarser model grid resolutions globally. The GlobeLand30-based and the BCC_CSM-based land cover data had generally consistent spatial distribution features, but there were some differences between them. The simulation results of the different land cover type dataset change experiments showed that effects of the new PFT data were larger than those of the new glaciers and water bodies (lakes and wetlands). The maximum value was attained when dataset of all land cover types were changed. The positive bias of precipitation in the mid-high latitude of the northern hemisphere and the negative bias in the Amazon, as well as the negative bias of air temperature in part of the southern hemisphere, were reduced when the GlobeLand30-based data were used in the BCC_CSM atmosphere model. The results suggest that the GlobeLand30 data are suitable for use in the BCC_CSM component models and can improve the performance of the land and atmosphere simulations.     

Isotopes and sustainability of ground water resources, North China Plain

Ground water in deep confined aquifers is one of the major water resources for agricultural, industrial, and domestic uses in the North China Plain. Detailed information on ground water age and recharge is vital for the proper management of these water resources, and to this end, we used carbon 14 of dissolved inorganic carbon and tritium in water to measure the age and determine the recharge areas of ground water in the North China Plain. These isotopic data suggest that most ground water in the piedmont part of the North China Plain is <40 years old and is recharged locally. In contrast, ground water in the central and littoral portions of the North China Plain is 10,000 to 25,000 years old. The delta18O (deltaD) values of this ground water are 1.7 per thousand (11 per thousand) less than that in the piedmont plain ground water and possibly reflect water recharged during a cooler climate during the last glaciation. The temperature of this recharge, based on delta18O values, ranges from 3.7 degrees C to 8.4 degrees C, compared to 12 degrees C to 13 degrees C of modern recharge water. The isotopic data set combined indicates that ground water in the central and littoral part of the North China Plain is being mined under non-steady state conditions.     

构造波及其在地震预报中的应用

本文依据构造力源假说,对可能沿软流圈或构造带传播的四种类型的构造波进行了研究。这四种构造波为:广义瑞利型构造波;广义洛夫型构造波;广义构造导波及构造形变波。采用适当的软流圈模型,对这四种波型的频散关系及存在条件作了研究。理论研究结果表明,在软流圈中这四类波型均可能存在。 在理论研究的基础上,按照构造波所反映的地震前兆的周期(时间)长短,又把它们归为三类。第一类称为长周期的构造波,它反映了强震震中以波的形式迁移,这可以用来解释强震沿某些构造带与纬度方向迁移及其幅射状迁移等现象。第二类是中周期的构造波,它反映了地震前兆的三阶段发展变化。第三类为长周期的形变波,它是一种短周期的构造波,反映了短期或临震前兆。     

Seasonal patterns and environmental control of ecosystem respiration in subtropical and temperate forests in China

Continuous measurement of carbon dioxide exchange using the eddy covariance (EC) technique was made at two ChinaFLUX forest sites including the young subtropical Pinus plantation (Qianyanzhou) and old temperate broad-leaved Korean pine mixed forest (Changbai Mountains) as part of the ChinaFLUX network. Seasonal patterns and environmental control of ecosystem respiration in the subtropical and temperate forests were evaluated by the often-used multiplicative model and Q10 model as a function of temperature and soil water content. The resuits suggested that ( i ) temperature was found to be a dominant factor in the ecosystem respiration, and most of the temporal variability of ecosystem respiration was explained by temperature. However, in the drought-stressed ecosystem, soil water content controlled the temporal variability of ecosystem respiration other than temperature effects, and soil water content became a dominat factor when severe drought affected the ecosystem respiration; (ii) the regression models analysis revealed that in the drier soil, ecosystem respiration was more sensitive to soil moisture than was expressed by the often-used multiplicative model. It was possible to accurately estimate the seasonal variation of ecosystem respiration based on the Q10 model; and (iii)annual ecosystem respiration derived from the often-used multiplicative model was 1209 g C m-2and 1303 g C m-2, and was consistently a little higher than the Q10 model estimates of 1197 g C m-2 and 1268 g C m-2 for Qianyanzhou and Changbai Mountains, respectively.     

A study on Emei mantle plume activity and the origin of high-As coal in southwestern Guizhou Province

1IntroductionIn recent years deep-going investigations into thestructure of the deep interior of the Earth have provedthat the region of Southwest China where the Emeishanbasalts are widespread is an igneous rock provincecommonly accepted by the internati…     

Paleoceanographical records under impact of the Indian monsoon from the Bengal Deep Sea Fan and Ninetyeast Ridge during the last 260 ka

The orbital and interior climatic cycles can be found both in the Bengal Deep Sea Fan and Ninetyeast Ridge, North Indian Ocean. The periodicity of the Quaternary glacio-eustacy by 100 ka gave a strong impact on the sedimentation in the fan area and the monsoon signals controlled by the obliquity and precession were easily picked up. This paper discusses the possible correlation between the environmental elements on the basis of the ETP phase wheels. A rapid change with short-periods develops during the past 60 ka in the region under study as well. The variability of paleoproductivity has a nonlinear response to the Indian summer monsoon. As contrasted to the Northwest Indian Ocean, here an abundance ofGlobigerina bulloides, a proxy to indicate upwelling current, does not imply so much a promotion of the summer monsoon as its decrease. The record from the ridge area shows in a longer-scale a climatic evolutionary feature corresponding to that of the fan area. A special and great event arising at around 165 kaBP and meaning a catastrophe for ecological environment is reported in this paper. It is also regarded as a result induced by the monsoon.