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排序方式: 共有383条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
Chaofan LI Riyu LU Nick DUNSTONE Adam A.SCAIFE Philip E.BETT Fei ZHENG 《大气科学进展》2021,38(12):2055-2066
During June and July of 2020, the Yangtze River basin suffered from extreme mei-yu rainfall and catastrophic flooding. This study explores the seasonal predictability and associated dynamical causes for this extreme Yangtze River rainfall event, based on forecasts from the Met Office GloSea5 operational forecast system. The forecasts successfully predicted above-average rainfall over the Yangtze River basin, which arose from the successful reproduction of the anomalous western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). Our results indicate that both the Indian Ocean warm sea surface temperature (SST) and local WNP SST gradient were responsible for the westward extension of the WNPSH, and the forecasts captured these tropical signals well. We explore extratropical drivers but find a large model spread among the forecast members regarding the meridional displacements of the East Asian mid-latitude westerly jet (EAJ). The forecast members with an evident southward displacement of the EAJ favored more extreme Yangtze River rainfall. However, the forecast Yangtze River rainfall anomaly was weaker compared to that was observed and no member showed such strong rainfall. In observations, the EAJ displayed an evident acceleration in summer 2020, which could lead to a significant wind convergence in the lower troposphere around the Yangtze River basin, and favor more mei-yu rainfall. The model forecast failed to satisfactorily reproduce these processes. This difference implies that the observed enhancement of the EAJ intensity gave a large boost to the Yangtze River rainfall, hindering a better forecast of the intensity of the event and disaster mitigation. 相似文献
42.
Hazard maps are considered essential tools in the communication of volcanic risk between scientists, the local authorities
and the public. This study investigates the efficacy of such maps for the volcanic island of Montserrat in the West Indies
using both quantitative and qualitative research techniques. Normal plan view maps, which have been used on the island over
the last 10 years of the crisis, are evaluated against specially produced three-dimensional (3D) maps and perspective photographs.
Thirty-two demographically representative respondents of mixed backgrounds, sex, education and location were interviewed and
asked to complete a range of tasks and identification on the maps and photographs. The overall results show that ordinary
people have problems interpreting their environment as a mapped representation. We found respondents’ ability to locate and
orientate themselves as well as convey information relating to volcanic hazards was improved when using aerial photographs
rather than traditional plan view contour maps. There was a slight improvement in the use of the 3D maps, especially in terms
of topographic recognition. However, the most striking increase in effectiveness was found with the perspective photographs,
which enabled people to identify features and their orientation much more readily. For Montserrat it appears that well labelled
aerial and perspective photographs are the most effective geo-spatial method of communicating volcanic risks.
相似文献
Katharine HaynesEmail: |
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Citation Abrahart, R.J. & Mount, N.J. (2011) Discussion of “Neuro-fuzzy models employing wavelet analysis for suspended sediment concentration prediction in rivers by S.A. Mirgagheri et al. (2010, Hydrol. Sci. J. 55(7), 1175–1189).” Hydrol. Sci. J. 56(7), 1325–1329. 相似文献
45.
Nick M. W. Roberts Trond Slagstad Randall R. Parrish Michael J. Norry Mogens Marker Matthew S. A. Horstwood 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2013,165(3):507-523
The Hardangervidda-Rogaland Block within southwest Norway is host to ~1.52 to 1.48 Ga continental building and variable reworking during the ~1.1 to 0.9 Ga Sveconorwegian orogeny. Due to the lack of geochronological and geochemical data, the timing and tectonic setting of early Mesoproterozoic magmatism has long been ambiguous. This paper presents zircon U–Pb–Hf–O isotope data combined with whole-rock geochemistry to address the age and petrogenesis of basement units within the Suldal region, located in the centre of the Hardangervidda-Rogaland Block. The basement comprises variably deformed grey gneisses and granitoids that petrologically and geochemically resemble mature volcanic arc lithologies. U–Pb ages confirm that magmatism occurred from ~1,521 to 1,485 Ma, and conspicuously lack any xenocrystic inheritance of distinctly older crust. Hafnium isotope data range from εHf(initial) +1 to +11, suggesting a rather juvenile magmatic source, but with possible involvement of late Palaeoproterozoic crust. Oxygen isotope data range from mantle-like (δ18O ~5 ‰) to elevated (~10 ‰) suggesting involvement of low-temperature altered material (e.g., supracrustal rocks) in the magma source. The Hf–O isotope array is compatible with mixing between mantle-derived material with young low-temperature altered material (oceanic crust/sediments) and older low-temperature altered material (continent-derived sediments). This, combined with a lack of xenoliths and xenocrysts, exposed older crust, AFC trends and S-type geochemistry, all point to mixing within a deep-crustal magma-generation zone. A proposed model comprises accretion of altered oceanic crust and the overlying sediments to a pre-existing continental margin, underthrusting to the magma-generation zone and remobilisation during arc magmatism. The geodynamic setting for this arc magmatism is comparable with that seen in the Phanerozoic (e.g., the Sierra Nevada and Coast Range batholiths), with compositions in the Suldal Sector reaching those of average upper continental crust. As within these younger examples, factors that drive magmatism towards the composition of the average continental crust include the addition of sedimentary material to magma source regions, and delamination of cumulate material. Underthrusting of sedimentary materials and their subsequent involvement in arc magmatism is perhaps a more widespread mechanism involved in continental growth than is currently recognised. Finally, the Suldal Arc magmatism represents a significant juvenile crustal addition to SW Fennoscandia. 相似文献
46.
Climate variability and rapid urbanization have influenced the sand environments in the northern Coachella Valley throughout the late 20th century. This paper addresses changes in the spatial relationships among different sand deposits at northern Coachella Valley between two recent time periods by using satellite data acquired from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER). The approach employed here, involving multispectral thermal infrared (TIR) data and spectral mixture analysis, has shown that the major sand deposits can be spatially modeled at northern Coachella Valley. The “coarse-grained (quartz-rich) sand” deposit is associated with active eolian sand, and the “mixed sandy soil” and “fine-grained (quartz-rich) sand” deposits are associated with inactive eolian sand. The fractional abundance images showed a significant decrease between 2000 and 2006 in the percentage of active sand in the major depositional area for fluvial sediment, the Whitewater River, but also in two downwind areas: the Whitewater and Willow Hole Reserves. The pattern of the active sand appears to be related to variations in annual precipitation (wet and dry years) and river discharge in the northern Coachella Valley. We suggest here that recent human modifications to the major watercourses that supply sand affect the capability of fluvial deposition areas to restore sediments over time and consequently the responses of the sand transport system to climate change, becoming more sensitive to dry years where areas of active sand may shrink, degrade, and/or stabilize faster. The approach utilized in this study can be advantageous for future monitoring of sand in the northern Coachella Valley for management of these and similar environments. 相似文献
47.
Gary Kocurek Nicholas Lancaster Mary Carr Andy Frank 《Journal of African Earth Sciences》1999,29(4):431
The Tertiary Tsondab Sandstone Formation, which underlies much of the present Namib Sand Sea, is a key element in understanding the Cenozoic evolution of the Namib Desert. Outcrops of the aeolian facies of the Tsondab Sandstone at Elim and Diep Rivier consist of two sequences of bioturbated cross-strata separated by likely formation-scale surfaces of stabilisation. Cross-strata consist of scalloped sets about 200 m in width and separated by southeast dipping bounding surfaces. Internally, sets contain reactivation surfaces of probable seasonal origin. The north to south-southeast dipping foresets define crescent shapes with a trough axis trending northeast. Although additional data are needed to define the Tsondab bedform, the outcrop data is best satisfied in computer simulations by north trending, east migrating main bedforms, which had relatively large and slow-moving dunes superimposed upon their eastern flanks and migrated to the north. Foresets dipping to the south to south-southwest at Elim suggest that superimposed dunes also occurred on the western flanks of the main bedform and migrated to the south, but that their record was largely lost with net eastward migration of the main bedform. This preliminary Tsondab model shares attributes such as trend, scale of cross-strata, and presence of scalloped sets with reactivation surfaces with computer models of the modern linear dunes in which large-scale sinuosity migrates alongcrest to the north. Differences emerge in the overall set architecture and the orientation of cross-strata and bounding surfaces, as well as the degree of vegetation that must have characterised Tsondab dunes. 相似文献
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49.
Jin Li Suo‐han Tang Xiang‐kun Zhu Zhi‐hong Li Shi‐Zhen Li Bin Yan Yue Wang Jian Sun Yao Shi Aiguo Dong Nick S. Belshaw Xingchao Zhang Sheng‐ao Liu Ji‐hua Liu Deli Wang Shao‐yong Jiang KeJun Hou Anthony S. Cohen 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2019,43(1):163-175
Iron, Cu and Zn stable isotope systems are applied in constraining a variety of geochemical and environmental processes. Secondary reference materials have been developed by the Institute of Geology, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences (CAGS), in collaboration with other participating laboratories, comprising three solutions (CAGS‐Fe, CAGS‐Cu and CAGS‐Zn) and one basalt (CAGS‐Basalt). These materials exhibit sufficient homogeneity and stability for application in Fe, Cu and Zn isotopic ratio determinations. Reference values were determined by inter‐laboratory analytical comparisons involving up to eight participating laboratories employing MC‐ICP‐MS techniques, based on the unweighted means of submitted results. Isotopic compositions are reported in per mil notation, based on reference materials IRMM‐014 for Fe, NIST SRM 976 for Cu and IRMM‐3702 for Zn. Respective reference values of CAGS‐Fe, CAGS‐Cu and CAGS‐Zn solutions are as follows: δ56Fe = 0.83 ± 0.07 and δ57Fe = 1.20 ± 0.13, δ65Cu = 0.57 ± 0.06, and δ66Zn = ?0.79 ± 0.12 and δ68Zn = ?1.65 ± 0.24, respectively. Those of CAGS‐Basalt are δ56Fe = 0.15 ± 0.07, δ57Fe = 0.22 ± 0.10, δ65Cu = 0.12 ± 0.08, δ66Zn = 0.17 ± 0.13, and δ68Zn = 0.34 ± 0.26 (2s). 相似文献
50.
N. Lancaster 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1982,7(6):575-587
Simple, and locally compound, transverse and barchanoid dunes dominate the 2000 km2 Skeleton Coast dunefield in northwestern Namibia/South West Africa. Dune height and spacing are closely correlated (r = 0-89) and decrease across the dunefield from southwest to northeast, with an accompanying change from transverse to barchanoid ridges and ultimately barchans. The dunes are aligned transverse to the dominant strong south and south southwest onshore winds. Alignment patterns indicate that surface roughness changes between coastal plain and dunes cause dune-forming winds to swing to the right over the dunes, but resume their original direction beyond. Grain size and sorting vary at three scales: the dune, the dune landscape and through the dunefield. Overall the sands, derived from three localities by deflation from beaches supplied by vigorous longshore drift, become progressively finer and better sorted across the dunefield paralleling changes in dune height and spacing. A statistically significant relationship (r = ?0?65) was established between dune spacing and the phi grain size of the coarser fraction of the dune sands, demonstrating the importance of the protective effects of coarse grains, and suggesting that the morphometry of simple transverse dunes may be controlled by the scale of turbulence associated with the threshold wind speed required to move the coarsest fraction of the dune sand. 相似文献