双线偏振多普勒天气雷达识别冰雹区方法研究

利用美国KOUN雷达的一次强对流天气过程的观测资料，讨论分析了利用双线偏振雷达观测资料识别冰雹区的方法，在此基础上建立了利用模糊逻辑法识别冰雹的识别模式，并对其得到的结果进行分析和讨论，为国内未来的双线偏振雷达业务运行提供参考和帮助。分析结果表明；基于模糊逻辑法利用双线偏振雷达观测资料建立的识别模式，不仅可以反映出实际的冰雹区位置，而且还可以对其分类。其识别的结果比较符合实际的天气过程。     

近116年江淮梅雨异常及其环流特征分析

利用江淮地区1885—2000年近116a梅雨特征量资料和NCEP／NCAR逐日再分析资料，采用谐波分析、最大熵谱分析、小波分析、合成分析等方法讨论了江淮梅雨特征量的年际-年代际变化特征及梅雨异常的环流特征。结果表明；江淮梅雨特征量存在显著的年际和年代际变化特征。入梅日期、出梅日期、梅雨期长度呈显著上升的长期变化趋势，梅雨量和梅雨强度长期趋势变化不明显；梅雨特征量均存在多时间尺度的振荡周期，入梅日期具有准24a、准5a和准3a的显著周期；出梅日期具有准35a、准22a和准5a的显著周期；梅雨量具有准40a、准15a、准9a和准3a的显著周期。丰梅年南亚高压中心强度和西太平洋副热带高压增强。枯梅年则反之。     

智能大厦节能管理的措施和方法

通过智能大厦的节能管理，实现能源的科学与合理的消费；使其发挥作用来降低机电设备的维护成本，降低管理与营运费用，从而达到最大限度的节约能源的目的。以上海博物馆为例，系统地总结了综合节能的措施和方法，对大厦的管理和合理运行有着极其重要的意义。     

1∶1万地形图高程注记点采集方法研究

通过对水准仪散点法、GPS RTK高程和内业全数字摄影测量工作站三种高程注记点的采集方法进行系统的研究,力求找到既保证满足成图精度要求,又减少劳动强度,提高工作效率,并符合现实情况的一种准确、高效、经济的采集方法,为我省新一轮基础测绘顺利完成提供科学依据。     

山西中部地区近500年来生态环境劣变与气象灾害加剧的分析研究

本文在搜集了大量生态环境历史变迁及气象灾害史料的基础上,应用历史学、生态学、环境学、灾害学等多学科理论与方法,对山西中部地区自明代前中期以来近500年的生态环境劣变过程,以及在其影响下的气象灾害变化情况进行了分析研究后,得出初步结论:森林毁坏导致生态环境破坏,具有不可逆性和累积性的特征。生态环境一旦被破坏就很难恢复;生态环境遭破坏引发4个方面恶果:一是水土流失会长期存在,并逐趋加重。二是洪涝灾害明显加剧。三是干旱频率显著增大。四是局地性强对流天气造成的灾害趋于严重。森林毁坏,生态环境恶化导致气象灾害加剧,反过来气象灾害加剧又促使生态环境进一步恶化。     

The effect of halogens on Zr diffusion and zircon dissolution in hydrous metaluminous granitic melts

Diffusion of Zr and zircon solubility in hydrous, containing approximately 4.5 wt% H₂O, metaluminous granitic melts with halogens, either 0.35 wt% Cl (LCl) or 1.2 wt% F (MRF), and in a halogen-free melt (LCO) were measured at 1.0 GPa and temperatures between 1,050 and 1,400 °C in a piston-cylinder apparatus using the zircon dissolution technique. Arrhenius equations for Zr diffusion in each hydrous melt composition are, for LCO with 4.4ǂ.4 wt% H₂O: % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacqWGebarcqGH9aqpcq % aIYaGmcqGGUaGlcqaI4aaocqaI4aaocqGHXcqScqaIWaamcqGGUaGl % cqaIWaamcqaIZaWmcqWG4baEcqaIXaqmcqaIWaamdaahaaWcbeqaai % abgkHiTiabiIda4aaakiGbcwgaLjabcIha4jabcchaWnaabmaabaWa % aSaaaeaacqGHsislcqaIXaqmcqaI0aancqaIWaamcqGGUaGlcqaIXa % qmcqGHXcqScqaIZaWmcqaIZaWmcqGGUaGlcqaI5aqoaeaacqWGsbGu % cqWGubavaaaacaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa!571F! D = 2.88 ±0.03x10 ^{- 8} exp( [( - 140.1 ±33.9)/(RT)] )D = 2.88 \pm 0.03x10^{ - 8} \exp \left( {{{ - 140.1 \pm 33.9} \over {RT}}} \right) , for LCl with 4.5ǂ.5 wt% H₂O: % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacqWGebarcqGH9aqpcq % aIYaGmcqGGUaGlcqaIZaWmcqaIZaWmcqGHXcqScqaIWaamcqGGUaGl % cqaIWaamcqaI1aqncqWG4baEcqaIXaqmcqaIWaamdaahaaWcbeqaai % abgkHiTiabisda0aaakiGbcwgaLjabcIha4jabcchaWnaabmaabaWa % aSaaaeaacqGHsislcqaIYaGmcqaI1aqncqaI0aancqGGUaGlcqaI4a % aocqGHXcqScqaI2aGncqaI0aancqGGUaGlcqaIXaqmaeaacqWGsbGu % cqWGubavaaaacaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa!5719! D = 2.33 ±0.05x10 ^{- 4} exp( [( - 254.8 ±64.1)/(RT)] )D = 2.33 \pm 0.05x10^{ - 4} \exp \left( {{{ - 254.8 \pm 64.1} \over {RT}}} \right) and for MRF with 4.9ǂ.3 wt% H₂O: % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacqWGebarcqGH9aqpcq % aIYaGmcqGGUaGlcqaI1aqncqaI0aancqGHXcqScqaIWaamcqGGUaGl % cqaIWaamcqaIZaWmcqWG4baEcqaIXaqmcqaIWaamdaahaaWcbeqaai % abgkHiTiabiwda1aaakiGbcwgaLjabcIha4jabcchaWnaabmaabaWa % aSaaaeaacqGHsislcqaIYaGmcqaIYaGmcqaIZaWmcqGGUaGlcqaI4a % aocqGHXcqScqaIXaqmcqaI1aqncqGGUaGlcqaI1aqnaeaacqWGsbGu % cqWGubavaaaacaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa!5715! D = 2.54 ±0.03x10 ^{- 5} exp( [( - 223.8 ±15.5)/(RT)] )D = 2.54 \pm 0.03x10^{ - 5} \exp \left( {{{ - 223.8 \pm 15.5} \over {RT}}} \right) . Solubilities determined by the dissolution technique were reversed for LCO +4.5ǂ.5 wt% H₂O by crystallization of a Zr-enriched glass of LCO composition at 1,200 and 1,050 °C at 1.0 GPa. The solubility data were used to calculate partition coefficients of Zr between zircon and hydrous melt, which are given by the following expressions: for LCO % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacyGGSbaBcqGGUbGBcq % WGebardaqhaaWcbaGaemOwaOLaemOCaihabaGaemOEaONaemyAaKMa % emOCaiNaem4yamMaem4Ba8MaemOBa4Maei4la8IaemyBa0Maemyzau % MaemiBaWMaemiDaqhaaOGaeyypa0JaeGymaeJaeiOla4IaeGOnayJa % eG4mamZaaeWaaeaadaWcaaqaaiabigdaXiabicdaWiabicdaWiabic % daWiabicdaWaqaaiabdsfaubaaaiaawIcacaGLPaaacqGHsislcqaI % 1aqncqGGUaGlcqaI4aaocqaI3aWnaaa!5924! lnD_Zr^zircon/melt = 1.63( [10000/(T)] ) - 5.87\ln D_{Zr}^{zircon/melt} = 1.63\left( {{{10000} \over T}} \right) - 5.87 , for LCl % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacyGGSbaBcqGGUbGBcq % WGebardaqhaaWcbaGaemOwaOLaemOCaihabaGaemOEaONaemyAaKMa % emOCaiNaem4yamMaem4Ba8MaemOBa4Maei4la8IaemyBa0Maemyzau % MaemiBaWMaemiDaqhaaOGaeyypa0JaeGymaeJaeiOla4IaeGinaqJa % eG4naCZaaeWaaeaadaWcaaqaaiabigdaXiabicdaWiabicdaWiabic % daWiabicdaWaqaaiabdsfaubaaaiaawIcacaGLPaaacqGHsislcqaI % 0aancqGGUaGlcqaI3aWncqaI1aqnaaa!5920! lnD_Zr^zircon/melt = 1.47( [10000/(T)] ) - 4.75\ln D_{Zr}^{zircon/melt} = 1.47\left( {{{10000} \over T}} \right) - 4.75 and, for MRF by % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+- % feaaeaart1ev0aaatCvAUfKttLearuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garm % Wu51MyVXgaruWqVvNCPvMCG4uz3bqee0evGueE0jxyaibaieYlf9ir % Veeu0dXdh9vqqj-hEeeu0xXdbba9ev6pc9fs0-rqaqpepmKs4qpepe % I8kaL8kuc9pgc9q8qqaq-dhH6hb9hs0dXdHu6deP0u0-vr0-vr0db8 % meaabaqaciGacaGaaeaabaWaaeaaeaaakeaacyGGSbaBcqGGUbGBcq % WGebardaqhaaWcbaGaemOwaOLaemOCaihabaGaemOEaONaemyAaKMa % emOCaiNaem4yamMaem4Ba8MaemOBa4Maei4la8IaemyBa0Maemyzau % MaemiBaWMaemiDaqhaaOGaeyypa0JaeGymaeJaeiOla4IaeGinaqJa % eG4naCZaaeWaaeaadaWcaaqaaiabigdaXiabicdaWiabicdaWiabic % daWiabicdaWaqaaiabdsfaubaaaiaawIcacaGLPaaacqGHsislcqaI % 0aancqGGUaGlcqaI5aqocqaIXaqmaaa!591C! lnD_Zr^zircon/melt = 1.47( [10000/(T)] ) - 4.91\ln D_{Zr}^{zircon/melt} = 1.47\left( {{{10000} \over T}} \right) - 4.91 . Experiments on the same compositions, but with water contents down to 0.5 wt%, demonstrated reductions in both the diffusion coefficient of Zr and zircon solubility in the melt. The addition of halogens at the concentration levels studied to metaluminous melts has a small effect on either the diffusion of Zr in the melt, or the solubility of zircon at all water concentrations and temperatures investigated. At 800 °C, the calculated diffusion coefficient of Zr is lowest in LCl, 9᎒^-17 m² s^-1, and is highest in LCO, 4᎒^-15 m² s^-1. Extrapolation of the halogen-free solubility data to a magmatic temperature of 800 °C yields solubilities of approximately one-third of those directly measured in similar compositions, predicted by earlier studies of zircon dissolution and based upon analyses of natural rocks. This discrepancy is attributed to the higher oxygen fugacity of the experiments of this study compared with previous studies and nature, and the effect of oxygen fugacity on the structural role of iron in the melt, which, in turn, affects zircon solubility, but does not significantly affect Zr diffusion.     

均生函数模型预报检验

通过对均生函数时间序列模型所作多种类型的预报进行检验发现,均生函数模型不但对观测统计值（如年、月平均值）而且对瞬时观测值（如最高气温）也有很好的效果;不但对平稳变化（如温度）而且对急剧起伏量（如太阳黑子）也有令人满意的结果。文中同时提出了改进均生函数模型的方法。     

昆明近300年的旱涝变化规律

应用昆明近３００年历史旱涝指数和近百年降雨观测资料,研究了旱涝历史气候演变、气候周期变化和年际变化的规律,探讨了厄尔尼诺、太阳黑子、大气环流因子对旱涝气候变化的影响。主要结果有：（１）昆明旱涝气候变化主要存在４０年和１１年的周期,４０年变化周期受厄尔尼诺变化周期影响,１１年变化周期受太阳黑子变化周期影响,厄尔尼诺和太阳黑子的周期变化是昆明旱涝周期变化和两大影响因子。（２）昆明降雨年际变化与大气环流     

Edge-driven convection

We consider a series of simple calculations with a step-function change in thickness of the lithosphere and imposed, far-field boundary conditions to illustrate the influence of the lithosphere on mantle flow. We consider the effect of aspect ratio and far-field boundary conditions on the small-scale flow driven by a discontinuity in the thickness of the lithosphere. In an isothermal mantle, with no other outside influences, the basic small-scale flow aligns with the lithosphere such that there is a downwelling at the lithospheric discontinuity (edge-driven flow); however, the pattern of the small-scale flow is strongly dependent on the large-scale thermal structure of a much broader area of the upper mantle. Long-wavelength temperature anomalies in the upper mantle can overwhelm edge-driven flow on a short timescale; however, convective motions work to homogenize these anomalies on the order of 100 million years while cratonic roots can remain stable for longer time periods. A systematic study of the effect of the boundary conditions and aspect ratio of the domain shows that small-scale, and large-scale flows are driven by the lithosphere. Edge-driven flow produces velocities on the order of 20 mm/yr. This is comparable to calculations by others and we can expect an increase in this rate as the mantle viscosity is decreased.     

Fault-valve behaviour in optimally oriented shear zones: an example at the Revenge gold mine, Kambalda, Western Australia

Quartz vein systems developed in and adjacent to shear zones host major gold deposits in the Kambalda region of the Norseman–Wiluna greenstone belt. At the Revenge Mine, two groups of mineralised reverse shear zones formed as conjugate, near-optimally oriented sets during ESE subhorizontal shortening adjacent to a major transpressional shear system. The shear zones developed at temperatures of about 400°C in a transitional brittle–ductile regime. Deformation was associated with high fluid fluxes and involved fault-valve behaviour at transiently near-lithostatic fluid pressures. During progressive evolution of the shear system, early brittle and ductile deformation was overprinted by predominantly brittle deformation. Brittle shear failure was associated with fault dilation and the formation of fault-fill veins, particularly at fault bends and jogs. A transition from predominantly brittle shear failure to combined shear along faults and extension failure adjacent to faults occurred late during shear zone evolution and is interpreted as a response to a progressive decrease in maximum shear stress and a decrease in effective stresses. The formation of subhorizontal stylolites, locally subvertical extension veins and minor normal faults in association with thrust faulting, indicates episodic or transient reorientation of the near-field maximum principal stress from a subhorizontal to a near-vertical attitude during some fault-valve cycles. Local stress re-orientation is interpreted as resulting from near-total shear stress release and overshoot during some rupture events. Previously described fault-valve systems have formed predominantly in severely misoriented faults. The shear systems at Revenge Mine indicate that fault-valve action, and associated fluctuations in shear stress and fluid pressure, can influence the mechanical behaviour of optimally-oriented faults.