Geochemistry of Lake Sediments as a Record of Environmental Change in a High Arctic Watershed

A 1.93 m long sediment core was obtained from Fish Lake, Truelove Lowland, Devon Island, Nunavut, Canada. Multivariate statistical techniques using a wide range of chemical variables successfully reconstructed the late Holocene history of the Fish Lake watershed. Factor analysis identified six geomorphic mechanisms controlling the formation of sediments. Cluster analysis produced a grouping of core segments and discriminant analysis confirmed that 100% of the samples were correctly classified. The results indicated that the environmental history of the Fish Lake watershed in the past 6500 years can be divided into five phases. These are 6500-5700 years BP, 5700-1700 years BP, 1700-1000 years BP, 1000-600 years BP and 600 years BP to the present. In the Fish Lake watershed, during its time as a terrestrial system, the interactions of erosion, weathering, leaching, soil development, vegetation succession and climatic change have shaped the surrounding landscape as well as determined the evolution of the lake.     

Investigating factors driving phytoplankton growth and grazing loss rates in waters around Peninsular Malaysia

In tropical waters where temperatures are relatively stable,we investigated whether the relationship between phytoplankton growth and grazing loss rate acros s different habitats around Peninsular Malaysia can be attributed to its eutrophication states.We measured phytoplankton growth(μ) and grazing loss(g) rates in waters off Bachok Marine Research Station(BMRS),located northeast of Peninsular Malaysia.Chlorophyll-a(chl-a) concentration ranged from 2.90 to 15.78 μg/L and was dominated by nanoand micro-phytoplankton(2 μm in size).Using the Landry and Hassett dilution method,μ at BMRS ranged from 1.02 to 1.58/d whereas g varied from 0.07 to 0.88/d.Grazing accounted for 35% of the primary production at BMRS.A systematic review of available data in waters around Peninsular Malaysia,revealed how μ fluctuated over a wide range(0.01-1.80/d) and correlated with chl a distribution(R2=0.181,P0.001).However,the relationship was only significant at 9 μg/L chl a for mesotrophic waters and 16 μg/L chl a for eutrophic waters.In contrast,g ranged from 0.00 to 1.01/d,and correlated with μ at all locations.The g/μslope ranged from 19% to 84%,and was generally similar for waters around Peninsular Malaysia.However,all the g/μ slopes had a positive y-intercept except for BMRS,and this seemed to suggest the availability of alternative prey supporting grazing at the other stations.     

Prevalence of microplastics in Singapore's coastal marine environment

Microplastics have been recently identified as marine pollutants of significant concern due to their persistence, ubiquity and potential to act as vectors for the transfer and exposure of persistent organic pollutants to marine organisms. This study documents, for the first time, the presence and abundance of microplastics (>1.6 microm) in Singapore's coastal environment. An optimized sampling protocol for the collection and analysis of microplastics was developed, and beach sediments and seawater (surface microlayer and subsurface layer) samples were collected from nine different locations around the coastline. Low density microplastics were separated from sediments by flotation and polymer types were identified using Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometry. Synthetic polymer microplastics identified in beach sediments included polyethylene, polypropylene, polystyrene, nylon, polyvinyl alcohol and acrylonitrile butadiene styrene. Microplastics were detected in samples from four out of seven beach environments, with the greatest quantity found in sediments from two popular beaches in the eastern part of Singapore. Polyethylene, polypropylene and polystyrene microplastics were also found in the surface microlayer (50-60 microm) and subsurface layer (1m) of coastal waters. The presence of microplastics in sediments and seawater is likely due to on-going waste disposal practices from industries and recreational activities, and discharge from shipping.     

On the Study of Pile Driving Formula Based on Blow Counts

Accuracy of predicting pile capacities by pile driving formulas have been investigated. Five test piles were driven up to a depth of about 9 m of clay deposit and the penetrations due to final blows were recorded. The pile bearing capacity of each pile was predicted using 6 different pile driving formulas and the predicted pile capacity was compared with measured pile capacity from the pull up tests. Hiley formula, Modified Engineering News Record (ENR) formula, Janbu formula, Dutch formula, Danish formula, and Gates formula were used. The performance and accuracy of each formula was evaluated and the correlation coefficient of each pile driving formula was determined for a more accurate pile capacity prediction. Methods used to evaluate the performance of each formula were; (1) the best fit line for Q _p versus Q _m (2) cumulative probability for Q _p/Q _m and (3) the arithmetic mean and standard deviation for Q _p/Q _m. From the study, it was found that using Dutch formula provided the most accurate pile capacity estimate compared to the other formulas with an average of 7% deviation from value obtained from the field pull up test. It was followed by the Danish formula, Janbu formula, Hiley formula, Modified ENR formula, and Gates formula. The ability to predict the accuracy of estimating pile capacity using an appropriate method is very important and valuable to contractors, developers, geotechnical engineers, and manufacturers.     

Initial Fe/O Enhancements in Large, Gradual, Solar Energetic Particle Events: Observations from Wind and Ulysses

Shocks driven by fast coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the dominant particle accelerators in large, “gradual” solar energetic particle (SEP) events. In these events, the event-integrated value of the iron-to-oxygen ratio (Fe/O) is typically ～?0.1, at least at energies of a few MeV/nucleon. However, at the start of some gradual events, when intensities are low and growing, initially Fe/O is ～?1. This value is also characteristic of small, “impulsive” SEP events, in which particle acceleration is due to magnetic reconnection. These observations suggested that SEPs in gradual events also include a direct contribution from the flare that accompanied the CME launch. If correct, this interpretation is of critical importance: it indicates a clear path to interplanetary space for particles from the reconnection region beneath the CME. A key issue for the flare origin is “magnetic connectedness”, i.e., proximity of the flare site to the solar footpoint of the observer’s magnetic field line. We present two large gradual events observed in 2001 by Wind at L1 and by Ulysses, when it was located at >?60^° heliolatitude and beyond 1.6 AU. In these events, transient Fe/O enhancements at 5?–?10 MeV/nucleon were seen at both spacecraft, even though one or both is not “well-connected” to the flare. These observations demonstrate that an initial Fe/O enhancement cannot be cited as evidence for a direct flare component. Instead, initial Fe/O enhancements are better understood as a transport effect, driven by the different mass-to-charge ratios of Fe and O. We further demonstrate that the time-constant of the roughly exponential decay of the Fe/O ratio scales as R ², where R is the observer’s radial distance from the Sun. This behavior is consistent with radial diffusion. These observations thus also provide a potential constraint on models in which SEPs reach high heliolatitudes by cross-field diffusion.     

Temperature projection in a tropical city using remote sensing and dynamic modeling

Recent temperature projections for urban areas have only been able to reflect the expected change due to greenhouse-induced warming, with little attempt to predict urbanisation effects. This research examines temperature changes due to both global warming and urbanisation independently and applies them differentially to urban and rural areas over a sub-tropical city, Hong Kong. The effect of global warming on temperature is estimated by regressing IPCC data from eight Global Climate Models against the background temperature recorded at a rural climate station. Results suggest a mean background temperature increase of 0.67 °C by 2039. To model temperature changes for different degrees of urbanization, long-term temperature records along with a measureable urbanisation parameter, plot ratio surrounding different automatic weather stations (AWS) were used. Models representing daytime and nighttime respectively were developed, and a logarithmic relationship between the rate of temperature change and plot ratio (degree of urbanisation) is observed. Baseline air temperature patterns over Hong Kong for 2009 were derived from two ASTER thermal satellite images, for summer daytime and nighttime respectively. Dynamic raster modeling was employed to project temperatures to 2039 in 10-year intervals on a per-pixel basis according to the degree of urbanization predicted. Daytime and nighttime temperatures in the highly urbanized areas are expected to rise by ca. 2 °C by 2039. Validation by projecting observed temperature trends at AWS, gave low average RMS errors of 0.19 °C for daytime and 0.14 °C for nighttime, and suggests the reliability of the method.     

Rainfall trend and its implications for water resource management within the Yarra River catchment,Australia

Rainfall is the key climatic variable that governs the regional hydrologic cycle and availability of water resources. Recent studies have analysed the changes in rainfall patterns at global as well as regional scales in Australia. Recent studies have also suggested that any analysis of hydroclimatic variables should be performed at the local scale rather than at a large or global scale because the trends and their effects may be different from one location to the other. Because no studies were found specific to the Yarra River catchment, which is an important catchment in Victoria, Australia, this study performs a spatiotemporal trend analysis on long‐term rainfall records at 15 measuring stations within the catchment. The Mann–Kendall test was used to detect trends, and Sen's slope estimator was used to calculate the slopes in both monthly and annual rainfall. Moreover, a cumulative summation technique was used to identify the trend beginning year, and prewhitening criteria were tested to check for autocorrelation in the data. The results showed that the monthly rainfall has generally decreasing trends except in January and June. Significant decreasing rainfall trends were observed in May (among the autumn months of March, April and May) at most stations and also in some other months at several stations. A decreasing trend was also observed in the annual rainfall at all stations. This study indicates that there has been a consistent reduction in rainfall over the catchment, both spatially and temporally over the past 50 years, which will have important implications for the future management of water resources. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An explicit one-dimensional consolidation solution with semi-permeable drainage boundary for unsaturated soil

Existing solutions for analyzing one-dimensional (1-D) consolidation of unsaturated soil are only derived to cater to two extreme drainage conditions (fully drained and undrained). This study presents a new explicit solution for 1-D consolidation of unsaturated soil with semi-permeable drainage boundary. Based on the assumptions of two independent stress variables and the governing equations proposed by Fredlund, the eigenfunction expansion method is adopted to develop an explicit analytical solution to calculate excess pore-water and pore-air pressures in an unsaturated soil when it is subjected to external loads. The developed general solutions are expressed in terms of depth, z, and time, t. For the semi-permeable drainage boundary, eigenvalues and eigenfunctions in the space domain are developed. The technique of Laplace transform is used to solve the coupled ordinary differential equations in the time domain. The newly derived explicit solution is verified with the existing semi-analytical method in the literature, and an excellent agreement is obtained. Compared with the semi-analytical solution, the newly derived analytical solution is more straightforward and explicit so that this solution is relatively easier to be implemented into a computer program to carry out a preliminary assessment of 1-D consolidation of unsaturated soil.     

McGill algorithm for precipitation nowcasting by lagrangian extrapolation (MAPLE) applied to the South Korean radar network. Part II: Real-time verification for the summer season

The MAPLE system has been implemented in real-time in Korea since June 2008, producing forecasts up to 6 hours every 10 minutes. An object-oriented verification method has been applied for the summer season (June–July–August) over the Korean Peninsula to evaluate and understand the characteristics of the forecast results. The CRA (contiguous rain area) approach is used to decompose the total error into the different error components; location, pattern, and volume errors. The mean displacement error is smaller than 20 km up to the 3-h forecasts and increases with forecast time. The ratio between the displacement (location) error and the total error is less than 7% even for a 3-h forecast. This result indicates that MAPLE produces reliable forecast in terms of precipitation location. However, the pattern error is larger than 90% of the total error. Contingency scores that are defined with different categories of rain intensity and displacement errors show the outstanding performance up to 2.5 hours. MAPLE overpredicts rain areas with the threshold of 1 mm h^?1 rain intensity throughout forecast periods. However, the heavy rainfall events are poorly predicted due to the inherent limitation of extrapolation-based nowcasting technique.