Local and remote causes of the southern Australian autumn-winter rainfall decline, 1958–2007

The 1958–2007 decline in March–August rainfall over southern Australia (south of 30°S) is very closely related to an increase in surface atmospheric pressure over Australia. Sea surface temperatures around northern Australia are strongly correlated with southern Australian rainfall but the recent warming of the ocean should have led to increased rainfall rather than the observed rainfall decline. The relationships between the rainfall and indices of several modes of the atmosphere/ocean system are investigated to determine a cause of the rainfall decline. Indices of the modes that only use data remote from the Australian region are used to avoid the possibility that a relationship between the mode and Australian rainfall is simply reflecting the behaviour of “local” portions of the index. Thus a climate mode index that incorporates Australian pressure would, of course, be related to southern Australian rainfall, even if the remote parts of the mode were unrelated to Australian rainfall. Unless the remote contributions to the mode index were also related to Australian rainfall it seems physically unrealistic to consider that the mode, per se, was affecting Australian rainfall (rather than simply reflecting the influence of the local pressure changes). The rainfall decline does not appear to be explainable by a change in the behaviour of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (remote indices of this phenomenon do not exhibit a trend over this period) or the Indian Ocean Dipole (which is not strongly correlated with Australian rainfall on detrended data). The strong 1958–2007 trend in the southern annular mode (SAM) appears able to explain much of the rainfall decline since its year-to-year variations are correlated with year-to-year variations in southern Australian rainfall, and the sense of the correlation and the SAM trend would lead to a decline in rainfall (and an increase in pressure over Australia). The observed trend in SAM can reproduce over 70% of the observed rainfall trend. All these conclusions also apply to the rainfall declines in the southeast and southwest sub-regions.     

A population cartogram of New Zealand

The authors use 1981 census data to create a cartogram showing the counties of New Zealand in proportion to their population.     

ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES ON NORTHWEST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE NUMBERS

In this study,the relationship between tropical cyclone numbers in the Northwest Pacific,Southern Oscillation (SO) and some environmental variables observed over the global oceans has been examined.The major results indicate that the pattern of correlations between the tropical cyclone numbers and the environmental variables is in a sense analogous to that between the SO and the same environmental variables,but the correlation is weak.The study indicates that the relationship between tropical cyclone numbers and environmental variables is more complex,and the factors affecting the variation in tropical cyclone numbers in the Northwest Pacific should include not only ENSO events but also a long-term effect which is not related to ENSO.     

The effect of global warming on mortality

There is a significant relationship between ambient temperature and mortality. In healthy individuals with no underlying co-morbid conditions, there is an efficient heat regulation system which enables the body to effectively handle thermal stress. However, in vulnerable groups, especially in elderly over the age of 65 years, infants and individuals with co-morbid cardiovascular and/or respiratory conditions, there is a deficiency in thermoregulation. When temperatures exceed a certain limit, being cold winter spells or heat waves, there is an increase in the number of deaths. In particular, it has been shown that at temperatures above 27 °C, the daily mortality rate increases more rapidly per degree rise compared to when it drops below 27 °C.This is especially of relevance with the current emergency of global warming. Besides the direct effect of temperature rises on human health, global warming will have a negative impact on primary producers and livestock, leading to malnutrition, which will in turn lead to a myriad of health related issues. This is further exacerbated by environmental pollution.Public health measures that countries should follow should include not only health-related information strategies aiming to reduce the exposure to heat for vulnerable individuals and the community, but improved urban planning and reduction in energy consumption, among many others. This will reduce the carbon footprint and help avert global warming, thus reducing mortality.     

Benchmark Analysis of Solute Transport with Multiaquifer Wells

A benchmark analysis is developed for assessing the reliability of the representation of multiaquifer wells in numerical solute transport simulators. The analysis considers the installation of a well that penetrates two aquifers that are otherwise isolated. The interconnection of the two aquifers by the multiaquifer well leads to the capture of a plume in an upper aquifer and the development of a plume in a lower aquifer. The benchmark analysis couples an exact Laplace transform solution for radially convergent transport with a generalization of an exact Laplace transform solution for radially divergent transport. The benchmark analysis is used to test the multiaquifer well simulation capability incorporated recently in MT3DMS. The results of the analysis provide insights into important issues of model accuracy and efficiency. The results of the analysis also highlight the potential implications of installing wells with relatively long screens at sites with contaminated groundwater.     

Palaeomagnetic evidence from the Ordovician and Silurian of northwest Peninsular Malaysia

The Ordovician and Silurian Setul Limestone of the Langkawi Islands, northwest Peninsular Malaysia, has a mean magnetic vector ofD = 338°,I = 62° after cleaning and correction for tilt. This is equivalent to a palaeolatitude of 43°, and a palaeomagnetic pole at 46°N, 76°E. The Silurian part of the Setul limestone also shows a similar direction. The Ordovician results are equivalent to a palaeolatitude of 43°, N or S. Recent reconstructions, based on palaeontology, place Indochina and China in the northern hemisphere in the Ordovician; if this is correct, a palaeolatitide of 43° for Langkawi would imply that Malaya-Indochina was the most northerly continental fragment at that time.     

Containment of Sources of Groundwater Contamination: Analysis of Mass Fluxes

Cutoff walls and liners are used frequently as barriers to isolate contaminants at both controlled and uncontrolled hazardous waste sites. Neville and Andrews (2006) presented a containment criterion for contaminant isolation by a barrier. The analysis of Neville and Andrews (2006) yields the inward Darcy flux that balances the diffusive mass flux from the source so that the net mass flux is zero. A requirement of zero net mass flux may not be achievable in all situations. The analysis developed by Neville and Andrews (2006) is extended to develop straightforward expressions for the long-term mass fluxes across a barrier for any conditions. In cases where it may not be possible to satisfy a criterion of zero net mass flux, the results from an exact solution for transient solute transport are used to show how the mass fluxes evolve to their long-term values.