震源孕育的追赶模式

本文提出了一种一维震源孕育模型。用数学物理方法分析了该模型在地震前的孕育过程和各种物理量的变化规律,提出了震源孕育的追赶模式。追赶模式对纵波速度、地壳运动的前兆异常可作出解释,说明该模式是研究地震前兆的一种可能的力学基础.     

The role of anthropogenic activities in karst spring discharge volatility

The traditional hydrological time series methods tend to focus on the mean of whichever variable is analysed but neglect its time‐varying variance (i.e. assuming the variance remains constant). The variances of hydrological time series vary with time under anthropogenic influence. There is evidence that extensive well drilling and groundwater pumping can intercept groundwater run‐off and consequently induce spring discharge volatility or variance varying with time (i.e. heteroskedasticity). To investigate the time‐varying variance or heteroskedasticity of spring discharge, this paper presents a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (SARIMA‐GARCH) model, whose the SARIMA model is used to estimate the mean of hydrological time series, and the GARCH model estimates its time‐varying variance. The SARIMA‐GARCH model was then applied to the Xin'an Springs Basin, China, where extensive groundwater development has occurred since 1978 (e.g. the average annual groundwater pumping rates were less than 0.20 m³/s in the 1970s, reached 1.20 m³/s at the end of the 1980s, surpassed 2.0 m³/s in the 1990s and exceeded 3.0 m³/s by 2007). To identify whether human activities or natural stressors caused the heteroskedasticity of Xin'an Springs discharge, we segmented the spring discharge sequence into two periods: a predevelopment stage (i.e. 1956–1977) and a developed stage (i.e. 1978–2012), and set up the SARIMA‐GARCH model for the two stages, respectively. By comparing the models, we detected the role of human activities in spring discharge volatility. The results showed that human activities caused the heteroskedasticity of the Xin'an Spring discharge. The predicted Xin'an Springs discharge by the SARIMA‐GARCH model showed that the mean monthly spring discharge is predicted to continue to decline to 0.93 m³/s in 2013, 0.67 m³/s in 2014 and 0.73 m³/s in 2015. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Urban Metabolism Based on Emergy and Slack Based Model: A Case Study of Beijing,China

The key to studying urban sustainable development depends on quantifying stores, efficiencies of urban metabolisms and capturing urban metabolisms′ mechanisms. This paper builds up the metabolic emergy account and quantifies some important concepts of emergy stores. Emphasis is placed on the urban metabolic model based on the slack based model(SBM) method to measure urban metabolic efficiencies. Urban metabolic mechanisms are discussed by using the regression method. By integrating these models, this paper analyzes the urban metabolic development in Beijing from 2001 to 2010. We conclude that the metabolic emergy stores of Beijing increased significantly from 2001 to 2010, with the emergy imported accounting for most of the increase. The metabolic efficiencies in Beijing have improved since the 2008 Olympic Games. The population, economic growth, industrial structures, and environmental governance positively affect the overall urban metabolism, while the land expansion, urbanization and environmentally technical levels hinder the improving of urban metabolic efficiencies. The SBM metabolic method and the regression model based on the emergy analysis provide insights into the urban metabolic efficiencies and the mechanism. They can promote to integrate such concepts into their sustainability analyses and policy decisions.     

ARM和FPGA在水声浮标数据采集存储中的应用

介绍了ARM(advanced RISC machines,英国电子公司)和FPGA(可编程逻辑阵列)在水声浮标(文中简称新型浮标)数据采集存储中的应用。利用FPGA丰富的硬件资源实现新型浮标系统多通道同步采样,并在ARM模块中移植Windows FAT32文件系统,嵌入USB底层驱动,实现采集数据的高速存储。描述了系统设计与实现,并对该数据采集存储系统进行了通道隔离度、动态范围、系统自噪声和功耗等指标测试。实验结果表明,该系统通道隔离度90d B(参考1V);动态范围≥110d B(参考1V);系统自噪声≤40d B(参考1 n V);系统总功耗为4.2 W。     

Ronge-Kutta法在计算复杂构造区域地震波旅行时中的应用

采用Ronge-Kutta射线追踪法对地震勘探中几个典型地质模型的地震波射线路径和旅行时计算的实例和效果进行分析。将Ronge-Kutta射线追踪模拟的结果与程函方程计算的时距曲线结果进行对比,验证了Ronge-Kutta射线追踪法的易实现性和程函方程有限差分旅行时算法的强稳定性,表明Ronge-Kutta射线追踪法在复杂构造区域进行地震射线路径和旅行时计算时能得到较好的模拟效果。     

贵州瓮安玉山煤矿煤质特征及其影响因素

玉山煤矿含煤地层为吴家坪组,可采煤层2层,具有中灰、中等挥发分、高硫分、低磷分、特低—低氯,低砷、高氟,中高发热量的煤质特征,煤类丰富,呈条带状分布。通过对区内沉积环境和煤的变质作用2个方面的分析,阐述了形成煤层高硫、中灰特征的影响因素,解释了煤类分带现象,并指出了主要煤质指标的变化规律。     

低轨卫星增强北斗三号导航星座性能分析

针对低轨卫星星座有待合理化设计的问题,深入研究了低轨卫星星座增强北斗三号系统定位性能。分析轨道高度、轨道倾角、星座构型对星座覆盖性能的影响,仿真北斗三号、GPS和3种不同类型的低轨星座,研究各低轨星座与北斗三号、GPS的组合系统在所选7个测站以及全球范围内的可见卫星数和PDOP值分布。结果表明低轨卫星对北斗三号的增强效果主要与低轨卫星数目有关,且不同轨道倾角的组合低轨星座有利于均衡系统在全球范围内的可见卫星数与PDOP值分布。低轨卫星有望通过改善卫星观测几何构型提高北斗三号系统的定位性能,且增强效果与低轨星座构型密切相关。     

不同窗口下中值滤波与加权滤波方法效果分析

为了探究中值滤波与加权滤波方法对测深数据粗差的处理效果,该文以单波束测深数据为例,对中值滤波和加权滤波在不同大小滤波窗口的测深数据处理效果进行对比分析.实验结果表明,中值滤波不论在地形起伏变化较快的区域,还是在少量、断点不连续的区域以及大量、断点连续的区域,均具有较好的滤波效果,且在5窗口时效果最佳;而加权滤波在地形起伏变化较快的区域以及少量、断点不连续的区域处理效果明显,且在3窗口时效果最佳,但中值滤波效果更优,而在大量、断点连续的区域加权滤波效果明显较差,建议优先考虑中值滤波方法.     

北京城市下垫面的非均匀性度量研究

城市下垫面非均匀性度量研究对于改进中尺度数值模式、提高城市气象预报准确率具有重要意义.基于分形布朗运动理论和Landsat-TM卫星遥感图像,估算了2011年北京典型下垫面类型个例和整个空间区域的分数维,由此来度量北京城市下垫面的非均匀性特征.研究结果显示:分数维能有效度量北京城市下垫面的非均匀程度,典型下垫面类型的分数维高低顺序为商业区 >大型居民区 >城市绿地 >农田>林地 >水体;北京六环内区域及郊区城镇地表非均匀特征明显,分数维一般在2.50以上,北京城市中心(二环内)存在一个分数维相对低值区,二环—四环之间区域分数维普遍较高,在2.70以上,五环以外分数维则不断降低,反映出北京城市下垫面非均匀性从中心向外呈低—高—低的空间分布;下垫面类型中建筑用地、绿地、未利用地、农田、林地和水体的平均分数维分别为2.71、2.62、2.55、2.38、2.30和2.28,分数维值的高低反映了城市下垫面类型的非均匀程度大小,对定量描述城市边界层参数的复杂特征具有参考意义.     

云南省马厂箐Cu-Mo-Au多金属矿集区成矿系统

马厂箐地区是滇西成矿带内一个典型的与喜马拉雅期富碱侵入岩有关的斑岩型铜-钼-金多金属矿集区,发育有斑岩型钼铜、接触交代型铜钼(金)和热液脉型金银铅锌等多种类型矿化。其矿化和蚀变类型及成矿元素组合,在空间上具有明显的以岩体为中心的分带性;岩浆活动与铜钼金成矿作用具有同时性。这3种矿化类型的形成受控于马厂箐斑岩岩浆系统,该岩浆系统提供了成矿的物质、流体和动力。文章在分析成矿证据的基础上,通过对成矿系统结构的剖析,认为正是马厂箐岩体所提供的热动力条件促使从岩浆体中分异出来的成矿流体由岩体向外运移,随着岩体内构造裂隙、接触带构造以及围岩中破碎带等成矿物理化学条件的改变,在不同的边界条件下发生了不同性质的成矿作用,形成了不同的蚀变和矿化类型及成矿元素组合,总体显示出,随着热液成矿作用的进行,矿化由斑岩体向接触带和围岩推进,成矿由高温向低温的演化趋势。马厂箐铜-钼-金多金属矿集区成矿系统的建立,将对滇西成矿带内其他矿集区的成矿理论研究和找矿勘查实践具有借鉴和指导意义。